Bingo! Been saying this since the conflict started. I don't think it has a thing to do with trying to undermine the US, or destroy the value of the dollar, or secure the oil fields. It's much simpler; more innate. This is a move to secure the border in the interest of saving Russia from collapsing. It's survival. It's Geopolitics 101. This is a defensive strategy masquerading as an aggressive action. Russia literally cannot survive if NATO, it's sworn enemy, is 400 miles from Moscow. No nation could. The US would be none too pleased if it's border with Iran was 400 miles away from Washington, DC.
They need a buffer zone. The rest is just propaganda.
The whole scenario has played out almost exactly like George Friedman of Stratfor predicted it would in his 2009 book, "The Next 100 years."
Naturally, after the Ukraine conflict started, I went back and re-read it. Maybe he can recommend some good stocks to invest in.
I agree with some of what he said, although I think Russia greatly overestimates the threat from NATO. Russia could certainly survive if they had NATO countries on their border. I understand why they fear it, given their history, but its hard it is to get NATO to agree on anything. I can't see them ever agreeing to attack Russia. Nor do I think the US really wanted to bring the Ukraine into NATO, although I can understand why it might appear that way to Russia. Ironically, the Russian attack on Ukraine has made it slightly more likely that the Ukraine would try to join NATO.
Of course, sometimes perception is more important than reality.
Edited by Davidson Deac II, 02 September 2014 - 02:54 PM.