I agree. Why save picks for a lockout year? But, you are also not thinking about the other team we would be trading with.. "Why give up this year's pick, for a pick next year that won't be worth anything?".. what team in their right mind would do that?
So like I said before, we won't be trading our 1st round pick this season for the exact reason you just mentioned.. no team will accept good picks for bad picks.
I think a team would still trade a 2nd or a low 2nd low 4th for one. If you look at some of the player trades it seems like a 2011 1st = 2010 2nd.
The pick isn't "bad" necessarily it's just worth less. So the team who trades will give up less. Maybe just trade straight up for a 2nd or a 2nd and 6th.
It doesn't make any sense to me to save picks for a year in which no football will be played. Coaches rely more on FA in their first year to stabilize the team with vets from a simmilar system. It makes sense to trade because you could end up being rewarded if there is a new CBA. Also having two 1st's in a shallow draft puts you in way better position than the other teams in the leauge.
Keep in mind we're going to look like geniuses in 2011/2012(even if we suck in 2010) with our extremely low cap figure. Who needs a 1st when you can buy up whoever you want?