On the other hand, if Rivera lobbies like hell to draft a QB # 1 overall and that QB is a bust... goodbye Rivera, you've just set the franchise back at least 5 years.
Personally I think Rivera will want to address the QB position with a veteran.
This to me is flawed logic. People think this is the safer play but it really isn't. If it is it isn't by that much.
You get a vet one of two ways. FA or trade.
FA QB's that get picked up rarely (if ever) work out. Generally speaking there is a reason they are a FA.
Every once in a while a good QB will hit the market. Like Brees or Vick. Then every team that needs a QB go after him. They drive the price up and up until you end up vastly over paying for a QB who wasn't good enough to play for his original team.
If you want good value for a FA QB we need more of them to go to prison for 2 years:D:D
Generally speaking, if a QB is any good he never makes it to FA. He is traded.
So let's trade for one? Well now your talking about an investment that is every bit as expensive for the future of your franchise as drafting a bust.
Kolb will set the price in this market and the Eagles are asking 2 first round draft picks. If you make this deal there still isn't a guarantee that this guy will work out. McNabb flourished in the Eagles pass happy offense but is about to be cut after just one year at the Redskins. Kolb could likely do the same thing.
Plus if you trade for a backup with the intention of starting him, the next day after the trade is official, the QBs agent (if he is doing his job) is asking for a new contract with a starters salary.
Keep in mind this is all for trading for a player that right now isn't good enough to start for his current team.
BUT if a QB you traded two first round picks (or a first and second) flames out you also have lost important building blocks to your future. While the QB you just traded for busts you are also missing on upgrading important positions bc you don't have the high draft picks to restock your roster.
So now your QB stinks and your roster is regressing. That in itself can set you back at least 5 year.
On the flip side if you draft a QB and he busts you are hurt financially (big time) but you have not wasted any future picks and you are continuing to (hopefully) build a strong roster through the draft so when the QB position finally does get resolved you are in a better situation to be successful.
So vet QB's are not the safer route. At least not significantly safer. And can be just as costly.
Edited by teeray, 01 March 2011 - 11:26 AM.