This post does have excellent analysis, but I do have one issue with it...
Was this really the smartest play for Cam to attempt on that snap? Smitty was triple covered.. Yes...the throw and catch beat the coverage and it was an amazing play (having seen it live on TV), but come on! Shouldn't that mean that there was another reciever open. If Cam had pumped faked on that play and checked down to LaFell on the under route, they still would have picked up 10 yards and it wouldn't have been as risky of a play. What if the throw had not been perfect or what if Smitty had tipped the ball up instead of catching it. In both cases it is a sure interception. In fact most of Cam's INTs have come on similar plays. Its a tight window and the ball gets tipped.
I give Cam and Smitty credit for making the play...and to you for the great breakdown...but in my opinion it also reveals that Cam likes to force plays when there are more efficient (admittedly less flashy) options. I think this not only illustrates his tremendous skill, but also his inexperience.
I'm not going to say whether that was the correct play to make in that situation or not (although the coaches obviously trust him to make that throw because they called the play) but good quarterbacks must be able to make those kinds of passes a few times every game.
And realistically, the play looks closer than it really was because the pass was, quite frankly, perfectly thrown. As long as Smith stayed with his route and caught it, the defense had no chance at it, and were completely caught out of position to tackle Smitty because of it.
I would rather that Cam trusted his arm on those kinds of throws and worked on his execution rather than avoiding them altogether and stunting his development and confidence. I've watched every one of his interceptions and only a few were outright terrible throws or decisions (he's had particularly bad luck on balls hitting receivers in the hands and getting tipped rather than caught.)
The sheer fact that he can make this throw with regularity and without hesitation is simply remarkable.
Edited by fieryprophet, 03 December 2011 - 07:26 PM.