I Have The Power! (To Decide The Madden Cover)
#16
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:10 PM
#17
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:16 PM
Seriously though, if you believe being on the cover of a video game poses any risk whatsoever it's best that you never breed. Do the right thing and make the world a better place: kill yourself as soon as possible.
#18
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:16 PM
Willis is a dark horse and might well pull the upset. If the margin becomes large I believe its due to you.
#19
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:20 PM
If the margin is great enough to be noticeable they'll just invalidate the votes from your IP.
I am very aware of that. I run a software company. I have an entire server farm at my disposal.
#20
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:38 PM
Statistics actually require well over 10,000 unrelated events to be considered "correlation." 12 years does not make a trend in the slightest.
Not sure where you pulled that from, but that's a wildly inaccurate blanket statement to make about stats in general - 12 years out of a possible 15 or so is absolutely statistically significant when considered in context. That doesn't mean there's a curse, but those numbers definitely fail to reject the null hypothesis that cover athletes have a down season the same year that they appear on the cover.
With that said, I vote Cam. Swag trumps all.
#21
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:39 PM
Football itself is clearly cursed, as players are often injured and/or have worsened seasons year after year after year. Play NFL football and YOU ARE CONSPIRING WITH EVIL. Could it be.... the work of the DEVIL HIMSELF?? Who knows! But you can't deny all the injuries and reduced performances which are clear evidence of THE SPIRIT WORLD affecting our very reality! Reason and logic have no place in this day and age! The facts speak for themselves. SAVE US BABY JESUS. Would you dare test such beliefs by toying with an OUIJA BOARD!?! I think not!! Let fear and stupidity be your guide! OOGA BOOGA!!!
Seriously though, if you believe being on the cover of a video game poses any risk whatsoever it's best that you never breed. Do the right thing and make the world a better place: kill yourself as soon as possible.
A little over the top.
#22
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:45 PM
#24
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:48 PM
A little over the top.
Fight fire with fire, as they say.
#25
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:50 PM
#26
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:53 PM
#27
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:55 PM
Not sure where you pulled that from, but that's a wildly inaccurate blanket statement to make about stats in general - 12 years out of a possible 15 or so is absolutely statistically significant when considered in context. That doesn't mean there's a curse, but those numbers definitely fail to reject the null hypothesis that cover athletes have a down season the same year that they appear on the cover.
With that said, I vote Cam. Swag trumps all.
I have written a pseudo-random number generator for a custom cryptographic suite. One of the stringent demands on such a system is the ability to create numbers that are as absolutely random as possible. What people don't understand about randomness is that if you flip a coin 20 times and it comes up heads 17 times, that is a perfectly logical random result. The 50/50 distribution only has to hold true when dealing with a massive number of permutations (on the order of millions) but a random number generator that produced a steady series of heads/tails combinations in order would be viewed as functionally broken.
In the same regards the Madden curse, which has multiple "bad" definitions but very few good ones (so the probability of a bad result is closer to 90% than 50%) having a run of 9-12 "bad" years out of 12 is not only statistically insignificant, it's entirely flawed by the faulty weighting of the probabilities involved (I mean, who considers Drew Brees Pro Bowl season to have been cursed? Idiots, that's who.)
#28
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:55 PM
#29
Posted 13 April 2012 - 09:59 PM
I have written a pseudo-random number generator for a custom cryptographic suite. One of the stringent demands on such a system is the ability to create numbers that are as absolutely random as possible. What people don't understand about randomness is that if you flip a coin 20 times and it comes up heads 17 times, that is a perfectly logical random result. The 50/50 distribution only has to hold true when dealing with a massive number of permutations (on the order of millions) but a random number generator that produced a steady series of heads/tails combinations in order would be viewed as functionally broken.
In the same regards the Madden curse, which has multiple "bad" definitions but very few good ones (so the probability of a bad result is closer to 90% than 50%) having a run of 9-12 "bad" years out of 12 is not only statistically insignificant, it's entirely flawed by the faulty weighting of the probabilities involved (I mean, who considers Drew Brees Pro Bowl season to have been cursed? Idiots, that's who.)

Science FTW!
#30
Posted 13 April 2012 - 10:09 PM
I'm going to be so incredibly upset if cam gets hurt.
I don't believe in Curses, but i do believe in statistics. and statistically speaking, if you get on the cover, you get your poo rocked in a bad way. of course they are "unrelated" ...
...but are they really? you can't argue with statistics man...
Mark Twain did.
(Though I'm 99% sure a British guy said it first.)
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