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Football Outsiders Almanac


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#1 Zithers

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:15 PM

Someone on another forum I go to got it and was taking requests for player projections. Asked him about Cam, Double Trouble, Tolbert, Smitty, and Olsen.


Newton: 301/496, 64.3%, 3627 yds, 24 tds, 14 ints, 7.0 ny/p, 29.6% dvoa
rushing: 126 runs, 608 yds, 10 tds, 39.6% (for reference last year he was 14.5% dvoa)

Smith: 81/137, 59%, 1222 yds, 15.1 y/c, 7 tds, 11.9% dvoa

Stewart: 141 runs, 733 yds, 5.2 y/r, 4 tds, 16.2% dvoa

Tolbert: 66 runs, 305 yds, 4.6 y/r, 3 tds, 13.2% dvoa

Williams: 153 runs, 764 yds, 5.0 y/r, 5 tds, 15.4% dvoa

Olsen: 49/82, 524 yds, 60%, 10.7 y/c, 5 tds, -2.6% dvoa


That's 486 carries for 2,410 yards, and 22 TDs... a little worse than last season. Though that's still good for a top three run game, obviously.

Don't remember seeing this anywhere so I thought I'd share. Bitch away!

#2 jtnc

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:18 PM

I can get down with those stats.

#3 Smitty Is Our Savior

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:19 PM

Sorry if this is a dumb question, but what is DVOA?

#4 Ivan The Awesome

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:20 PM

You didn't ask about LaFell?

#5 Zithers

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:21 PM

Sorry if this is a dumb question, but what is DVOA?


http://footballoutsi...om/info/methods

its basically their signature stat... kinda like how PFF does their +/- stuff.

#6 Jackofalltrades

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:26 PM

If the D is just average then those stats should see us walk into the post season.

#7 Ivan The Awesome

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:28 PM

I see the defense scoring guys. I have a feeling about this.

#8 Frash Brastard

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:49 PM

Who the fug still cares about running the ball well as it has become so inconsequential in the w/l column

#9 Jackofalltrades

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:51 PM

Who the fug still cares about running the ball well as it has become so inconsequential in the w/l column


I care. It creates balance, grinds down opposing defenses, shortens the game by keeping the opposing O off the field and helps keep our D fresh.

#10 Frash Brastard

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Posted 01 August 2012 - 11:59 PM

I care. It creates balance, grinds down opposing defenses, shortens the game by keeping the opposing O off the field and helps keep our D fresh.


Which made a damn good formula for winning in 1993

The league's evolved to the point where ball control is insignificant, because while you're going 80 yards in 16 plays, taking off 8 minutes so you can score a 21 yard field goal, there are QBs like Drew Brees and Tom Brady who can engineer touchdown drives in less than 1/4 of the time you took, and there is barely any defense built well enough to shut them down.

#11 Black

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 12:19 AM

Looks Super Bowl quality to me.

#12 Captain Obvious

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 10:42 AM

Which made a damn good formula for winning in 1993

The league's evolved to the point where ball control is insignificant, because while you're going 80 yards in 16 plays, taking off 8 minutes so you can score a 21 yard field goal, there are QBs like Drew Brees and Tom Brady who can engineer touchdown drives in less than 1/4 of the time you took, and there is barely any defense built well enough to shut them down.


So when in your opinion does this become a 7 on 7 flag football league?

#13 csx

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 11:48 AM

Which made a damn good formula for winning in 1993

The league's evolved to the point where ball control is insignificant, because while you're going 80 yards in 16 plays, taking off 8 minutes so you can score a 21 yard field goal, there are QBs like Drew Brees and Tom Brady who can engineer touchdown drives in less than 1/4 of the time you took, and there is barely any defense built well enough to shut them down.


The Saints* were 6th in the league in rushing last year.

#14 Darth Biscuit

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 12:01 PM

What'd they say about our D? I'm not concerned about offensive production...

#15 Zithers

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Posted 02 August 2012 - 12:13 PM

he said they don't do defensive projections


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