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Football Outsiders Almanac

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Someone on another forum I go to got it and was taking requests for player projections. Asked him about Cam, Double Trouble, Tolbert, Smitty, and Olsen.

Newton: 301/496, 64.3%, 3627 yds, 24 tds, 14 ints, 7.0 ny/p, 29.6% dvoa

rushing: 126 runs, 608 yds, 10 tds, 39.6% (for reference last year he was 14.5% dvoa)

Smith: 81/137, 59%, 1222 yds, 15.1 y/c, 7 tds, 11.9% dvoa

Stewart: 141 runs, 733 yds, 5.2 y/r, 4 tds, 16.2% dvoa

Tolbert: 66 runs, 305 yds, 4.6 y/r, 3 tds, 13.2% dvoa

Williams: 153 runs, 764 yds, 5.0 y/r, 5 tds, 15.4% dvoa

Olsen: 49/82, 524 yds, 60%, 10.7 y/c, 5 tds, -2.6% dvoa

That's 486 carries for 2,410 yards, and 22 TDs... a little worse than last season. Though that's still good for a top three run game, obviously.

Don't remember seeing this anywhere so I thought I'd share. Bitch away!

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Posted · Report post

I can get down with those stats.

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Posted · Report post

Sorry if this is a dumb question, but what is DVOA?

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Posted · Report post

You didn't ask about LaFell?

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Sorry if this is a dumb question, but what is DVOA?

http://footballoutsiders.com/info/methods

its basically their signature stat... kinda like how PFF does their +/- stuff.

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Posted · Report post

If the D is just average then those stats should see us walk into the post season.

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I see the defense scoring guys. I have a feeling about this.

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Who the fug still cares about running the ball well as it has become so inconsequential in the w/l column

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Who the fug still cares about running the ball well as it has become so inconsequential in the w/l column

I care. It creates balance, grinds down opposing defenses, shortens the game by keeping the opposing O off the field and helps keep our D fresh.

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I care. It creates balance, grinds down opposing defenses, shortens the game by keeping the opposing O off the field and helps keep our D fresh.

Which made a damn good formula for winning in 1993

The league's evolved to the point where ball control is insignificant, because while you're going 80 yards in 16 plays, taking off 8 minutes so you can score a 21 yard field goal, there are QBs like Drew Brees and Tom Brady who can engineer touchdown drives in less than 1/4 of the time you took, and there is barely any defense built well enough to shut them down.

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Posted · Report post

Looks Super Bowl quality to me.

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Which made a damn good formula for winning in 1993

The league's evolved to the point where ball control is insignificant, because while you're going 80 yards in 16 plays, taking off 8 minutes so you can score a 21 yard field goal, there are QBs like Drew Brees and Tom Brady who can engineer touchdown drives in less than 1/4 of the time you took, and there is barely any defense built well enough to shut them down.

So when in your opinion does this become a 7 on 7 flag football league?

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