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killing peaceful secessionists

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[quote name='Inimicus' timestamp='1352912988' post='1999503']


Doesn't matter if its 60-40 or even 70-30 in favor of separation. If you want a peaceful separation then there will have to be provisions made for making those who want no part of it whole. If you want it to be peaceful then that means buying them out. Otherwise people will defend their homes and farms and businesses by force if necessary and when the separatists respond in kind you can bet Uncle Sam will be there with his F-22s.

The only way this hypothetical would stand a snowballs chance in hell of being both peaceful and successful would be to buy people out.
[/quote]
And which state could afford to buy out half of its population without Federal aid? None states is the answer.

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It was pretty peaceful until Lincoln sent the blockades.
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The problem I have with this whole idea is you are never realistically going to get the kind of massive agreement for secession. As a populace we are very divided right now, but its a division by political philosophy not by states. Even in strongly conservative states about 40% of voters picked Obama.

If there was as strong a consensus as you are talking about (~80% for secession) they would almost assuredly be able to vote in whichever guy they wanted for President (unless other states had a strong consensus the other way). The conditions you are talking about would require some sort of hyper-polarization of the american electorate, and unless their is some big issue of contention that drives people apart exclusively due to their geography (like slavery) I dont see any way that happens

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Nance, maybe you can answer this. Is there a standard number of soldiers in a company?

In 1970 three companies of the Ohio Nat Guard were deployed at Kent State. Of them 77 soldiers claimed to have fired their weapons on the protesters.


While not a perfectly analogous situation it might prove as a jumping off point for the question of how many servicemen would fire on unarmed US citizens.
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[quote name='thatlookseasy' timestamp='1352914271' post='1999547']
The problem I have with this whole idea is you are never realistically going to get the kind of massive agreement for secession. As a populace we are very divided right now, but its a division by political philosophy not by states. Even in strongly conservative states about 40% of voters picked Obama.

If there was as strong a consensus as you are talking about (~80% for secession) they would almost assuredly be able to vote in whichever guy they wanted for President (unless other states had a strong consensus the other way). The conditions you are talking about would require some sort of hyper-polarization of the american electorate, and unless their is some big issue of contention that drives people apart exclusively due to their geography (like slavery) I dont see any way that happens
[/quote]

Yeah it gets harder to draw the borders along political lines when you look closer.

[img]http://i.imgur.com/pnUM7.jpg[/img]
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[quote name='twylyght' timestamp='1352913534' post='1999521']

don't take my word for it. feel free to google/wiki it yourself
[/quote]

The South's secession during the civil war peaceful until it actually came time to do things.

Thats like saying my farts dont stink when I'm sitting on the couch- oh they stink, you just wont smell it until I stand up

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[quote name='thatlookseasy' timestamp='1352914271' post='1999547']
The problem I have with this whole idea is you are never realistically going to get the kind of massive agreement for secession. As a populace we are very divided right now, but its a division by political philosophy not by states. Even in strongly conservative states about 40% of voters picked Obama.

If there was as strong a consensus as you are talking about (~80% for secession) they would almost assuredly be able to vote in whichever guy they wanted for President (unless other states had a strong consensus the other way). The conditions you are talking about would require some sort of hyper-polarization of the american electorate, and unless their is some big issue of contention that drives people apart exclusively due to their geography (like slavery) I dont see any way that happens
[/quote]

some posters have gone to great pains to note the geographical differences in the electoral results. however, it is not my premise that this is a democrat/republican split driving a secessionist movement. there are marked differences between democrats/republicans in ny/california when compared to those in texas/georgia. the cultural bindings between regions would likely be more binding than party affiliation as things become more strained in the coming decades.

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[quote name='thatlookseasy' timestamp='1352914570' post='1999557']

The South's secession during the civil war peaceful until it actually came time to do things.

Thats like saying my farts dont stink when I'm sitting on the couch- oh they stink, you just wont smell it until I stand up
[/quote]

do things.... like.... trade with france?

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[quote name='NanceUSMC' timestamp='1352913394' post='1999518']
It was implied by some posters that there would be a number of willing military personnel that would be willing to do so... This thread was an effort to guage just how many military present here would actually obey, or be willing to obey such orders...
[/quote]

i think it's less probable that an order would be given for such a thing... i find it more probable that it could happen on its own... hell, it happened at kent state... i don't think nixon gave that order...


edit: inimicus beat me to it.

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the problem with trying to compare this to 1861 is that the way people primarily identify has changed. due in large part to technological advancements in transportation and communication, people who once primarily identified as Virginian or Carolinian now identify primarily as American. "Fighting to preserve the state of North Carolina" is almost as ludicrous as imagining everyone in Guilford County unanimously determining to take up arms to fight Forsyth County cause fug them Winstonites.

An unbelievable level of propaganda would have to be disseminated for a significant period of time to convince GI Joe to go out there and shoot separatists in the head.

And, as others have brought up, one of the primary problems is that there is no foundational institution or significantly different paradigm/way of life/binding ideology that a vast majority of the citizens of these supposed secessionist states identify with that would make separating a unanimous decision, and that poses huge problems for the would-be rebels because of insurgency with federal loyalists.

Oh and Texas, of its population of 26 million people, has only managed to herd 250,000 into its Texas Nationalist movement. If the case example for secession talks can't motivate more than 1% of individuals in an already heavily conservative state that's the most likely to jump on board, how on earth is 51% gonna happen, much less the vast majority of a state's population?

It's a fuging stupid notion. It always has been. Someone will bump this thread in a couple years and we'll all have a good laugh.

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[quote name='thatlookseasy' timestamp='1352914271' post='1999547']


If there was as strong a consensus as you are talking about (~80% for secession) they would almost assuredly be able to vote in whichever guy they wanted for President (unless other states had a strong consensus the other way). The conditions you are talking about would require some sort of hyper-polarization of the american electorate, and unless their is some big issue of contention that drives people apart exclusively due to their geography (like slavery) I dont see any way that happens
[/quote]
Black president

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[quote name='Inimicus' timestamp='1352914326' post='1999548']
Nance, maybe you can answer this. Is there a standard number of soldiers in a company?
[/quote]

It will vary wildly, and be in the 100-200 range most of the time... But there is no set number, no... =)

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