I havent been convinced of either just yet but I am not counting Xbox out. I think exclusives are better than the ps4's and if MS get's the illumiroom out then I think that can over take the ps4. Right now the only thing I find better about the ps4 is that it may have potentially better graphics. But as far as online service, even the feel of the controller that goes to Xbox. The whole used game issue is a non factor for me and the fact that its being so overblown right now just means that Xbox will fix the problem and it will be a non issue. Backwards compatibility means nothing to me. You don't buy a new system to play old games. That said I'll probably wait a year before making a choice on it.
See that's the problem with MS system here. They can't go back on anything they've said, It's up to the third party developers and Not MS now. Plus on top of that they System is based on being an entertainment device. What that means is it's meant to download movies, games and so forth to the HD. The reason the games install to the HD and then play from there is because the system is completely based around digital distribution. Hence the every 24 hour check in to xbox live servers and the cloud.
If you go into the store and buy a Xbox one game disk, what your really paying for is the digital distribution rights that allow you to download the game to your HD and play it.
That's the biggest problem MS faces, they would have to completely rework the digital distribution system and how disk based games work with the system. They would have to eliminate and then rebuild their cloud system.
They've just dug themselves way too deep of a hole here to dig out of it. They really can't make changes to the backbone of their system at this point.
Honestly another thing that most early adopters aren't liking is the forced kinect connection.
While neither of those policies affect me in anyway, I'm in agreement with them at all. It seems that most hardcore gamers that are early adopters are inline with the views I just expressed as well. With online polls having the PS4 being favored by an 83% to 17% advantage.
I'll also be picking a xbox one up in the future, but not for a while. They need to knock at least 150 off the price for me to be able to get over the policies on used games, forced digital distribution and the online check ups. It would also be nice if I could get one that didn't come with the Kinect, because I could care less about that crap.