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RelaxImaPro

LOL, how many times have we seen this?

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y1no2rj.png

 

Got myself a new sig.  Going by that graph it looks like we had a fuging 100% probability of a win at one point... yet we still somehow managed to fug it up.

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I'm so fugging tired of watching limp dick football.

 

"You say we only need one more yard to seal the victory? No, we better not chance it. Bring out Gano!"

 

A mere few minutes later...

 

"Well, who could have seen that coming. Am I right?!"

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How did they calculate the probability ? Anyhow, this graph is identical to my "we got this" feeling during the game.

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How did they calculate the probability ? Anyhow, this graph is identical to my "we got this" feeling during the game.

 

Based on a logit regression of every game played for the past 5 seasons, a mathematical model was established to determine the probability each opponent would win a game. The model is based on team efficiency stats which include:
 
Offensive pass efficiency, including sack yardage
Defensive pass efficency, including sack yardage
Offensive run efficiency
Defensive run efficiency
Offensive interception rate
Defensive interception rate
Offensive fumble rate
Penalty rate (penalty yards per play)

 

Etc. etc. etc.

 

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2007/09/nfl-win-prediction-methodology.html

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"at this point in the game the Panthers are 99.9% favorites to pull out the victory. There's no way they possibly lose!"

 

31481225.jpg

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