Higher than Tampa Bay and ATL. Seems off at first glance but there may be some logic to it. I have always enjoyed watching these stats.
This is calculated by simulating out every remaining game as well as normalizing our previous games against the rest of the league. Best I can tell is that many of our remaining opponents are ranked very low in their software (NY, ARI, STL, OAK, SD, KC, MIA, NYJ, TB x2)
Football outsider has us with a "DAVE" of 9.6% which puts us as the 5th best team in that regard. The DAVE is some method of normalizing games on a play by play basis. Basically it says we actually did better than most of the league would have against the Bills.
Maybe the computer hasn't met Rivera yet or maybe there is something to it.