When he signs that tag money becomes guaranteed...by us. And nobody is going to give up picks and pay him that much. That would be stupid.
Yep. With the tag, we're taking the risk and assuming a team is going to bite....and with that gamble could come 60+% of our available cap space.
At the same time though, I think he's worth a 1st. Being a 25 yo DE coming off a 16 sack season warrants a 1st round pick in my book. If he doesn't, I don't know what does.