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Cary Kollins

Member Since 07 Nov 2011
Online Last Active Today, 04:30 PM

#3100023 Republican blogger: The GOP wins set up party for spectacular, catastrophic f...

Posted by Cary Kollins on 21 November 2014 - 03:45 PM

from the Houston Chronicle


He sounds worried.



Few things are as dangerous to a long term strategy as a short-term victory. Republicans this week scored the kind of win that sets one up for spectacular, catastrophic failure and no one is talking about it.

What emerges from the numbers is the continuation of a trend that has been in place for almost two decades. Once again, Republicans are disappearing from the competitive landscape at the national level across the most heavily populated sections of the country while intensifying their hold on a declining electoral bloc of aging, white, rural voters. The 2014 election not only continued that doomed pattern, it doubled down on it. As a result, it became apparent from the numbers last week that no Republican candidate has a credible shot at the White House in 2016, and the chance of the GOP holding the Senate for longer than two years is precisely zero.

For Republicans looking for ways that the party can once again take the lead in building a nationally relevant governing agenda, the 2014 election is a prelude to a disaster. Understanding this trend begins with a stark graphic.



Behold the Blue Wall:








The Blue Wall is block of states that no Republican Presidential candidate can realistically hope to win. Tuesday that block finally extended to New Hampshire, meaning that at the outset of any Presidential campaign, a minimally effective Democratic candidate can expect to win 257 electoral votes without even trying. That’s 257 out of the 270 needed to win.


This means that the next Presidential election, and all subsequent ones until a future party realignment, will be decided in the Democratic primary. Only by sweeping all nine of the states that remain in contention AND also flipping one impossibly Democratic state can a Republican candidate win the White House. What are the odds that a Republican candidate capable of passing muster with 2016 GOP primary voters can accomplish that feat? You do the math.




The biggest Republican victory in decades did not move the map. The Republican party’s geographic and demographic isolation from the rest of American actually got worse.

A few other items of interest from the 2014 election results:

- Republican Senate candidates lost every single race behind the Blue Wall. Every one.


- Behind the Blue Wall there were some new Republican Governors, but their success was very specific and did not translate down the ballot. None of these candidates ran on social issues, Obama, or opposition the ACA. Rauner stands out as a particular bright spot in Illinois, but Democrats in Illinois retained their supermajority in the State Assembly, similar to other northern states, without losing a single seat.


- Republicans in 2014 were the most popular girl at a party no one attended. Voter turnout was awful.


- Democrats have consolidated their power behind the sections of the country that generate the overwhelming bulk of America’s wealth outside the energy industry. That’s only ironic if you buy into far-right propaganda, but it’s interesting none the less.


- Vote suppression is working remarkably well, but that won’t last. Eventually Democrats will help people get the documentation they need to meet the ridiculous and confusing new requirements. The whole “voter integrity” sham may have given Republicans a one or maybe two-election boost in low-turnout races. Meanwhile we kissed off minority votes for the foreseeable future.


- Across the country, every major Democratic ballot initiative was successful, including every minimum wage increase, even in the red states.


- Every personhood amendment failed.





This is an age built for Republican solutions. The global economy is undergoing a massive, accelerating transformation that promises massive new wealth and staggering challenges. We need heads-up, intelligent adaptations to capitalize on those challenges. Republicans, with their traditional leadership on commercial issues should be at the leading edge of planning to capitalize on this emerging environment.


What are we getting from Republicans? Climate denial, theocracy, thinly veiled racism, paranoia, and Benghazi hearings. Lots and lots of hearings on Benghazi.


It is almost too late for Republicans to participate in shaping the next wave of our economic and political transformation. The opportunities we inherited coming out of the Reagan Era are blinking out of existence one by one while we chase so-called “issues” so stupid, so blindingly disconnected from our emerging needs that our grandchildren will look back on our performance in much the same way that we see the failures of the generation that fought desegregation.

Something, some force, some gathering of sane, rational, authentically concerned human beings generally at peace with reality must emerge in the next four to six years from the right, or our opportunity will be lost for a long generation. Needless to say, Greg Abbott and Jodi Ernst are not that force.

“Winning” this election did not help that force emerge. This was a dark week for Republicans, and for everyone who wants to see America remain the world’s most vibrant, most powerful nation.



#3099808 Emperor Obama?

Posted by Cary Kollins on 21 November 2014 - 12:01 PM

Isn't there a rule that you cannot debate a topic if you cannot spell said topic?

#3097728 Emperor Obama?

Posted by Cary Kollins on 19 November 2014 - 07:18 PM

Obama elected: Repubs bitch and complain
Democratic majority in House and Senate: Repubs bitch and complain
Republicans gain majority in House: Repubs bitch and complain
Republicans gain majority in Senate, retain majority in House: Repubs bitch and complain

WTF is it with you people? Are you so used to being in a constant state of whiny, hormonal, emotional imbalance that it's the only behavior you know?

What happens if by some chance a Republican wins the Presidency in 2016? You all going into a complete manic-depressive collapse and jump off a building?

There is a very real, deep persecution complex sold to older white folks and they eat it up.

#3097259 Panthers Working Out WR Tysson Poots

Posted by Cary Kollins on 19 November 2014 - 01:26 PM

We could have really used his locker room presence.


Poots is one of those silent but deadly types.

#3096953 Emperor Obama?

Posted by Cary Kollins on 19 November 2014 - 10:45 AM

You want the video showing exactly where Obama said he "couldn't" do this action...that he's NOT an emperor?  Not stopping him now. 


Completely ignoring the election results. 




Were you so upset when Reagan and Bush signed executive orders supporting illegals?

#3096872 Panthers Working Out WR Tysson Poots

Posted by Cary Kollins on 19 November 2014 - 09:44 AM

Is he fast enough to break wind?

#3095838 My 4 year old was jeered by another 4 year old for wearing a Panther jacket t...

Posted by Cary Kollins on 18 November 2014 - 03:18 PM

You need to fight this girl's father.

#3095723 Thomas Davis on WFNZ Bustin' Loose

Posted by Cary Kollins on 18 November 2014 - 02:44 PM

Frank, a former player, should not have pushed the issue as much--tried many times to get Davis to bash the play calling.  When Davis said what he had to say, Frank started arguing with him.  Asked TD to call out Deangelo.  I understood where TD is coming from--his team is a game out.  Never bash coaches or teammates (see Avant, RGIII).  Get off his back, Frank.




Wow that's unprofessional.


If only Kroeger could do 10 hours of radio per day.

#3095689 Thomas Davis on WFNZ Bustin' Loose

Posted by Cary Kollins on 18 November 2014 - 02:34 PM

The Panthers did not give up on Thomas Davis after he shredded his knee several times, so I wouldn't expect him to say anything bad about the FO.

#3094768 How was Norwell not drafted?

Posted by Cary Kollins on 18 November 2014 - 10:00 AM

I'll never forget the story Ron told after the draft. Ron and Marty were watching film on some other D3 project and happened to see Amini block some D3 d-lineman. Amini blocked him all the way out of bounds. That sold Rivurney on Amini.



#3093790 Your Franchise Center

Posted by Cary Kollins on 17 November 2014 - 05:19 PM

Anthony Davis will be a top 5 player for the next 10 years so is this really a debate?

#3093536 9 defenders all thinking run up the middle....

Posted by Cary Kollins on 17 November 2014 - 03:06 PM

If the clock would have been less than 30 seconds or so, I would agree with the playcalling.


The way it turns out, it's an absolutely gutless end to a great drive.



Bill Belichik doesn't cower when the game is on the line. Chip Kelly would go for the jugular.



Imagine what a little play-action to Olsen would have gone for on that play. Probably a touchdown.

#3093149 Colin Jones.....

Posted by Cary Kollins on 17 November 2014 - 11:51 AM

He played lights out.



Several times I thought he was Kuechly at first, and not just because ya know....but because he diagnosed the play and reacted with incredible speed. On that Julio Jones screen pass he nearly had a pick 6, which would have probably given us the win.

#3093100 Rivera's Blunder - Illustrated

Posted by Cary Kollins on 17 November 2014 - 11:24 AM

Based on that statement alone Jason Avant is more qualified than Ron Rivera to be our head coach. 



I was thinking the same thing.




#3092925 Rivera's Blunder - Illustrated

Posted by Cary Kollins on 17 November 2014 - 09:43 AM

The truly sad thing is, we have seen this exact scenario play out numerous times under his watch, yet Rivera has learned nothing.


If you watched all the games that we have lost in this fashion, and had no knowledge of the Panthers, you would think that they were all from the same season. Nope. He's been doing it every damn year. Nothing with Rivera has changed. Is it his ego? Is he seriously that stubborn?


I really wanted the man to succeed here, but I've begun to lose a lot of respect for him. He's pissing this opportunity away.



Exactly. This is exactly what many people feared would happen. Rivera, no longer on the "hot seat", has reverted back to his conservative, defensive nature which was a good way to win games back in 1995.


The Riverboat persona was a mirage. We are doomed to repeat history until he is gone.

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