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Archimedes

Member Since 27 Aug 2012
Offline Last Active Nov 24 2014 07:16 PM
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#3091995 Hail Mary or a 63 yard field goal?

Posted by Archimedes on 16 November 2014 - 07:29 PM

You kick the ball.  Actually made the correct decision today.

 

Oh, the irony.  2012 @ Chicago we throw a hail mary at the end of the first half instead of attempting the kick from 50 yards.  We lose by 1 point.




#2809306 Caption this pic....

Posted by Archimedes on 04 June 2014 - 07:04 PM

"Shouldn't there be a Panthers logo here at midfield?"




#2515368 Starting to get worried ~

Posted by Archimedes on 26 November 2013 - 09:02 PM


Glennon / Tampa Bay didn't do bad against us.  We shut down Vjax because he had that huge game prior, but Underwood kept getting the ball.  We didn't put that Lurch looking QB on his butt near enough and that was with CJ.

 

Until the game was all but over late in the 4th, Glennon and TB only crossed midfield twice, and put up 6 points.

 

They have that stupid cannon they fire everytime the Bucs get in the red zone......it went off with 3 minutes left in the game and scared everyone in the stadium, because no one had heard it all game.




#2504666 Could we have 3 more primetime games this regular season?

Posted by Archimedes on 22 November 2013 - 11:44 AM

It's almost certain that our Week 14 game is flexed, with SF/Sea being protected, and the decision having to be made in 4 days.

 

The rematch week 16 will more than likely get moved to 4pm if we aren't flexed.  If Colts/Chiefs looks unappealing, and Baltimore is eliminated (scheduled game is NE-Bal), we've got a good shot at the prime time slot.

 

Nice find on that website, some very good detail in breaking down the possible time changes.




#2490364 How to beat the Patriots.

Posted by Archimedes on 17 November 2013 - 11:36 AM

1) Don't let them film your practice.




#2483619 Who to root for, Week 11.

Posted by Archimedes on 12 November 2013 - 01:18 PM

Do you not understand that we PLAY the Saints twice? If we are going to win the division, we're going to have to beat them anyway. It makes more sense to have an insurance policy in place, in the event that we don't win the division.

 

No. No. No.

 

This is horrible logic.  Yes, we play the Saints twice.  We don't have to beat them twice to win the division.  The chance we beat them both games is around 25%, likewise it's about 25% they sweep us.  The most likely outcome is a split.  If that's the case we need to make up one game on them, and we need them to lose division and conference games.  Their schedule is very hard down the stretch, mainly the next 4 weeks. 

 

And the "insurance policy" you speak of is non-existent.  SF losing would effectively help us around 0.25-.05% (less than half a percent) in terms of probability of making the playoffs.  The reason, its very unlikely that any combo of any two of the 3 relevant WC contenders can jump us, with us holding tiebreakers over all of them.

 

Conversely, the difference between the #2 seed, and a #5 or 6 is drastic.  We'd have about an 7-8% shot at winning 3 consecutive road games vs playoff teams and advancing to the big game, we would have about a 20-25% chance of making the super bowl by getting the bye, playing at home, then having to win one road game (presumably in Seattle) to get there.  It's not even close.




#2483443 Who to root for, Week 11.

Posted by Archimedes on 12 November 2013 - 12:07 PM

Saints over Niners??????? No F'ing way.

 

As of now we hold the H2H tiebreaker over SF, and the Conference record tiebreakers over GB and Chi.  Were about 85-90% to get into the playoffs.  We have a very legit shot at winning the division.

 

Catching the Saints could be the difference between our path to the super bowl consisting of 3 road games, verses a bye, a home game, and (likely) one road game.  It's not even close.  Go Niners.




#2474993 What do you want to see at today's game?

Posted by Archimedes on 10 November 2013 - 10:38 AM

A win.

 

The new Ron Rivera making the same kind of calls late in a close game, that he's made early in blowout wins.

 

Kapernick hurried, knocked down, chased out of the pocket early and often.




#2470264 Panthers still 35% to make the playoffs

Posted by Archimedes on 06 November 2013 - 01:41 PM

how do 67% chance to make the playoffs and 6th favorite superbowl champ go together?

 

i'm not complaining, but...

 

It's because they have us ranked as the 3rd best team in the NFL.  They sim out the season which factors in tiebreakers, so a team like N.O., who currently has a better record (2 losses, 0 in conference) is more likely to get in to the playoffs (and win the division) than we are, but has a lower probability than we do of winning in any given game once in the playoffs, thus a lower Super Bowl win probability overall. 




#2385136 Offered 1.25 billion for team, why is it coming out now?

Posted by Archimedes on 17 September 2013 - 12:37 PM

The offer was 1.25B.  Its 20-25% over the appraised value of the team, but it was made by a group in LA.  The reason it didn't come out right away, was because it wasn't supposed to be public information.  It hurts the groups negotiating power in an attempt to buy another team.

 

This should really show anyone who thinks Jerry only cares about the bottom line, that it simply isn't true.  He's not going to run the team financially into the ground, but winning a Super Bowl is worth far more to him than profit margins at this point.




#2379125 Godfrey probably blew out his achilles

Posted by Archimedes on 15 September 2013 - 05:18 PM

Maybe Lafell could move to DB, he looked great swatting balls down in the first half.




#2374058 If we go 7-9 or 6-10 how would you feel about keeping Rivera if..

Posted by Archimedes on 13 September 2013 - 11:01 PM

I wouldn't want to keep Rivera if we went 10-6, much less 6-10.  He's had over 2 years and has shown us what were getting.  The guy isn't cut out to be an NFL coach.  He's flustered under pressure, he's clueless in decision making.  Even if we win in spite of him, and it's very possible with the talent we have, he shouldn't be here next year.   




#2373238 The more Rivera talks, the more I worry

Posted by Archimedes on 13 September 2013 - 12:05 PM

Chip Kelly's offense may very well be a gimmick that regresses as the season goes along, but that's not the point of the question asked.  Rivera was asked about pace.

 

By adding more plays to the game, all other things being the same, you would expect randomness to decrease in the outcome.  For example, if the Jaguars played the 49ers in a 15 minute football game, they would have a far better chance of upsetting them, than if they played a 120 minute football game.

 

If you believe you are the better team, it's in your best interest to increase the number of plays in the game.  It gives you the best chance to win.  If you believe you aren't you want to "control the clock" (ie...run less plays and in effect shorten the game). 

 

I wouldn't expect the coach who cant figure out why a 50 yard FG attempt at half is better than throwing a hail mary out of the endzone, or who has zero understanding of risk/reward value of down and distance on 4th downs, to grasp something like this.




#2366197 Mike Tanier (Football Outsiders) weighs in

Posted by Archimedes on 09 September 2013 - 08:37 AM

We're not a playoff team.

 

We have playoff talent, with a group of timid idiots running the show.  Rivera continues to be a deer in the headlights at key decision points in the game.

 

I'm glad Cam was sticking up for Shula saying he "called a great game", as we don't need the added drama, but hes dead wrong.  Shula is insanely predictable and fails to use the strength of our offense.  Chud, as much as he was hated around here, was good at not just using Cam, but the threat of Cam running via play action to take a shot on mid range and down field passes. 

 

We had exactly three, THREE, targets (not completions, TARGETS) 10 yards or more down the field.  THREE.  




#2316815 Acceptable / Prohibited items in stadium

Posted by Archimedes on 09 August 2013 - 02:30 PM

Would be nice if they would add piss-yellow towels to the prohibited list before our final home preseason game when the scum of the Carolinas will fill up half our stadium annoyingly waving them around.






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