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nagai

Member Since 16 Apr 2009
Online Last Active Today, 09:59 PM
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Topics I've Started

Mayock's top 100

05 May 2014 - 06:52 PM

http://www.nfl.com/n...p-100-prospects


Nagai's 1st Round Mock with Full Analyses of Every Pick

05 May 2014 - 04:02 AM

Man, I've spent waaay too much time on this. Another year, another mock, another reason to go endlessly researching what different fans want on different team forums. It feels this creature's been growing inside me for months, and here's the baby.

 

1. Houston Texans – Jadeveon Clowney DE

 

Let's just keep it simple here – Clowney's a once in a lifetime sort of prospect.

 

2. Cleveland Browns from St. Louis Rams from Washington Redskins – Johnny Manziel QB

 

The Browns have quite a few picks, and I think they should have learned their lesson – if you want a franchise QB, don't just wait and grab one later. They've already made that mistake twice with Brady Quinn and Brandon Weeden. No, if you're in love with a guy, be aggressive and grab him. If you've got a franchise QB, you've got a chance. If you don't... forget it. That's what I think Cleveland's thinking anyway.

 

3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Khalil Mack OLB

 

OK, so here's my logic: Gus Bradley's a defensive coach from Seattle, and the Seahawks just won a superbowl with defense, a running game, and just enough passing prowess to get by. I'm still tempted to give them Sammy Watkins, especially given Blackmon's situation, but at the end of the day, I think Bradley will stick with what's worked for them in Seattle.

 

4. St. Louis Rams from Cleveland Browns – Sammy Watkins WR

 

The Rams have a pretty sweet deal going here. By trading down to 4, they can still get either Robinson or Watkins (provided that the Browns take a QB with their original pick). I know they've signed Kenny Britt, but he's never had a year with over a thousand yards. At the same time, Fisher has also never drafted an OL in the first round. They've got a few picks now to cover all their holes, but they won't get another chance this year to pick at the top of the draft. With all this in mind, I think they should grab some firepower, some pazzaz, and just draft a RT in the second round.

 

5. Oakland Raiders – Greg Robinson OT

 

I don't think we have to overthink this pick. Robinson's the BPA (best player available) and Reggie McKenzie likes picking the BPA. Next!

 

6. Atlanta Falcons – Anthony Barr LB

 

The Falcons always seem to think that they're just one or two pieces away from a championship, and they try to fill those holes aggresively. Right now, their biggest needs are OLB and LT; so think about it, would they rather grab a tackle in the first round, and a pass rusher in the second, or the other way round? There aren't many good OLB's in this draft, but there are plenty of OT's. So at the end of the day, I think they'll grab Barr in the first, and wait for the second round for their lineman. Jake Matthews is still, obviously, a really attractive option.

 

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Mike Evans WR

 

It doesn't matter who the QB's in Tampa are if they don't have enough weapons. Don't count out Matthews here either. This seems to be the consensus pick, even amongst Bucs fans.

 

8. Minnesota Vikings – Blake Bortles QB

 

I just think Bortles fits what Norv Turner would want in a QB. He's a big, athletic guy who will learn and frow in this offense. Don't completely rule out Teddy Bridgewater either. I know he has fallen, but in a lot of ways, Bridgewater would be a nice fit.

 

9. Buffalo Bills – Eric Ebron TE

 

I love the Bills on draft day, because they never really seem to care how others rank prospects, they just YOLO it and fill their biggest need, often reaching for it. Is it the best idea? Maybe not, but boy is it fun to watch. Priority number one right now in Buffalo is to surround EJ Manuel with talent. Ebron fits the bill.

 

10. Detroit Lions – Jake Matthews OT

 

I'm sure the Lions would love a WR to go alongside Megatron, but if Matthews falls to them, they are running to the podium. The Lions are a BPA team – remember how they picked Fairley even when they had Suh? Matthews is clearly the BPA here.

 

11. Tennessee Titans – Aaron Donald DT

 

I always take a look at different team forums and try and percieve whom the hot name is among different fan bases. Let me tell you Donald's name is SIZZLING hot. This guy is not going to drop very far if everything I've read is indicative of the NFL's excitement.

 

12. New York Giants – Taylor Lewan OT

 

The Giants are a BPA team and if you've been paying attention, it should be pretty obvious. This is the team that grabbed JPP and Kiwanuka in seperate drafts when they already had the best pass rush in pro football. Let's keep it simple here.

 

13. St. Louis RamsHasean Clinton-Dix S

 

The Rams need a safety, Seattle just won a superbowl with their DB's, and Ha Ha's a legitimate talent. Now all they need is a young OT to groom while they continue to evaluate Jake Long's health.

 

14. Chicago Bears – Calvin Pryor S

 

In my view, there are three positions that could be taken here – CB, S, or DT. Jernigan is still available, but I'm not sold on his explosiveness. Chicago's CB's are old, but not bad, and they can get a guy there in later rounds. S however has been an overlooked position in the windy city for a long time. I'm going with Pryor here.

 

15. Pittsburgh Steelers – Darqueze Dennard CB

 

Pittsburgh to me may be the most intruiging team in the first round. They have a mountain of needs and can pick from just about any position. It's a deep draft, so they may very well trade down, making a deal with Jim Harbaugh's 49ers right before his brother gets to pick. The reasons I didn't pull the trigger on this trade were threefold: 1) Kevin Colbert (the Steelers' GM) really believes that a rookie needs to be mentally mature for him to be successful, and this is (in his eyes) the most immature draft class in years. Would he really want to trade down to 30, just to roll the dice with guys like Hageman or Benjamin? Dennard has all the intagibles that you'd want in a player. 2) Dennard fits the Pittsburgh defense perfectly. 3) I think the 9ers can get a trade two picks later with the Cowboys, probably for a cheaper price. So yeah, Dennard goes to the steel city. Just as an aside, Dennard was another name I saw a lot of when I did my reasearch.

 

16. Baltimore Ravens – Justin Gilbert CB

 

I think this is a pretty perfect pick for Ozzie Newsome – Gilbert's one of the best players left on the board, it fills a big need, and he has that athelticism and production that all Ravens' first round picks seem to have.


The Aging Population and the Health Sector

08 March 2014 - 08:11 PM

The population in the developed world is aging rapidly. Here's an excerpt from an The State of Aging and Health in America 2013:

The current growth in the number and proportion of older adults in the United States is unprecedented
in our nation’s history. By 2050, it is anticipated that Americans aged 65 or older will number nearly 89
million people, or more than double the number of older adults in the United States in 2010.

The rapid aging of the U.S. population is being driven by two realities: Americans are living longer
lives than in previous decades and, given the post-World War II baby boom, there are proportionately
more older adults than in previous generations. Many Americans are now living into their 70s, 80s, and
beyond. The leading edge of the baby boomers reached age 65 in 2011, launching an unparalleled
phenomenon in the United States. Since January 1, 2011, and each and every day for the next 20 years,
roughly 10,000 Americans will celebrate their 65th birthdays. In 2030, when the last baby boomer
turns 65, the demographic landscape of our nation will have changed significantly. One of every five
Americans—about 72 million people—will be an older adult.


These figures are pretty comparable to the rest of the developed world. Countries like China (one child policy) and Japan (population is actually decreasing because of aging + less children being born) are doing even worse.

Now, although the richer countries in the world may be decently equipped to handle the strains of an aging population, other countries are not. Here in New Zealand for example, no amount of government subsides or medical students will fix the problem. If we just throw more money in health, it's simply going to cripple the other facets of society. Think about it, if there's twice as many people over the age of 65, all things being equal there will be twice as many pensioners, twice as many people reliant on the government and their families, and less tax payers to support the system. The cost is simply too high. If we just train more doctors, there's still no guarantee that this will help the problem. This is an international issue, and there are plenty of other countries who are willing to pay a higher salary, with better benefits.

The average age of GP's here is around 50. GP's are the cornerstone of our health system. You can't even see a specialist without the referral of a GP here. It is impossible to get a same-day-appointment now, and the situation is only getting worse.

Great technological advances may eventually fix our problems, but what do we do about it in the mean time? Is there a way to get the public more interested in researching about health and taking more preventative measures? Is there a better way to promote exercise and good dieting? Tell me any ideas/thoughts you have.

Pre-Combine Mock -- Panthers Cream their Pants Edition

15 February 2014 - 06:05 PM

I didn't really plan on the mock turning out the way it did... it just happened. My favourite pick here is Pryor to the Jets. Rex just got an extension, and time and time again he's proven that he'll draft toys on defence over patching offensive needs. He whined publicly when they drafted a receiver in the first lol (Stephen Hill). Wouldn't be the first time we got lucky on draft day.

 

1. Houston Texans – Teddy Bridgewater QB

2. St. Louis Rams – Jake Matthews OT

3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Blake Bortles QB

4. Cleveland Browns – Johnny Manziel QB

5. Oakland Raiders – Jadeveon Clowney DE

6. Atlanta Falcons – Greg Robinson OT

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Sammy Watkins WR

8. Minnesota Vikings – Anthony Barr OLB

9. Buffalo Bills – Eric Ebron TE

10. Detroit Lions – Justin Gilbert CB

11. Tennessee Titans – Khalil Mack OLB

12. New York Giants – Taylor Lewan OT

13. St. Louis RamsHasean Clinton-Dix S

14. Chicago Bears – Lois Nix III DT

15. Pittsburgh Steelers – CJ Mosley ILB

16. Baltimore Ravens – Mike Evans WR

17. Dallas Cowboys – Timmy Jernigan DT

18. New York Jets – Calvin Pryor S

19. Miami Dolphins – Zach Martin OT

20. Arizona Cardinals – Cyrus Kouandjio OT

21. Green Bay Packers – Darqueze Dennard CB

22. Philadelphia Eagles – Ryan Shazier OLB

23. Kansas City Chiefs – Stephon Tuitt DE

24. Cincinnati Bengals – Aaron Donald DT

25. San Diego Chargers – Kelvin Benjamin WR

26. Cleveland Browns – Carlos Hyde RB

27. New Orleans Saints – Kony Ealy OLB

28. Carolina Panthers – Marqise Lee WR

29. New England Patriots – Morgan Moses OT

30. San Francisco 49ers – Ra'Shede Hageman DE

31. Denver Broncos – Bradley Roby CB

32. Seattle Seahawks – Jace Amaro TE

 


Get on the bandwagon: Odell Beckham Jr

13 February 2014 - 06:15 PM

6'0, 4.4 speed (estimate), great ball skills, huge hands, fluid athlete... this guy has it all. This guy's my number 2 WR right now behind Watkins. Remember that it's still early in the draft process -- I expect him to be seen as a top 15 type of prospect when it's all said and done.

 


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