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UNCrules2187

Member Since 26 Nov 2008
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#2953917 Angry Rivera

Posted by UNCrules2187 on Yesterday, 11:00 PM

Saw this on Twitter...

 

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#2953905 Guys.....look.

Posted by UNCrules2187 on Yesterday, 10:57 PM

They said we had no receivers
 
They said we had no offensive line
 
They said we had no secondary
 
They said Cam was too hurt
 
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#2952733 I know this will be moved...but

Posted by UNCrules2187 on Yesterday, 06:13 PM

Ben Volin ‏@BenVolin 1m
Brandon LaFell, who already pocketed $3.825m this year, has 0 catches in 2 gms. Amendola, who has made $3.0625m, has 3 catches for 16 yards
 
Donald LaFell ladies and gents.



#2945661 False::::According to sources of WFNZ, Panthers considering. Cutting Hardy today

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 12 September 2014 - 01:42 PM

Per a team official, the #Panthers have no plans to do anything regarding Greg Hardy’s status today. Deep breaths, people. #process




#2945282 Apparently ESPN's Outside the Lines did a hit piece on Greg Hardy this mo...

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 12 September 2014 - 10:32 AM

I don't think it matters whether he did it or not, or the lady was coked up (or both of them) or not

 

Right or wrong he was found guilty. That is all that people are concerned about. It isn't speculation or rumor...its a situation where the law has already spoken.

 

I dont want to lose Hardy! I want him to play the season...etc etc, but yeah I can understand why the media is honing in on him...and if he played for any other team (particularly the Saints or Falcons, few here would have a problem with the national media focus.

 

Guilty by bench trial, aka one person. No one person is impartial - we all have our inherent biases. He has the right to be tried by a jury of his peers.




#2943997 So apparently Detroit media is turning "Donkey Kong Suh" into a racia...

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 11 September 2014 - 03:53 PM

Cam is Clayton Bigsby

 

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#2943728 Great Breakdown of New Orleans Nonsensical Defense

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 11 September 2014 - 01:52 PM

http://www.footballo...fensive-schemes

 

lol at having Kenny Vaccaro cover RBs in the flat while Rafael Bush and Roman Humbar covering Roddy White and Devin Hester.




#2942285 Donkey Kong Suh

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 10 September 2014 - 08:50 PM

 

Masterclass in trolling by Cam. I'm dying over here.




#2941294 No sign of Hardy at practice today!

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 10 September 2014 - 02:06 PM

RT @davebirkett: Panthers Ron Rivera said Greg Hardy had an excused absence today but expects him to be available Sunday

 

much ado about nothing..




#2940844 "Breakeven" Analysis on Coach's Challenges

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 10 September 2014 - 10:42 AM

Really interesting post on Advanced Football Analytics that attempts to quantify the impact of a coach's challenge and whether or not the flag should have been thrown:

 

 

Every replay situation is unique. We can't quantify the probability that a particular play will be overturned statistically, but we can determine the breakeven probability of success for a challenge to be worthwhile for any situation. If a coach believes the chance of overturning the call is above the breakeven level, he should challenge. Below the breakeven level, he should hold onto his red flag.

 

To calculate the breakeven probability of reversal, we need a bit of algebra. Let's define the relevant numbers as follows:
 
B = breakeven probability of reversal
R = win probability given call reversed
U = win probability given call upheld
N = win probability given no challenge is made
 
We just need set the WP of no challenge (N) equal to the "lottery" of challenging the call and we get:
 
N = B * R + (1-B ) * U
 
Solving for B, we get:
 
B = (N - U) / (R - U)
 
This makes sense, because the lower the WP penalty is for a failed challenge, the lower the breakeven success probability needs to be. Likewise, the bigger the WP bonus is for reversal, the lower the breakeven success probability needs to be.

 

The post then analyzes a few challenges, including what I'm sure many of us thought was a dumb challenge by Ron Rivera on that short completion by McCown on 1st and 10 at the beginning of the 3rd quarter:
 

6. 1-10-CAR 41, 14:57 in the 3rd, CAR ahead by 10 -- TB's Josh McCown escapes a sack and completes a 4-yard pass. CAR challenges, hoping McCown was down before throwing but the call is upheld. I commented that I believed it was an unwise challenge at the time, but the breakeven was only 7%.

 
Now, I doubt coaches are thinking in these terms, but the post's conclusion seems to show that coaches' intuition/gut has probably been more correct than we tend to think:
 

 

These six examples are instructive. First, contrary to my intuition, it seems that coaches are not blowing their timeouts on frivolous challenges. If a call is fishy at all--say somewhere in the neighborhood of a 1-in-10 or 1-in-20 chance of being overturned, and the difference in outcomes moves the WP needle at all, it's probably a good idea to challenge it. Certainly any time a score or turnover is on the line, it should be challenged. When a conversion is at stake, or even when the probability of a conversion is significantly affected, it's probably a good idea to challenge.

 

Things change late in close games when timeouts begin to skyrocket in value. But until then, there are just too many different and more important factors than timeouts. A team could end up ahead, and not need their timeouts at all. Or they could easily end up where they would lose even if they had six timeouts.
 



#2938857 OK, let's talk about the Lions

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 09 September 2014 - 10:06 AM

Their run game wasn't impressive at all. They only started to get yards when the defense was gassed in the 4th because the offense couldn't stay on the field. 

 

Their receiving corps are monsters. Megatron re-established why he is still the best WR in the league, and I honestly think Tate is good enough to be a #1 option on most teams. However, their TEs don't scare me. As a UNC fan, I know the talent that Ebron has, but he's always had issues with drops and concentration and I think it's going to take him a while to get adjusted to the speed of the league.

 

Stafford, while he is without a doubt a good QB, still makes several boneheaded plays. Any defense worth its salt would have picked off that horrendous throw (running to his left, throwing across his body while on the run) that became Megatron's 2nd touchdown. 

 

If we can harass Stafford with our front 4 and bracket Megatron, I think we have a very good shot at winning this game.




#2936321 Bene Interview, OMG Book Bag

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 08 September 2014 - 08:26 AM

It's a blue teenage mutant ninja turtle backpack.

 

Actually, believe it's the Blue Shell from Mario Kart:

 

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#2935775 Ron Rivera just retweeted this

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 07 September 2014 - 11:15 PM

ImageUploadedByCarolinaHuddle1410149707.126231.jpg

LMAO


Sent from my iPhone using CarolinaHuddle


#2935570 Philly Brown

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 07 September 2014 - 10:03 PM

He didn't muff any punts and had a nifty 23 yard return.

 

All in all, a good performance for a rookie UDFA.




#2935170 The Ronde Barber Thread

Posted by UNCrules2187 on 07 September 2014 - 08:40 PM

i thought he was pretty unbiased tbh

Seriously?

 

Dude was homerific as fug.






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