Jump to content
Carolina Huddle
  • Hey There!

    Please register to see fewer ads and a better viewing experience:100_Emoji_42x42:

rodeo

democratic primary candidates thread

Recommended Posts



Sanders and Warren aren't taking shots at each other because there's no sense tearing down your running mate.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The important thing now is just determining which of the two does a better job mobilizing the Democratic base, because if they both go into primary season they will split the progressive vote and pave the way for Biden. Of the two it's got to be Sanders, because Sanders is unflappable, and Trump knows how to play Warren like a fiddle.

  • Pie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Captroop said:

The important thing now is just determining which of the two does a better job mobilizing the Democratic base, because if they both go into primary season they will split the progressive vote and pave the way for Biden. Of the two it's got to be Sanders, because Sanders is unflappable, and Trump knows how to play Warren like a fiddle.

you would think that but what polls are showing is that warren and kamala are splitting votes while biden and bernie split votes

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, GOOGLE JIM BOB COOTER said:

you would think that but what polls are showing is that warren and kamala are splitting votes while biden and bernie split votes

Really? That's interesting.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Captroop said:

Really? That's interesting.

there are definitely voters who voted bernie in 2016 who did so only because he was to the left of clinton and those voters are going to be more comfortable with an elizabeth warren but yeah for the most part harris and warren are fighting over the same voters.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Captroop said:

The important thing now is just determining which of the two does a better job mobilizing the Democratic base, because if they both go into primary season they will split the progressive vote and pave the way for Biden. Of the two it's got to be Sanders, because Sanders is unflappable, and Trump knows how to play Warren like a fiddle.

Fair vote is working on a interactive website that has a lot of quirks but seems to be narrowing in on rankings and who voters go to.

If Biden was to drop out Warren would pick up about 15% of his voters. Bernie about 9%

If Bernie was to drop out the voters would almost evenly split between warren and biden same if warren drops out even to Bernie biden

Warren dropping out gives Harris a pretty big bump and not much for the others.  Harris dropping out her voters dont go really anywhere to the top five (small bumps for everyone)

Buttiegieg clicks up slightly if warren or biden drop and unchanged with bernie out.

 

https://www.fairvote.org/democratic_primary_2020_poll#spread_of_democratic_frontrunner_rankings

Edited by Fryfan

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A little more.

If Warren and Bernie were to both withdraw Biden walks away with it Harris and Pete split the other half of the vote

If it comes to one on ones Warren edges out Biden slightly.  This is showing Bernie 10 points behind Biden.

Three way race (Bernie Biden Warren) Biden edges out Warren with Bernie trailing.

Harris, Bernie, Biden, Warren - Puts Biden in a clear lead by knocking warren back a little from her total. Bernie does not loose much with Harris staying in.

Black voters still overwhelming are in Bidens camp at 50% warren and bernie split at 12% each with him out the trend is a bit towards Bernie bringing him up to 30%  and warren only doubling to 24% Harris picks up the rest of that demographic

Edited by Fryfan

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

if you look at the demographics of the voters it makes sense. biden and bernie draw from a more diverse group of working class voters. warren in particular is THE candidate for educated, financially comfortable white people. problem there is that historically that demographic doesn't vote for democrats in general elections. she would get absolutely owned by trump, no question.

Edited by GOOGLE JIM BOB COOTER

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




×
×
  • Create New...