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Possible, objective, unsupported Watson scenarios


MHS831
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4 hours ago, TheCasillas said:

In the last scenario CMC would go to Miami. 

My bad--I got so turned around and parts were confusing because I cut and pasted so much.

Simple version:  The Jets have the pick and the cap room for Watson.  We should focus on a deal with Miami--because they are not picking a QB.  To me, I am settling into a fairly firm account of the situation by engaging in this process:

So if traded,  I predict Watson goes to the Jets based on cap room (that Miami does not have) and the fact that they have 2 first rounders--the Texans take Wilson--if that deal falls through, the Panthers are next in line, but assuming it does not-the Panthers will move up to #3 for Lance or Fields.  However, NY may want to keep their picks and take Wilson--and use the cap they saved and the 3 picks in the top 35 to build around Wilson. (That is what I would do).  So let's say the Jets say, "HELL NO."   NEXT call the Texans make: MIAMI.

So Houston is thinking, "Do we want Tua and 2 first rounders or do we want to keep Watson and try to make him happy? They are not thinking Carolina and CMC / Shaq yet.  They are deciding between  Tua + 2 first rounders, and keeping Watson.  The Dolphins then have to decide if they have the cap room for Watson and are willing to lose the picks it would take to get Watson.  In addition, they have to decide to give up on a player they just researched for months who was not even expected to play in a season with no preseason.  Tall order for a rehabbing rookie, and they said in January that he was their guy in 2021.  Frankly, I think a trade makes them look weak.  Watson's salary would eat all their salary cap and they would lose their first rounders.  They need to rebuild around Tua over selling the farm for Watson. Watson is good, but won 4 games last year with no supporting cast.  Miami would be no different, so do not expect the Dolphin offer to be substantial.  The upgrade at QB is not worth the price.  (If I am Miami, I draft a WR and RT in round 1 and keep Tua.)

So it is possible that Miami and the Jets do not offer the farm for Watson, and they may not offer anything at all.  Three bad front offices trying to cut deals.  The Panthers should lay a good offer on the table and sit back.  If the Texans deal with the Jets, the offer a good deal to Miami.  If the Texans and jets do not come to terms, it is much less likely Miami will give Houston what it wants.  The Panthers should deal with Miami and let Houston tap them on the shoulder---then the price goes down.  if not, the Panthers have Fields or Lance.

Edited by MHS831
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