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Dream scenario for ending out the season


cranky
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28 minutes ago, GarthMcGrath said:

REAL dream scenario:

Beat the Saints

Beat the Bucs with Baker Mayfield. He hurts his shoulder again last play of game.

Beat the Hawks with Sam Darnold.

Beat the Bucs with Teddy Bridgewater.

Get the #1 Seed (still technically possible)

Beat the Lions with Kyle Allen (Jared Goff injured during practice)

NFC Championship - Beat the Bears with Caleb Williams

Super Bowl - Beat the Texans with CJ Stroud

Bryce Young is the MVP and has exercised all of his demons and proved he is the true franchise.

 

I’ll have what he’s having…

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On 12/3/2025 at 10:54 PM, OneBadCat said:

Brother they rigged that game at home years ago in the 2014 playoffs. Now they just might call a fair game since they got scrutinized for the Monday night game but I doubt it. 
 

We’re gonna be battling the refs every game from here on out.  Seahawks or Bears are probably the least likely to be rigged in the playoffs though. 

You aren’t lying about the playoff game at home. But I also can’t fault the refs for the panthers getting stuffed on TWO goal line opportunities.

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43 minutes ago, ProcessBlue2 said:

I forgot Tampa plays next Thursday. Puts them playing 3 divisional games in 14 days. With us coming off a late season bye.

If the Panthers sweep Tampa and make the playoffs, and at least one of those Tampa games Bryce is the reason the team wins, he’s earned his spot. I think we all know in the back of our minds he’s going to barf all over himself in at least one of the Tampa games, probably the first one removing all chances of making the playoffs, and then he throttles them in a meaningless last game. 

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I’m traveling home today and had some time. I  added a lot of data into ChatGPT including: average EPA (offense and defense), statistical averages, efficiency %s, strength of schedule, strength of victories, remaining schedule, etc. 

To summarize: On average teams following a bye week have a 5-10% increase for EPA per play. Teams with a post- Week 12 bye have a 10-15% increase of EPA per play on average. Teams with a late season bye week on average have a 15% greater chance of victory against opponents than they would have prior to their bye week. 
 

I asked to simulate the remaining games and this was the results:

Carolina 10-7

Bye

@ New Orleans (W 27-14)

Vs Tampa Bay (W 23-20)

Vs Seattle (L 31-17)

@ Tampa Bay (W 17-14)

 

Tampa 9-8

Vs New Orleans (W 27-17)

Vs Atlanta (L 27-21)

@ Carolina (L 23-20)

@ Miami (W 21-14)

Vs Carolina (L 17-14)

It references Carolina’s higher EPA per play following his the bye week, Tampa’s 3 consecutive divisional games, and apparent linear regression of EPA per play since season start as the reasons.

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    • You’re playing madden we’re talking real football stuff…. He does have you seen his special on internet he def thinks he’s getting paid 
    • Without the team having an identity kinda hard to predict what they value.  They either are really trying to build a balanced team, or preparing for another swing at qb if Bryce doesn’t pan out. Seems like we value the o line but the $ spent there has been underwhelming besides Lewis, you could say it’s because of injuries but still hasn’t been worth the investment. as already stated, the whole handling of Bryce young as a whole has been ass backwards, we spent the years we’re supposed to take advantage of having a qb with a lower cap hit, building the team up to be adequate. now It appears, key word appears, the saints have done it correctly, which is painful to even think about. Regardless, I hope the front office has paid attention to qb contracts recently, such as Tua, Kyler, Daniel jones(pre colts) and don’t settle for subpar qb play at franchise qb rates    
    • This is the flaw in your logic.  Cutting 3 of our best players will somehow move us from whatever we are to "compete". Even the most Young super fans are not predicting a ceiling above top 10-12, and that will not nearly cut it.  Someone will need to break the log jam of QBs getting nothing or North of 50. Our qb is at best a middle ground, lets hope it will be us that also manage to pay the worth at about 100 over 3 years.  And before you jump me, yes that is only of he improves.
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