ProcessBlue2

There was a an NFL Network episode before the draft one year and they invited Mahomes on before the draft and I’m pretty sure David Carr who had been out of the league a while by then out threw Mahomes pre-draft. I don’t remember if it was accuracy or if it was like an arm strength test but I remember being like Damn, this kids arm is horrible..

Yes David Carr won us the game in New Orleans and looked completely horrible every start afterwards. I remember going to the Tampa game that year, we were wearing blue- it was horrible.

I’m traveling home today and had some time. I added a lot of data into ChatGPT including: average EPA (offense and defense), statistical averages, efficiency %s, strength of schedule, strength of victories, remaining schedule, etc. To summarize: On average teams following a bye week have a 5-10% increase for EPA per play. Teams with a post- Week 12 bye have a 10-15% increase of EPA per play on average. Teams with a late season bye week on average have a 15% greater chance of victory against opponents than they would have prior to their bye week. I asked to simulate the remaining games and this was the results: Carolina 10-7 Bye @ New Orleans (W 27-14) Vs Tampa Bay (W 23-20) Vs Seattle (L 31-17) @ Tampa Bay (W 17-14) Tampa 9-8 Vs New Orleans (W 27-17) Vs Atlanta (L 27-21) @ Carolina (L 23-20) @ Miami (W 21-14) Vs Carolina (L 17-14) It references Carolina’s higher EPA per play following his the bye week, Tampa’s 3 consecutive divisional games, and apparent linear regression of EPA per play since season start as the reasons.

I forgot Tampa plays next Thursday. Puts them playing 3 divisional games in 14 days. With us coming off a late season bye.

I think Morgan gets more credit than anyone. Scott was the worst GM by far and Morgan has almost unfuged this team. Canales has been alright, but Morgan has an eye for talent

I would love for them to beat Tampa this week and then us beat them next week. I do feel that we will take this game more seriously this time considering last time and how much that loss hurt us.

I would love to win the division and then host the Bears or 49ers and beat them here. We could do whatever after that the season would be a major success for us.

Apparently we have a better strength of victory than Tampa. .471 to .432 So technically if we split with them, finished with the same record, same division record (2-0 and 2-1 now) and same conference record (both 5-3 now) it would come down to that and we would win. This is going to be a weird 4-5 weeks

49ers, Seahawks, Rams all have 9 wins. Niners are on a bye this week. Rams win the division and 49ers are the 5 seed. Rams have it easy from here on. 49ers will beat Seahawks. They are also 4-1 in the division. Seattle will be 6 or 7 probably 6.

When do we get a Tepper mic up. Can we do that for the 1st Tampa game?

Tampa is going to poo the bed against NO or ATL- one not both. My guess is ATL on Thursday night football because those games are weird. I think they lose to Miami. Not big deal if we lose to Seattle, more of a bonus if we win or a make up if we lose to NO again. But Miami is kinda a rival for Tampa and I could see them overlooking it. The rest will be what happens between us and them. Not saying this because I want it to happen, but a lot of their guys are barely holding on. Baker is a rough sack away from falling entirely apart.

If he wins the division, I would support him getting COTY 100% considering the mess that we have been in for so long. He owes about 75% of the award to Dan Morgan.

This season reminds me a lot of 1999. The ups and downs. That was the season where I moved from a casual to a fanatic and Steve Beuerlein is still the fuging man.

And an ankle, and oblique, and wrist I think.