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Ocpanthertew714

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Posts posted by Ocpanthertew714

  1. I feel like the data about larger QB's are more prone to injury can be relatively misleading.

    Couple of things to note:  

    1.  Correlation does not imply causation

    2. Inferential statistics is simply storytelling 

    But thought this link was very interesting:

    https://webpages.uidaho.edu/~renaes/251/HON/Student PPTs/Avg NFL ht wt.pdf

    This provides excellent insight into average height and weight for the QB

    As for weight you will see a median of about ~220 for QB's

    with a min of about ~215

    (Granted, I do not know the year of this particular data collection date)

    You will also see outliers of about 240 ( this is important to not because outliers can greatly increase your mean or average depending on your vernacular). 

    QB- Avg. Height: 75.43 in Avg. Weight: 224.97 lbs

     

    Why is this all noteworthy, it's because the NFL has a prototypical size for there QB's ( as with every position.  there are exceptions of course)

    So there is not a lot of data on QB's who are typically much smaller than the "proto typical size".  which will naturally show that bigger/heavier QB's are injured more

    In conclusion:  Of course some data will show larger the QB the more they get hurt, because from a logical standpoint: There is a much larger sample size to make an inference from.  

    Am I right?  I have no idea. 

  2. 5 minutes ago, panfanman said:

    I'm all aboard the AR train but not at #1.  I'm not even sure how a smoke screen works when you're holding the #1 pick unless you're more than casually interested in trading back.

    I'm curious tho as someone supposedly on the AR train.

    If he is what this organization deems to be the franchise, does it really matter where he is selected?

    • Beer 1
  3. 1 hour ago, Ricky Spanish said:

    Accuracy and lack of experience primarily. He played all of 12 games or so at Florida and didn't throw all that amazingly. His accuracy issues don't seem to be correctible like Allen's were based on his poor footwork. He just misses randomly. 

    He does seem to read the field well and navigates the pocket better than anyone in the draft save for Young, He is a legitimate running threat at the next level as he is built like Cam but even faster, plus the howitzer attached to his right shoulder make him intriguing. 

    But overall lack of experience and accuracy issues make him a huge risk.

    hmmm... interesting.

    I would be more concerned with accuracy issues than experience imo.

    Also, I just read an article that AR (like Levis) had a similar situation in terms of a poor supporting cast.  However, I don't buy into that being a contributing factor of less-than-stellar accuracy.  

    I absolutely love this guy's physical traits.  I would be more surprised than upset if we pick him.

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