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I'm not sure if I'll be able to stat track consistently throughout the 2021 season, but I'm going to try to create a few threads for a few stats that seem particularly relevant for the team's success or failure. One area of concern for the Panthers over the past few seasons has been 3rd down conversion on Offense: 2019: 31.88% (rank #29) 2020: 38.97% (rank #24) (Stats via Team Rankings) https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/third-down-conversion-pct?date=2020-02-03 https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/third-down-conversion-pct?date=2021-02-08 So, it was a concern in week 1 to see a very low success rate in 3rd down conversions: 4-14 (28.4%) and 0-1 on 4th down attempts. (24th in the league.... picking right up where we ended the 2020 season in terms of rankings). Thankfully in spite of a lot of stalled drives, it was "just the Jets" and we squeaked out a closer than needed win. But it prompted me to want to start keeping a detailed record of our 3rd (and 4th) down conversion success, looking at the stats each week, including details by drive, distance, game situation, player. I'll hopefully be posting some tables and brief analysis each week to keep a running track of how we're doing in 3rd down conversions. See below for data from weeks 1 & 2.
Here's some analysis about HOW MUCH VALUE DO TEAMS LOSE WHEN THEY DON'T DRAFT A QB IN THE FIRST ROUND: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-value-do-teams-lose-when-they-dont-draft-a-quarterback-in-the-first-round/ The article focuses on Fitterer and Rhule's decision to draft Horn instead of Fields. There's a bunch of number crunching and talk about a quarterback's draft value vs drafting other positions. Those Huddlers who like to dig into stats and numbers will probably like those parts. But here are some other excerpts from the piece: