AU-panther

I think when it is all said and done we are going to find out a lot more people have already had it then they thought, and that the mortality rates are't near as high from a percentage view as they thought. Here is a study where they tried to do some testing based on demographics and not symptoms, some community testing if you will. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1?__cf_chl_jschl_tk__=be77753b5f9c509cb865d14fbdaf97eeb78e11d5-1587139595-0-AWIUFx6wN0uXOvkl2GvKJJc-Ig8sPLjxRzO454lTi9KpWYjKbxnVGQzEHGD9bYZUKYUUOdrfRQ_wQREzNDVmpdEWVIZYt6UTI9m_LD7byikYQA-loXE677ZRO1gHfKAz7mccB9JD5q3Y8YVehLtYCxNulZzxgq75-rzgoHZ2Heyj5PDAftyTcJ9j-gS_9XvqhP1w_lcrCrvVy9EM4vDfOYSqAiDYODT4O2PXN776dtAuibDok5gMCdzZYcCoRi69cdjoFoqV7X4-dhUOTFhjUA5EzGIOpkN7fsqrkufnBv0pOXqb3nOUoVRFDs5ZdBzO9w_yicdwyhIdvht3lBZyMgA They found the infection rate to be between 2.49 and 4.16 percent. If that is correct that probably means 2 weeks earlier a different 3% were positive. Also there is a lot of talk that this has been going on since late last year or early this year. All these reports of people having odd respiratory conditions. Maybe 20% or more of the population has already had it. If so the mortality rates are grossly over estimated.

Those numbers seem high, 18 months to 2 years is what I hear referenced a lot. Even then that is under normal circumstances, we have a lot more resources going to this then any other type of vaccine in the past. You have mega corporations loaning out their supercomputers for this. That doesn't normally happen. Not to mention the government wil probably relax some of the red tape in this situation. If normal circumstance is 2 years there is no reason to not think it can go quicker.

I didn't see the clip, but could he mean 2-3% more people overall die? Lets say 40,000 people in the country die with schools being closed, opening schools increases that by 2%, which is 800. So now 40800 people die, doesn't necessarily mean 800 more kids.

I doubt he really expects top QB kind of money, but I would guess he expects to be paid as one of the top CBs in the league. Based on last year you can make the argument that he deserves something in the range of 5yr/$70m. If the Panthers don't want to go that high then Josh is going to have to decide: Take $14 million this year and try to get paid as one of the top CBs next year. or Take a little less per year now for a long term deal that has more then $14 million guaranteed. If Josh hits the open market next year would there be a team willing to pay him as much or more then what Peterson or Revis make now? Those are the type of questions he and his agent have to ask themselves. I am all for everyone making as much as they can. I think the idea of "hometown discount" is a bit overplayed by a lot of fans. More times then not that is an older player chasing a ring, one that has made a lot already. Usually when you see a player take a little less per year it is for long term security opposed to a short term deal.

Is that on the coaches or does Cam share some of the blame for that? If I remember correctly,on that particular play Brown was wide open for a short gain over the middle.

No. Whether or not he made the team had no bearing on our comp picks.

I tend to look at the receivers in groups. KB and Funchess are fighting for 2 spots (otherwise known as locks) Cotchery, Bersin, and Boykin are fighting for two spots. Ginn, Brown, and Byrd are fighting for 2 spots. A lot of this will be determined in the preseason games, and it won't necessarily be who makes the spectacular plays but the one who consistently does their job. The fans get exited over the 20yrd RAC but have no idea about the times a player runs the wrong route or misses a block on a running play.

I'll be somewhat surprised if we go into the season with 4 running backs and Tolbert on the 53 man roster. There are just so many carries to go around. Cam and Tolbert will probably have 8-12 carries between them. Personally I think Fozzy and Todman are fighting for a spot. Also I expect Williams to grab one of the tight end spots. I would think we would want 3 pass catching type of tight ends on the roster. If we only have Olsen, Dickson, and Brockel what happens if Olsen or Dickson gets hurt. Would we still be able to run 2 TE sets? I think of Brockel as more of a h-back type of player. How many catches has he had in the last 3 years? Here is the way i see it so far: RB - Stewart RB - CAP RB - Todman or Fozzy RB/FB - Tolbert FB/HB/ST - Ward or Brockel TE - Olsen TE - Dickson TE - Williams

last year? http://www.panthers.com/news/article-2/Breaking-down-the-53-man-roster/f8b6396f-4ac3-4bc5-b3d3-97deec514f5a

I would be a little surprised if we kept 4 RBs, Tolbert at FB and Brockel or Ward. There are just so many roster spots. Since people tend to debate who is a "FB" and who is a "TE" we can look at a different way. Last year we started the season with 8 roster spots allocated to RB,FB, and TE. I fully expect us to go into the season with 3 "traditional type TEs. Olsen, Dickson, and probably Williams. Stewart is a lock. CAP and probably Tolbert also. That leaves 2 roster spots for guys like Fozzy, Todman, Reaves, Ward, Wegher, and Brockel. We could always carry more then 8 but people are also wanting us to carry 6 WRs. We only had 5 on the roster at the start of last year. Either way roster spots are going to be tight and some decent players are going to be let go.

Last year we started the season with 4 running backs on the roster (Stewart, Williams, Tolbert, and Fozzy). Also Brockel made the team. http://www.panthers.com/news/article-2/Breaking-down-the-53-man-roster/f8b6396f-4ac3-4bc5-b3d3-97deec514f5a If you consider Brockel more of a fullback then a tight end that would mean that we allocated 5 roster spots to the RB/ FB positions. Stewart will be the starter. I really don't see us cutting Tolbert. Also CAP is probably safe based off of draft position. I would think the final roster decisions will be something like this: Stewart Tolbert CAP Fozzy or Todman Brockel or Ward

There is a very good chance that our 6th receiver won't be active on game days so special teams ability is kinda irrelevant. A lot of last year we only had 4 receivers active on game day. I don't see us having more then 5 this year. Personally I don't see us keeping Cotchery to fill that role. If he makes the team I expect him to receive substantial snaps, especially early in the season. As the season goes on his role might diminish as the young guys develop. I would expect that 6th spot to be used on a younger, cheaper receiver that you might not want to expose to other teams.

If our biggest weakness on the team is our 4/5 receiver we are in pretty good shape. When you factor in Olsen our 4/5 receivers will actually be 5/6 in team catches. If we actually throw to our backs some they could be even lower. Whoever gets those last roster spots will probably be lucky to have 30 receptions on the year. If we assume that KB, Funchess, and Brown become our starting 3 that might only leave 2 roster spots active on game day. Funchess might not start the season as a starter, since he is a rookie, but I think most of us expect or hope that is the case by later in the season. I would think Ginn has a very good chance of making the team because of PR ability, so that leaves 1 game day roster spot. With the last spot, who would you activate on game day? Cotchery, Hill, Bersin, or one of the other young guys. Hill might give you potential but Cotchery or Bersin might give you dependability. Whoever wins this spot might see the majority of their limited action in 3 or 4 receiver sets on 3rd down. Cotchery might start the season as the #2 and transition into this role later in the season. Or the team might decide to go with Bersin or Hill from the start and save some cap space. Either way there is a lot of time left to evaluate players before the final 53 is decided. Someone like Byrd or Boykin might show out in the preseason games.

I hated stats in college so I look at this differently then some have explained it. Feel free to correct if I'm wrong. Based on the odds presented by ESPN I can expect 91 points if I try 100 PATs. If I try 100 2 point conversions I can expect 94 points. 3 extra points over the course of 100 TDs doesn't seem like enough incentive to sway most coaches. I'm not saying they shouldn't, just seems like most coaches like the safe play. Less likely to be second guessed that way. If a team could get to around 65% success rate on 2pt conversion that would increase the potential gain to around 39 points. If we assume 3 TDs a game it would take roughly 33 games to realize this extra 39 points. Here again I don't expect many teams to make the 2 pt conversion their default choice.

Accounting? No I just take the time to Google. I'm sure there are aspects to it that I don't understand, but the basics really aren't that hard if you find a good source to learn from.

We rolled over roughly $5 million dollars from last year. http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/carolina-panthers/cap/ If we had $9 million of unused cap we would have had $9 million rollover. The reason we had $5 million in rollover is because we restructured CJ's contract during the season and freed up about $5 million in cap. We actually used up most of our excess cap during the season. http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/carolina-panthers/charles-johnson/ Offseason cap numbers that you usually see for teams are based off of the top 51 rule. During the season you have to add in players 52 and 53, the practice squad, and IR. This is the reason that most teams go into the season with a some extra cap space. For example we have around $7 million in cap space right now according to the top 51 contracts. Two more roster spots plus the practice squad will count for around $2 million. That leaves us around $5 million, which you can easily use a chunk of that on IR during the season. We should get back some cap space after June 1st because of DWill($2m), but I don't see DG spending it just to spend. With that being said, we should have enough of a cushion to leave ourselves the option of going after a player if someone was to become available during preseason cuts. Most likely though it will be used to extend some of our own players over the course of the next few years.

I have my doubts that he makes the 53 but the punt return hate is a bit misdirected. I didn't see anyone else stepping up to the plate to do it better?

I'll be honest, after Humphries came off the board I was hoping we were trading down to the top of the 2nd. If we could have picked up a third we could use that pick to move up our original 2nd. At this point we would have had two picks at the beginning of the second, which could have possible landed the two players we ended up with. Fortunately these type of scenarios tend to work pretty well from my couch, for the front office maybe not so much. For all we know we tried to trade back and didn't find a taker. Also anytime you start to trade back you run the risk of not getting the player you really want.

For some? Yes And if they do look it up, they have to do math...

This, and the included link, should be required reading for everyone. Even if you felt like a better player was available this will at least help you understand why the pick was made. This wasn't just a BPA pick, there is more "need" to this pick then most realize. Like others have said you should start a thread with this.

If the first round talent drops off like some have suggested there might be a lot of teams looking to trade back. You can want to trade back all you want but if you can't find a partner it doesn't matter. If anything it might be cheaper to trade up this year then other years.

We seem to have a few armchair GMs around here, especially when it concerns wide receivers in this year's draft class. Here is a list of receivers that seem to elicit varying opinions. What round do you think they will be drafted in? Not when you would draft them, but where you expect them to actually go. Not really looking for people to argue over everyone's choices but more of an "on the record list" that we can look back on after the draft. I've included my very uneducated guesses. Breshard Perriman - Late 1st Jaelen Strong - Early 2nd Devin Smith - Late 1st Nelson Agholor - Middle 2nd Phillip Dorsett - Middle 2nd Dorial Green-Beckham - Late 2nd Sammie Coates - Late 2nd Justin Hardy - 3rd Chris Conley - 3rd Try to be a little specific in the first two rounds. (early, middle, late)

Who do you consider as the 1st round receivers that will be gone by the time we pick? Sent from my iPhone using CarolinaHuddle

How much game tape does the casual fan really watch on these college prospects? 40 times, along with height and weight, is pretty much all they have to go on to act like they know what they are talking about.

How many drops did he actually have? How does that compare to KB or some of the FAs out there such as Jennings or Crabtree?