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Have you ever heard of the Lewin Career Forecast System?


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#1 BigSyke

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 11:33 AM

In short this is a system made by footballoutsiders.com analysis team, that claim they have created the PERFECT system, to PIN POINT WHICH COLLEGE QBS WILL BE SUCCESSFUL IN THE NFL.


The seven variables invovled in the system.

1.Career college games started

2.Career completion rate. Because of recent rises in completion rate across college football, this is a logarithmic variable, so that as a quarterback's completion percentage goes down, the penalty for low completion percentage gets gradually larger.

3.Difference between the quarterback's BMI and 28.0. This creates a small penalty for quarterbacks who don't exactly conform to the "ideal quarterback size."

4.For quarterbacks who come out as seniors, the difference in NCAA passer rating between their junior and senior seasons. (For quarterbacks who come out as juniors or redshirt sophomores, this variable is always 5.0, which is the average increase for the seniors in our data set.)

5.A binary variable that penalizes quarterbacks who don't play for a team in a BCS-qualifying conference.

6.Run-pass ratio in the quarterback's final college season.

7.Total rushing yards in the quarterback's final college season.




This the link to the 2012 one....basically said Robert Griffin and Andrew Luck was the best. but claim they also hit the nail on Russell Wilson, but wasn't sure about it. Also claimed that Cam Newton was an exception to the rule.(well of course he is.....he's NEO. lol)


http://www.footballoutsiders.com/nfl-draft/2012/lewin-career-forecast-2012



Now this ia the new one for 2013......claims GENO SMITH and LANDRY JONES will be the best QB"S out this draft.


http://www.footballo...r-forecast-2013





So do you buy into this system or do you sell it off?

#2 OneBadCat

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 11:41 AM

I think it's another system saying, we'll if he's good now he'll probably be good later. But I think if a man truly wants to be great he will bust his ass to get it. Cam's not an exception. He's played well at all levels of football but people judged him because of the system he was in, his physical ability and the perception given off by his personality.

If you guys are on football's future you've probably seen me defend Cam against the d-bags that still think Cam's not a franchise guy, splits a locker room, or a knucklehead. It drives me up a wall. I'm still not convinced RGIII will be a corner stone player, Cam's showed way more in my opinion.

#3 panther4life

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 11:51 AM

No where did they say their system was "perfect" and no I don't buy into it at all.

#4 Herbert The Love Bug

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 01:03 PM

No I haven't heard of it

#5 Fiz

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 03:43 PM

btw Jimmy Clausen was through the roof per this system.

#6 TheGreatestOfAllTimeCam

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 04:33 PM

I buy into the system. Sounds similar to Parcell's system for liking QB's if memory serves me correct. I think Geno ends up Cam Newton-lite and I think Landry Jones is comparable to a Colt McCoy.

#7 NCstoner420

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 04:40 PM

btw Jimmy Clausen was through the roof per this system.


No he wasn't

#8 Fiz

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 04:43 PM

No he wasn't

you're right.

I confused him with Colt McCoy.

#9 teeray

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 04:51 PM

There is no magical formula for QB success.

#10 R0CKnR0LLA

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 04:56 PM

Colt McCoy > Peyton Manning


seems legit

#11 Jackofalltrades

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Posted 05 March 2013 - 05:07 PM

I met Larry Sprinkle once.


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