Posted 28 January 2011 - 04:36 PM
I am not in favor of throwing the first pick at the offense, and hoping some rookie is the missing piece. Instead, I am in favor of signing a veteran (with more potential than Volek) to compete at QB and an upgrade at ROT, so that "guaranteed" improvement is expected on offense, no matter what. I wouldn't make the mistake of leaving the improvement on offense to last year's rookies or this year's.
On the other hand, our defense isn't broken. It is on the defensive side of the roster, that we can afford to gamble and take whomever we feel is the best player available, whether or not that player actually pans out.
Fairley seems like the best choice for us at this juncture, because we are arguably crowded at DEs, and Fairley is more likely to become a rookie starter than anyone else.
Having said that, this year's CBA problems are going to make free agency a nightmare. Our first overall pick then, is much more valuable than it would normally be, because the draft is the closest thing to a guaranteed first right that any team can create for themselves absent a new CBA.
We are going to get lots of trade down offers. I'd bet we take Fairley, or we trade down.