How Robert Griffin III or Cam Newton will decide the presidential election
Forget polls and expert analysis. The winner of the 2012 presidential election could come down to how well Robert Griffin III or Cam Newton plays on the first Sunday of November.
[img]http://l3.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/ulKuNom_VwCQmu09efmfTQ--/YXBwaWQ9eW5ld3M7cT04NTt3PTMxMA--/http://blog.constitutioncenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/rg3-475x296.jpg[/img]Robert Griffin III
Robert Griffin III
For years, pollsters have used the scientific sampling of audiences to forecast the presidential election’s outcome. And sometimes they are right.
But in other cases, like the 2000 election and that whole Harry Truman incident in 1948, the pollsters–and a few TV networks–can get it wrong.
So if you are looking for some additional signs about who will be the next president, here are six nontraditional indicators to gauge the winner of the Obama-Romney race.
The Redskins Factor
The Redskins rule is known inside the Beltway and has held true in 17 of 18 cases, in the electoral vote.
Quite simply, if the Washington Redskins win their last home game before the election, the incumbent party will win the presidential election.
And this year, the match-up features the two hottest young quarterbacks in the NFL: Robert Griffin III and Cam Newton.
This year, the Redskins take on the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, November 4. Expect President Obama to be cheering for the Redskins and Mitt Romney should be sporting a Panthers’ jersey.
Only the Kerry-Bush election of 2004 broke the precedent, and some proponents of the rule don’t accept that as a true defeat, because of the Bush-Gore election controversy of 2000.
Cable TV news ratings
Do the national numbers for people who watch cable TV news shout fests really reveal who is winning the election?
Hey, here is a list of questions:
- What effect do campaign ads have on elections?
- What qualities do kids think are important for the President to have?
- An on-line tool from NPR enables you and your class to predict the 2012 Presidential election.
Schonfeld says Fox has a slight edge: over CNN, HLN and MSNBC combined! That puts the general election, in terms of the popular vote, in a virtual tie.
Schonfeld also says that Fox lags three other networks, when combined, by 50 percent when it comes to viewers under 54 years of age. He believes it is further evidence that President Obama needs to reach older voters to be successful.