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The End of the Reagan Coalition

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#16 Delhommey



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Posted 08 November 2012 - 01:29 PM

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#17 Jase


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Posted 08 November 2012 - 01:30 PM

BO might want to get that blueface thing checked out.

#18 stirs


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Posted 08 November 2012 - 01:39 PM

Why does Michelle have to ride in the back?

#19 TruthVsComfort



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Posted 08 November 2012 - 02:02 PM

Well said OP. If the GOP thinks that things will be more in their favor simply because it won't be Obama running for President in 4 years, they are in for another big let down. The changing demographics in this country will continue to benefit the democrats as a party. Less old angry white guys to vote Republican, while minorities continue to grow for Democrats.

#20 Catalyst


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Posted 09 November 2012 - 04:44 AM

It's not just minorities, though. It's the youth vote - and not even the youth vote anymore, anyone under the age of 35 is voting heavily democratic, even in most red states. They can talk about Hispanics all they want, but the fact is the youth vote problem is what's going to come back to bite them.

It's only about 8-12 years away from today's "youth vote" becoming tomorrow's mainstream electorate. I've heard it said before that the millennials will likely vote against George W. Bush for the next 30 years the same way the boomers voted against Jimmy Carter for the last 30.

#21 Davidson Deac II

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Posted 09 November 2012 - 06:14 AM

Eh, the youth vote will largely disappear again in 2016, unless they can get another Obama on the ticket. The democrats also face a challenge if "Hope and Change" doesn't really come about (and it wont) in that some will become disillusioned and stay home. If somebody like Biden is on the ticket, democrats will face a very tough time keeping the whitehouse.

The Democrats won this time by a RAZOR THIN majority. There is no guarantee that the same will happen next time. The republicans do have some demographic challenges, but they still have a window of 8-12 years when they will still have a good shot at the whitehouse.



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Posted 09 November 2012 - 06:43 AM

hey davidson deac why is it a given that youth voters won't turn out in 2016? iirc the youth vote only ticked up 2% in 2008, and obama would have won that election without that gain anyway. oh and apparently mitt romney captured a greater share of the youth vote than mccain and STILL lost in humiliating fashion (humiliating based on the way he totally gave up on ohio and florida and actually tried to make a last-second play in fuging pennsylvania lllloooolllll)

oh and

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the electoral college system heavily favors democratics at this point. nate silver's analysis reveals that romney would have had to win the popular vote by 3% in order to be guaranteed an electoral college victory. instead, well, he didn't come very close at all, did he? meanwhile every blue state other than florida or ohio outpaced the the national percentage. and fyi many of those on the left were already disillusioned with obama but it appears they turned out to keep the cultist robot and the randian dipshit out of office. in other words, what in the fug were you thinking nominating the republican john kerry (without the heroism) and the guy who derived his ideology from a rape fetishisizing, serial killer groupie? the republican party is p fuged at the moment. can't wait to see if they shift left to capture part of the latino vote (lol yeah right) or move further to the right and die a very straight, white, male death (probably)

#23 Catalyst


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Posted 09 November 2012 - 07:36 AM

It's not that young voters will turn out, but by that time many Obama voters won't be "young" anymore. They'll be members of the mainstream electorate.

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