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Dear media, please stop telling me Andrew Luck is good

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Posted

Pstall it's funny watching you stumble over yourself to make excuses and stick up for other teams QB's.

Where is this enthusiasm and understanding for your own quarterback?

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Posted

Pstall it's funny watching you stumble over yourself to make excuses and stick up for other teams QB's.

Where is this enthusiasm and understanding for your own quarterback?

are you serious? this thread is about Luck. its not about Cam being good or not.

i know tons on Cam and within this thread and others fully stood by him and his abilities.

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Posted

He's pretty damn good... And he's going to be one of the best in the game soon.

But I wouldn't take him over Cam.

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Posted

so teeray. lets follow your logic here. Luck has 7 game winning drives and he isn't good. Sanchez has 6 and played in back to back AFC champ games and he isn't good.

so if a qb has not had 1 come from behind win and not had 1 playoff game what does that make him?

i feel like im trying to will some of you to move past stats and comparing players like kids and just focus on winning more games. i don't care how it looks or what the stats say or what experts say. i just want us to win MORE GAMES.

In order to follow this logic I would have to concede that winning games, 4th quarter comebacks, and game winning drives are all a direct parallel to the QB position.

But for sh1ts and giggles lets look at some of the games the Colts won and compare those to our Panthers and you can tell me what you think.

Minnesota: Indy won on a 53 yard field goal

Cleveland: Indy hold a 4 point lead going into the 4th quarter. Defense does not give up a single point in 4th and Indy wins by 4 points

Tennessee: Indy ties the game with 3:24 left in regulation. Colt's defense holds tie and Colts win in OT

Miami: Colts take a 3 point lead with 5:58 left in the game. Defense preserves the lead

Buffalo: Colts take a 7 point lead with 11:30 to go in the 4th quarter. Defense preserves that lead

Tennessee: Colts takes a 1 point lead with 6:23 left in the 4th quarter. Defense preserves that lead and Colts win by 4

Kansas City: Colts take 7 point lead with 4:08 to go in the 4th quarter. Defense preserves lead.

Okay. That is 7 of the 11 games that they won. Now ask yourself these questions. How many times has the Panthers defense preserved a one score lead in the 4th quarter with 3:00+ remaining? Do we have a kicker that you feel comfortable with trying a 50+ yard field goal for a win? How many more wins would Cam have if we did these things? How many more 4th quarter comebacks would Cam have if we did those things?

Our defense may have been better overall, but Indy's defense was timely. If the Colts had defensive breakdowns late in games like we did against CHI, Tampa, Dallas, KC, etc. that could be the difference between the Colts being 11-5 and Luck having a bunch of GWDs and 4QCs and the Colts being 4-12. And it was the difference in us going 7-9 instead of possibly 11-5 and Cam having more GWDs and 4QCs.

You talk about people looking at stats, but that is all you have done. You have just relied on GWD and 4th quarter comebacks, coupled those with wins and say that winning as a QB is all that matters.

4th quarter comebacks and GWDs are really great. But there is another side that can help pad those particular stats. The Colts defense did it and we had breakdowns. Simple as that.

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Posted

He's good. Wilson & Griffin are better, but he's good.

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Posted

no argument from me about Indy's d making timely plays vs the Panthers.

multiple things going on here.

in the context of Luck not being good(per you) i have no choice but to point to some stats that counter that. If this thread had been about a def making key plays at key times, im posting much dif things with much dif angles.

somehow me more or less sticking up for Luck in the eyes of some gets translated into me NOT being a fan of Cam's. which again is not the case. i totally like that we have Cam. thats not at play here.

so when i start getting push back on that, i go look, i prefer to win as opposed to stats since the Panthers have not gone to the playoffs in a few years.

and as i said earlier, in THIS particular year, Luck has in fact been good. will he continue? i have no idea of knowing that. none of us do.

many things came together for the Colts and while thats true, 7 come from behind wins is nothing to minimize. thats all im saying on that. come from behind wins are rare and are a pretty good indicator of what a qb can do. again, its no lock for how Luck does in the future.

while im here let me say this. i started a thread over a year ago about with what we have with Cam and Chud that I can see multiple 10 win seasons and playoffs. now why would a guy who doesn't like Cam say that?

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Posted

are you serious? this thread is about Luck. its not about Cam being good or not.

i know tons on Cam and within this thread and others fully stood by him and his abilities.

Oh now it's about Luck again huh lol. Your first posts in this thread brought up Cam (stats are for losers har har) and you have continued it for several pages. Cut the act.

Atleast stand by the drivel you post and don't beat around the bush so much.

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Posted

Oh now it's about Luck again huh lol. Your first posts in this thread brought up Cam (stats are for losers har har) and you have continued it for several pages. Cut the act.

Atleast stand by the drivel you post and don't beat around the bush so much.

my first post was about homerism trumping wins. that was the TEAM part.

then after a run on Cam vs the other i mention that the comparisons vs other qb's are going to happen and if you do, somebody wll go yeah but they have a good d or running game or they played a weak sked and i said stop with the excuses.

at some point winning has to go above commercials, swag and being mentioned on First Take. this part was towards some fans being so caught up in that over winning. which i can only gather by what they post or what they start a thread on.

at no point have i said, trade Cam or i wish we had luck. it was all you other guys that brought that into the mix and im like what are you guys doing?

and im not beaing around the bush. I like Cam and im glad we have him. i simply want us to win more games. how is that so elusive for some of you?

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Posted

After 14 pages there is not much else to add to this. All I'll say is after watching the games this weekend, yeah, that Aaron Rodgers is pretty damn good. Not one of the other QB's that played this weekend compare favorably to ours, and that should make all Panther fans feel really good.

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Posted

many things came together for the Colts and while thats true, 7 come from behind wins is nothing to minimize. thats all im saying on that. come from behind wins are rare and are a pretty good indicator of what a qb can do. again, its no lock for how Luck does in the future.

Considering The Golden Calf of Bristol and Mark Sanchez have both been among the leaders in that category I just can't agree that it is an indicator of what a QB can do.

Outside of total passing yardage I can't think of one stat that suggests Luck was good this year. Again I feel like I have to say, I don't think he is terrible. He just isn't good.

And I also said at the very beginning that he could become good someday, but right now he is not.

A good QB does not have 5 game stretches of sub-50% passing in each of those games.

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Posted

then i will volley right back to you. if you can credit Indy's d with TIMELY plays, can you do the same for a qb? so a guy throws for under 50%? but how did he do in the 4th? in the red zone or when the game was on the line? was he awful in the first half but did significantly better in the 2nd?

my one off the beaten path stat for qb's when it comes to ratings etc is keeping drives alive with 3rd down conversions to keep his d off the field and resting.

because as someone said in another thread about dinks and dunks is why RG had such a high passer rating, you can parse the stats to look at down field throws. what % of those were completed? when?

our only sample size on Luck is this season which for him just ended today. none of us know the future.

which brings me back to what i only want to see more of around here. wins. i don't care how or who against or where. just friggin win more games.

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Posted

Alright, here's the end of discussion, ironclad facts:

In my QBA metric, the league average is 54 on a scale of 0-100. That's where you find the Jake Lockers and Christian Ponders of the league.

In Luck's rookie season, he has averaged a QBA of 50.97, or BELOW AVERAGE. In Cam's rookie season, he averaged a 57.91. Here's the kicker, though.

In Luck's wins this season he averaged a QBA of. . .55.16, or barely above average. In Cam's wins his rookie year, he averaged 70.66, which is equivalent to Aaron Rodgers 2011 season QBA!

In other words, for Luck won 5 games this year where his opponent outplayed him, and barely rated above a league average QB in those wins, while Cam had to play like Aaron Rodgers just to earn the wins he had last year!

See for yourselves:

http://50.116.44.142/qba/player/A.Luck

http://50.116.44.142/qba/player/C.Newton?start=2011-09-11&end=2012-01-29&type=all

And Luck compared to RG3 or Russell Wilson? It's not even remotely close, as RG3 finished the year with a 62.76 and Wilson at 60.1, both top 10 scores. while Luck finished ranked 30th.

http://50.116.44.142/qba/?start=current&end=current&type=all&min=3

And my metric has outperformed passer rating by 43 games in the last three years, so I have no qualms using it as statistical proof of what is obvious to anyone with eyeballs: LUCK WAS NOT VERY GOOD THIS YEAR.

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