We are not overreacting, we are a team that is 2 plays away from being 8-1, with one of those teams being the #1 seed in the NFC. If anything we are underreacting, this very well may be the 2 or 3 best team in the NFL.
A lot of us are still a little dubious about the offensive playcalling. Some still wonder about the young secondary, or Cam's inconsistency, or the offensive line, etc. Those of us who have been around a while can't help but think about how this could all fall apart.
Stop. Celebrate. The Panthers were the tougher, more disciplined, better team today against the defending NFC champs in the biggest NFL game of the week. Soak that in. Enjoy it. Enjoy all the articles that will be written this week on ESPN and SI and NFL.com. Enjoy the hype leading up to the MNF game in eight days. Enjoy the fact that this team isn't just relevant, but is, at least for right now, one of the 4 or 5 best teams in the league. Enjoy this because we haven't had it since 2008, and sometimes you go a long time without this feeling and you should revel in that feeling while its there.
I don't know what happens from here. And right now, I don't care. This team is fun again, and I can't wait for the next game again, and it's been a long time since we've had this. Lets drink beer and take shots and drunkenly take home a fat chick because the time for holding back is over. I'll see ya'll on Monday Night.
I've never really bought their arguments, because the samples sizes are very small and that particular situation isn't as extensively gameplanned for as it would be if teams started going for it more often. With the decline of offensive line play around the league most running plays are boom and bust and either get stuffed or go for a big gain, meaning it's harder than ever to generate only the one or tw yards necessary to convert.
The sample sizes are plenty large enough to infer statistical significance, there are numerous studies, and the odds of getting a yard on 4th and short are basically the same as the odds of getting a yard on third and short, which is quite common and is obviously game planned against. There is no real controversy here among people who have studied this. I know of no credible study that has come to the conclusion that's it's a good idea to punt on 4th and short on the opponents side of the field regardless of the score and time. There are dozens of good studies that show why coaches should go for it.
I have seen this study before and talked to some coaches about it. And almost all of them say there is a reason they are statisticians and economists and not coaches
That's not an argument. That's "I'm right and they're wrong because I'm the authority and what they say doesn't count." Coaches have many important skills, like designing and calling plays, motivating players, making roster and lineup decisions, massaging egos, managing practice and weight traing sessions, etc. They almost certainly do all of those things better than a statistician would. But there's no particular reason to believe that on this one narrow issue of fourth down conversions every single one of the quantitative studies is wrong and coaches' gut feelings are right.
This is a horrible organization and people around the country largely don't realize that. That means there's an arbitrage opportunity, nothing wrong with taking advantage of it. That doesn't make anybody a bad fan. I still wear my jersey, still root for the team, but I recognize reality.
We could have had our Jim Harbaugh. It was a guy named Jim Harbaugh. He happened to be the guy that most people thought was the front runner for the Panthers job in 2011, but we never interviewed him. Turns out he wasn't willing to work for below league average salary. Oh well, I'm sure we'll do just as well with the guy we hire on the cheap.
BTW, I'm happy to say I'm jumping off. I'm a lifetime fan since '95 in Clemson. But it's not my job to be loyal to Jerry, it's his job to earn it. There's other sports options. You wanna cut everyone making over the minimum, fire a good coach, hire a staff on the cheap, promote an OC that everyone inbthe football world makes fun of endlessly and expect me to invest emotionally and financially in this team? Screw you. At least the Bobcats have cheap tickets.