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iBBB

Member Since 12 Jan 2009
Offline Last Active Apr 12 2014 07:41 AM
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Topics I've Started

All possible scenarios between CAR, SF, ARI. (32 exactly) UPDATED.

16 December 2013 - 11:46 AM

EDIT:

Even Better Odds !

I found a small error in Scenario 1 Case 2 (i didnt have us making playoffs if all three teams end up with 10-6 or 11-5 but we would)

10-6 record has us at 50.00%

11-5 record or 12-4 record, gives 100% to make the playoffs.

_________________________________________________

 

So I was bored this morning and figured out all possible scenarios between us, sanfran and arizona.

 

Before I give you the odds and percentages, let me explain how I got them.

Next week (week 16), there are 8 possible scenarios between the three teams.

-CAR loss / SF loss / ARI loss

-CAR loss / SF loss / ARI win

-CAR loss / SF win / ARI loss

-CAR win / SF loss / ARI loss

-CAR win / SF loss / ARI win

-CAR win / SF win / ARI loss

-CAR win / SF win / ARI win

 

Then, for week 17, there are 4 more scenarios but I call them cases. 

The four cases are:

-CAR loss / SF win / ARI loss

-CAR loss / SF loss / ARI win

-CAR win / SF win / ARI loss

-CAR win / SF loss / ARI win

keep in mind that SF plays ARI

 

With that in mind, each scenario of week 16 and 4 possible outcomes of week 17, gives us 32 possible scenarios.

 

Based on the tie-breaking between the three clubs, there are the following odds and percentages:

 

As of today:

CAR has 87.50% to make the playoffs

SF has 84.37% to make the playoffs

ARI has 28.12% to make the playoffs

 

With a W against the Saints week 16:

CAR has 100% to make the playoffs

 

With a L against the Saints week 16:

CAR has 75.00% to make the playoffs

 

With a W against the Saints week 16 & a L against Falcons week 17:

CAR has 100% to make the playoffs

 

With a L against the Saints week 16 & a L against Falcons week 17:

CAR has 50.00% to make the playoffs

 

With a L against the Saints week 16 & a W against Falcons week 17:

CAR has 100% to make the playoffs

 

So you see, if we split next two games, we make the playoffs no matter what.

 

For any questions, study the attachements I provided.

 

I only have one question, how will we be seeded if all three clubs finish the season 11-5 ?

I have CAR, and SF advancing to playoffs in my report (because of the Conference Record), is that correct?

 

Thanks for reading!

 

Here is the spreadsheet in html format:

https://dl.dropboxus...8/Scenarios.htm

 

Here is the spreadsheet in xlsx format:

https://dl.dropboxus.../Scenarios.xlsx

 

Pictures:

Scenarios1.JPG

 

Scenarios2.JPG

 


Carolina Panthers. Up there with the big dawgs..

25 November 2013 - 09:46 AM

Would you have expected (when we were 1-3) that in late november we would be in the following conversation?

capture1125.JPG

 

I am very very proud of my panthers, way to learn how to win! 

 

Its very fascinating that they are aware of their mediocre performance and their are not giving up mid game. I do think they will tighten up the loose ends and play a much higher quality football here in the next weeks.

 

 

we are sitting at the 5th spot in the league, 1 game behind broncos, chiefs and saints. i did not think that was possible a few weeks ago.


Offense Statistics. Updated Weekly. Updated for Week 8

23 September 2013 - 09:57 PM

Since I enjoy keeping stats and making graphs and poo, I started to keep a log of Offensive Performance.

 

This webpage will be updated after every game. 

 

If you are interested, check it frequently to get a glimpse of the performance of our team.

 

link:

https://dl.dropboxus...ffenseStats.htm

 

 

A few screenshots:

ss1.JPG

 

 

ss2.JPG

 

 

 

I can add more graphs by request.

 

Hope you enjoy!


Check Mate.

15 September 2013 - 11:30 PM

Major roster/coaching changes, like we expect, will not take place until the end of the season. It will be irrelevant if it happens during the season.

 

This means next week outcome becomes irrelevant also. So check mate. 

 

We all know that if we win its all bs. 

There will be people predicting 14-2 here although we all know that is fake hype. We all know deep inside that, from experience, it means nothing. Been there, nothing changed.

 

I cant see myself not rooting for my team. 

 

I forgot how it feels to wake up to a PantherVIctory monday of high expectations. 

 

Maybe i will feel better tomorrow. Today sucks.


Good luck Carolina Panthers

07 September 2013 - 08:03 PM

Tomorrow is a very big day for the fan base but more importantly, for the team.

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