I don't think it is quite that certain on the Wild Card spot, but it is close. The problem is the number of teams we need to pass, not the number of games behind. To win the division we only have to pass one, who we trail by two games with two head-to-head games. It will not be easy, and we will not only need to win those two games, but then keep pace with the Saints the rest of the way. It helps if they continue to look like they did Sunday, something I would not bet on.
Our conference record stinks at 2-4, and while not the first tiebreaker, it is usually a good barometer of a team's chances. We have not beaten a .500 or better team in the NFC. That's the bad news.
The good news is as tough as it looks, the division is still in play. If we win the remaining four divisional games we are in solid shape, but the downside is that the Saints remaining schedule does not exactly strike terror in hearts. Their toughest opponent on paper is San Fran at home. They also play Indy and us at home, and travel to Tampa, Atlanta, Tennessee, and Charlotte. So, we could win both against Atlanta and NO and still not make it.
Our playoff chances may be summed up with "maybe we can lose one more." And it probably has to be the right one. I think the next four are must-wins for any playoff chances.
If Little can recover from his concussion issues, I think the OL is actually pretty close. A lot of our issues this year has been having to play musical chairs due to injuries.
The DL is the much bigger issue IMO. Poe will be going into the last year of his contract, Short is a potential cap casualty on an awful contract, McCoy is only on a one year deal as is Love, and Butler is a pending free agent who we should let walk. All except Butler are also on the wrong side of 30 too.