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10 year draft look at QBs

TeamDK

By TeamDK,
in Carolina Panthers

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TeamDK Newbie

TeamDK

Posted
Posted

So we won. So we are now looking at a pick at 9.

I have been looking at the drafts from 2008-2017 to see what you get. The went three years back so the we got to see a QB over atleast three years before judging. Here are what i found. 

17 Qb was selected in the top 10 
Games 1404 - Wins 705 - Loses 698 - TDs 2159 - INTs 1207

The avr QB in top 10 = 41 W, 41L, 127 TD and 71 INT

13 Qb was selected in the top 5
Games 1175 - Wins 586 - Loses 588 - TDs 1794 - INTs 1029

The avr QB in top 5 = 45 W, 45L, 138 TD and 79 INT

10 Qb was selected outside top in the first round

Games 447 - Wins 223 - Loses 224 - TDs 578 - INTs 380

The avr QB outside the top 10 in the first round = 22 W, 22L, 58 TD and 38 INT

94 QB outside the first round

Games 1175 - Wins 536 - Loses 637 - TDs 1648 - INTs 1020
The avr QB outside the first round =  6 W, 7 L, 18 TD and 11 INT


So it seems that QBs selected in the first round are winning about the same from 1-32 which is most likely because the higher you pick a guy the more shitty a team he lands on. If you pick later the team are better and that compensate for the lack of talent(maybe) thus the better stats for QB picked high compared to QB picked later but not winning more games. Coaches and GM seems to matter more than where you pick a guy, though if you are a great organization and have a higher pick you can strike gold.  

QBs outside the first round are statistical not any good and not the way to go. 

Tldr: If you trust in a new GM and Rhule. Maybe the world is not over just yet. But it could have been even better because for a good team a high pick is gold Just ask Colts, Bears, Rams (not Fisher). If you do not trust a new GM and Rhule the win today doesn't matter just ask Jax, Lions, Bucs and Raiders. 
 

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