I don't think ATL is over rated. I mean you are 11-2 in the NFL which isn't easy to do. I just think your run game sucks and your defense is a little soft. Turner is just a fat north/south guy now. Your pass rush is pretty piss poor. Who knows how the cookie crumbles, but the Falcons certainly don't seem like a team destined for the Super Bowl.
Or maybe they are, what do I know?