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Happy Panther

Panthers still 35% to make the playoffs

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i just saw this...

 

 

Using their custom-built statistical model, Wharton professor Cade Massey and Las Vegas sports analyst Rufus Peabody run 10,000 full-season simulations each week to determine each NFL team’s projected win total, probability of making the playoffs and probability of winning the Super Bowl. The winner of each game is determined by Massey-Peabody power rankings (how a team would fair against average team on a neutral field), while also factoring in homefield advantage and chance. While the starting point for each team is their current Massey-Peabody rating (see Massey-Peabody.com for details), subsequent ratings change in response to simulation results.

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In the NFC, the 2-3 Carolina Panthers made a huge jump from a 29.8% to a 48.9% chance of making the playoffs. In fact, the Panthers have a higher probability of winning the Super Bowl than the Chiefs and the 49ers.  With all their division games remaining, the underrated Panthers–ranked 4th in the Peabody-Massey ratings, behind the strength of the #2 defense in the league–have ample opportunity to make up ground.

 

http://blogs.wsj.com/dailyfix/2013/10/18/nfl-season-predictions-week-7/

 

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we are the only team in the NFL that not only has to beat the other team, but we also have to beat our head coach as well.

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I can't ever remember seeing so big of a disconnect between what statistical models are saying and the team's overall success (or lack thereof) to date.

 

Just about every in depth analysis says we should be a top 10 team, and I get a sense watching them that they could indeed be dangerous. Then we make one or two boneheaded plays, and things just snowball in a negative direction.

 

This is a very tough team to figure out.

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I can't believe we are magically two games behind New Orleans

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So I guess this will be one of those years were the 8-8's get a wildcard.

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I feel very good about this team. Our D is top 5 in most categories, Cam has been excellent, our special teams (K,P) are the best in the league. But keep this in mind; we have yet to beat a good team.

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I can't believe we are magically two games behind New Orleans

 

i actually think we can catch up. their schedule thus far has been pretty easy and they've only won one out of two games against winning teams.

 

they've beaten the bucs, falcons, cards, dolphins, and bears.

 

coming up they've gotten the jets, cowboys, 49ers, and seahawks in addition to us twice, the bills, and the rams (although the rams shouldn't be a problem) plus they have the falcons in ATL coming up as well.

 

i can see them losing to the seahawks and jets (both away games) and losing to one of the 49ers or cowboys in new orleans and splitting with us.

 

the easiest part of their schedule is done. now the real teams come. they'll come back down to earth.

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