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Best Home field Advantage. Wow.


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#1 PantherBrew

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:00 AM

http://www.grantland...ield-advantages

 

 

 

 

 

To figure out who has the best home-field advantage in football, I went through the recent past and figured out the point differential for each team in their regular-season home and road games.1 To figure out their home-field advantage, I subtracted the road differential from the home differential and divided by two (since we're measuring home-field performance versus, theoretically, a neutral field). Games that weren't played at a team's typical home stadium, like the London international series or Buffalo's annual game in Toronto, were considered to be neutral-site games and excluded from the study.

As an example, take the home-field performance of the Seahawks since 2002, when they opened their new stadium in downtown Seattle. The average Seahawks home game over that time frame has seen them win by exactly one touchdown, 7.0 points. Only four other teams have won their home games by a larger average margin than the Seahawks. Those teams are each better on the road, though, than Seattle; the Seahawks lose their average road game by 3.3 points. That's a swing of 10.3 points the moment Seattle gets on a plane, which suggests that Seattle's home-field advantage is worth 5.2 points. That is, as you might expect, the most impressive observed home-field advantage in football during that time frame.

Here's a table with each team's home-field advantage in its current stadium, leaving out any games from before it moved into its new stadium. This only includes games since 2002, since that's when the NFL expanded to its current 32-team size, divisional structure, and schedule.

2d0go7l.jpg

 

 

 

If you don't believe point differential really captures the way a team plays at home and on the road, there's an even simpler way to analyze this: winning percentage at home and on the road. I'm a little uncomfortable with the small samples2 for teams with brand-new stadiums, but the numbers are mostly similar to the table above. Here are the top and bottom five teams in terms of the gap in their winning percentage at home and on the road:

mh5xk4.jpg

 

 

I do realize a lof of this has to do with just having an overall shitty teams since 2002. 



#2 Sam Mills Fan

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:13 AM

So by "best home field advantage", you meant 31st best right?



#3 Goondal

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:13 AM

I prefer to think that our team simply is not fazed by opposing crowds and therefore plays close to the same regardless.



#4 PantherBrew

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:15 AM

So by "best home field advantage", you meant 31st best right?

 

 

 

I was summarizing the article purpose.  

 

and you, my friend, are not one to judge threads. 



#5 TopCat

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:17 AM

damn..... DEAD last 



#6 KSpan

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:18 AM

 

I was summarizing the article purpose.  

 

and you, my friend, are not one to judge threads. 

 

Interesting information.  Your thread title, however, sucks. 



#7 PantherBrew

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:21 AM

Interesting information.  Your thread title, however, sucks. 

 

 

It enticed you to click and read the article, so apparently it was successful.

 

Sorry about your post.  



#8 Cary Kollins

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:23 AM

Yep sounds about right.  Good thing we have a team now that thrives at home.  We are one Deangelo Williams fumble away from being 7-0 at home this season.  Pretty darn impressive.



#9 Sam Mills Fan

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:27 AM

Thread title implies the Panthers have the best homefield advantage when the article says they have the 31st. Article is interesting, title is terrible as are 90% of Huddle thread titles that's all I was saying.



#10 csx

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:30 AM

Thread title implies the Panthers have the best homefield advantage when the article says they have the 31st. Article is interesting, title is terrible as are 90% of Huddle thread titles that's all I was saying.

It's an article about the best home field advantages. You inferred it was about the Panthers.



#11 PantherWake

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:32 AM

Stats are for losers lol



#12 PantherBrew

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:34 AM

Thread title implies the Panthers have the best homefield advantage when the article says they have the 31st. Article is interesting, title is terrible as are 90% of Huddle thread titles that's all I was saying.

 

 

 

The title only implies that the Panthers have the number 1 home field advantage if you are an idiot. 

 

The purpose of the article is NFL's best home field advantage. That is what the title of my thread implies. 

 

I can't help you read it as, "Panthers are the best homefield team everz"



#13 Lomez

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:38 AM

No surprise here, considering most of our home games in the 2000's have basically been neutral site.

 

ETA: "Worst homefield advantage" would have been a better thread title, but I'm also not sure why it's deserving of almost a full page of debate.



#14 Sam Mills Fan

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:40 AM

"Wow" implies a surprise. An article saying Seattle has the #1 homefield is not a surprise. An article putting the Panthers at #1 or near #1 WOULD be a surprise. Hence why I expected an article about the Panthers surprisingly having the best homefield advantage for some reason. Ergo....your thread title failed.



#15 PantherBrew

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Posted 20 December 2013 - 10:42 AM

"Wow" implies a surprise. An article saying Seattle has the #1 homefield is not a surprise. An article putting the Panthers at #1 or near #1 WOULD be a surprise. Hence why I expected an article about the Panthers surprisingly having the best homefield advantage for some reason. Ergo....your thread title failed.

 

 

The surprise is that we are DFL. 

 

Kind of like your rank among huddlers.

 

http://en.wikipedia....e_United_States




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