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Member Since 25 Nov 2008
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#1481892 Adrian Peterson

Posted by X-Clown on 24 October 2011 - 04:37 PM

In my eyes, Cam Newton has yet to post a 4th quarter come back for the win cause that Jaguars game was a damn mess. I wanna see clutch factor. I wanna see what he does when the game is on the line. I wanna see him do something even The Golden Calf of Bristol did yesterday.

Next time we are down by 7 points or less in the 4th quarter and we have the ball I wanna see him put us up, tie or win the game. When he can do this then we can win with 1 or more turn-overs. Until that time we won't.

You have got to be joking. You have put a foolish, unrealistic expectation of Cam having to carry us to a top 5 offense in his rookie season under a system that is brand new to 90% of our offense, and then back that up by saying you want to see him perform like The Golden Calf of Bristol did yesterday. Did you actually look at any context to how The Golden Calf of Bristol's comeback took place against the mighty 0-6 Miami Dolphins? Bill Barnwell wrote a great column about it today.


Far be it from us to ruin an admittedly great story, but let's be real about the The Golden Calf of Bristol plaudits being thrown around after the Broncos' 18-15 comeback over the Dolphins on Sunday. The Golden Calf of Bristol certainly deserves some of the credit, but not the massive outpouring of praise that is being thrown his way.

The Win Probability chart at advancednflstats.com for this game tells the true story of what happened. When The Golden Calf of Bristol took over on his own 20-yard line down 15 points with 5:23 left, both Broncos and Dolphins fans were leaving the stadium in Miami, and they weren't wrong to do so. The Broncos' chances of winning were estimated to be around 1 percent. The Golden Calf of Bristol proceeded to lead his most impressive drive of the day, going 80 yards in eight plays, throwing a five-yard touchdown pass to Demaryius Thomas.

For all that work, the Broncos' chances of winning had improved all the way to … 2 percent. Teams with an eight-point lead that are about to receive the kickoff simply don't lose very frequently; it takes an expected onside kick to pick it up, and teams recover expected onside kicks only about 20 percent of the time. When the Broncos were able to recover the kick, their win expectancy improved to 12 percent; the onside kick was six times more valuable than The Golden Calf of Bristol's drive. If that figure seems low, consider that the Broncos still needed to drive 50 yards, score, pick up a two-point conversion, and then win in overtime. They had momentum in their favor, but so have plenty of other teams in this scenario who haven't been able to pick up the W.

The Golden Calf of Bristol then proceeded to take advantage of a short field. Starting on his own 44-yard line, The Golden Calf of Bristol drove the team 56 yards in 10 plays, highlighted by a gorgeous 28-yard throw to (and equally impressive catch from) Daniel Fells. After that, Denver converted the two-pointer on a The Golden Calf of Bristol run1 and the Broncos' win expectancy was pushed all the way up to 46 percent. They'd made an incredible comeback, but they were still underdogs heading into overtime.

After they won the overtime coin toss and traded possessions with the Broncos, the Dolphins remained favorites. When Daniel Thomas converted a second-and-2 to give the Dolphins a new set of downs on their own 43-yard line, the Dolphins only needed to travel about 25 more yards to pick up a game-winning field goal. They win an estimated 67 percent of the time in that situation.

That, of course, led to the final dramatic swing. Broncos linebacker D.J. Williams sacked Matt Moore on the ensuing play, producing a single-play swing that was bigger than any of The Golden Calf of Bristol's drives. The Broncos went from a win expectancy of 33 percent to 78 percent by recovering the fumble, and while they proceeded to gain only two yards on the subsequent drive, they converted another short field into points to win the game.

On Sunday, The Golden Calf of Bristol was given a total of 15 possessions. Four of them started with 56 yards or less to go for an offensive touchdown. Not coincidentally, of the four, three were his final three drives, and he produced a total of 11 points on those drives. His other 11 drives all started deep in his own territory, with six of them beginning on the 20-yard line and only one beyond the 25 (a drive that started on the Miami 41 that resulted in a missed field goal). Ten of those drives resulted in eight punts, a missed field goal, and a fumble. They gained, on average, less than 12 yards.

This isn't a one-week trend, either. When he came in against the Chargers last Sunday, The Golden Calf of Bristol started with three consecutive drives inside his own 31-yard line. The Broncos punted on all three drives. On the ensuing two possessions, though, The Golden Calf of Bristol started from his own 49-yard line and the San Diego 41-yard line. With the short fields, he proceeded to score two touchdowns. It can't be much simpler.

A lot of what we're crediting to The Golden Calf of Bristol is actually the impact of things that are totally out of his control, a combination of field position, defensive turnovers, and a miracle on special teams.
He deserves some of the plaudits that have come his way over the past two Sundays. Just not all of them.


#1475351 QB debuts against the Panthers over the years

Posted by X-Clown on 21 October 2011 - 09:22 AM

Yeah it was basically two crippled teams with makeshift rosters engaged in a weak slapfight. There was something about watching Joey Harrington-one of the least clutch quarterbacks I can think of-march downfield for a game winning TD that was just devastating, though. It almost seemed like they were playing for a field goal and "accidentally" scored a touchdown. It looked like Crumpler caught a short checkdown, saw a wide open lane to the end zone, and ran in slow motion while a bunch of defenders stood around.

Yeah, I remember that vividly, Cumpler pretty much used the ref as a screen and glided in for a TD.

#1454563 good game guys

Posted by X-Clown on 11 October 2011 - 12:09 PM

I'm sure I'm not alone in saying that I'd rather have him here than you.

#1453081 Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals are 3-2

Posted by X-Clown on 10 October 2011 - 06:57 PM

I didn't bring up Cams name not once in the topic, well other than post 30. Jesus H Christ some of you people are thick

Oh, just because you didn't bring up his name, you weren't talking about him here in bold in the first post?

After leading the Bengals to yet another win Andy Dalton is sky rocketing up the charts for rookie of the year honors. Many so called experts had Cincinnati in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes but the rookie quarterback has made the name "Palmer" disappear from the mouths of Bengal fans. If Dalton keeps up his winning ways he will without a doubt be the best quarterback from the 2011 draft. While other rookie QBs are tearing up the record books Dalton is tearing up the win column.

Man i wanted to draft Dalton so bad, this kid has it.

#1451586 Aints fans share their knowledge....

Posted by X-Clown on 10 October 2011 - 10:22 AM

Ihe threw an 8 yard sideline route completion from his own 41 yard line with 11 seconds on the clock to end the game today (??). Brees would have never done that.

Except when he's trying to break Dan Marino's single season passing yard record.


#1415972 Does anyone

Posted by X-Clown on 23 September 2011 - 04:30 PM

Basically root for whoever plays against New England or Dallas.

#1415833 Remember when

Posted by X-Clown on 23 September 2011 - 03:18 PM

Hey lets all talk poo about him after he's gone..Since he pretty much owned y'all while he was here.

carry on.

The only ownage he has of anybody is you as a sidekick

#1414324 Virtually everyone is picking us to beat the Jags

Posted by X-Clown on 22 September 2011 - 06:28 PM

John fox would respond by playing a soft zone against a rookie qb. Don't count on the same for Rivera/mcdermott

#1408754 Lol at Jacksonville fans

Posted by X-Clown on 20 September 2011 - 10:00 AM

Eli Manning is the most overrated QB in the NFL.

You forgot the part that said behind Tony Romo

#1407063 Thomas Davis tears ACL

Posted by X-Clown on 19 September 2011 - 02:18 PM

who's going to hold up beason's and davis's jerseys coming out of the tunnel this week?

And will they suffer the same fate?

Can we trick Julius Peppers to do it in Week 4?

#1393830 My buttplug is stuck and Dtan left me...

Posted by X-Clown on 13 September 2011 - 04:27 PM

God knows in the Carolinas, fathers probably teach their sons to become mechanics at the local Jiffy lube, how to grow out their mullet, pick up chicks with a dozen teeth and a beer gut (or their cousins) and the proper way to build a shrine to Dale Earnhardt inside their trailer. Big shoes to fill along your standards I'm sure.

I'll have to admit, this was actually funny.

#1384621 People are gonna think I'm crazy but

Posted by X-Clown on 11 September 2011 - 01:22 PM

I sure hope you listened to me...

#1379314 My team

Posted by X-Clown on 08 September 2011 - 04:20 PM

Your receiving corp is top notch (seriously 89 as a #4???) but your RBs scare me. I think other than S. Jackson you've got a lot of guys who are going to frustrate the poo out of you due to injuries/timeshares. Maybe try to package Manningham and one of your RBs for someone with more stability there.

#1338240 Mallett/Gabbert/Cam/Ponder/Locker

Posted by X-Clown on 19 August 2011 - 06:23 AM

It seems like this thread should get bumped. Can we get some analysis now of mallet who had 71 yards passing on 14 attempts last night including a pick 6? Surely we should analyze each one of his dropbacks if we are going to compare him favorably against cam, right?

#1329361 Armanti "Boss of the South" Edwards

Posted by X-Clown on 14 August 2011 - 11:15 PM

You know you're a shitty poster if you give yourself pie on every post

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