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tiger7_88

Member Since 12 May 2011
Last Active Yesterday, 10:21 PM
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Topics I've Started

Updated walterfootball.com 7-round mock

30 April 2015 - 01:44 PM

1. OT Jake Fisher, Oregon
2. LB Shaq Thompson, Washington
3. WR Rashad Greene, FSU
4. RB Josh Robinson, Mississippi State (not a fan of this pick, would go OT Chaz Green, Florida, available on his board)
5. WR Vince Mayle, Washington State
5. DE Za'Darius Smith, Kentucky
5. TE Blake Bell, Oklahoma (don't like this pick either, would go RB Matt Jones, Florida, or DT Gabe Wright, Auburn, both available on his board)
6. S Derron Smith, Fresno State
7. WR Austin Hill, Arizona (craziness to pick a third WR here IMO, would pick a CB like Jacorey Shepherd, Kansas, here or a speed-back/kick-returner like RB Corey Grant, Auburn)

An updated statistical analysis of NFL WRs and their draft positions

29 April 2015 - 09:46 AM

Assumptions:
1. The WR on the team with the most yards receiving in 2014 was chosen as the #1 WR on the team.
2. If the yardage between two WRs was within 20-30 yards of one another, the WR with the most TDs was prioritized.
3. The numbers in the parentheses correspond to the following: (Round Drafted-Overall Pick, Year Drafted)
4. If the WR was an undrafted free agent ("U"), for statistical purposes that was considered the 8th round.
5. If the WR was an undrafted free agent, the Overall Pick was determined by adding 1 to the last overall pick of the year he was signed.  For example, in 2010 the last player drafted was with the 255th pick.  Undrafted free agents from that year would then be assigned an Overall Pick of 256.
6. Listed for each them is their #1 WR followed by their #2 WR.
7. Year Drafted was supplied only for informational purposes and has nothing to do with the statistical analysis.  I decided to provide that information in case anyone wants to check my data.
8. Average Round Chosen and Average Draft Position were determined by simple addition followed by division to determine the numerical average.  The Rounds Drafted were all added for a total subsequently divided by 32 (players) for the Average Round Drafted.  The Overall PIcks were all added for a total subsequently divided by 32 (players) for the Average Overall Pick.  For the Combined statistics, the totals were divided by 64 (players).
 
Here are the teams #1 and #2 WRs listed in alphabetic team order:
 
1. Arizona - Larry Fitzgerald (1-3, 2004), Michael Floyd (1-13, 2012)
2. Atlanta - Julio Jones (1-6, 2011), Roddy White (1-27, 2005)
3. Baltimore - Steve Smith (3-74, 2001), Marlon Brown (U-255, 2013) 
4. Buffalo - Sammy Watkins (1-4, 2014), Percy Harvin (1-22, 2009)
5. Carolina - Kelvin Benjamin (1-28, 2014), Jerricho Cotchery (4-108, 2004)
6. Chicago - Alshon Jeffrey (2-45, 2012), Eddie Royal (2-42, 2008)
7. Cincinnati - A.J. Green (1-4, 2011), Mohamed Sanu (3-83, 2012)
8. Cleveland - Andrew Hawkins (U-253, 2008), Dwayne Bowe (1-23, 2007)
9. Dallas - Dez Bryant (1-24, 2010), Terrance Williams (3-74, 2013)
10. Denver - Demaryius Thomas (1-22, 2010), Emmanuel Sanders (3-82, 2010)
11. Detroit - Calvin Johnson (1-2, 2007), Golden Tate (2-60, 2010)
12. Green Bay - Jordy Nelson (2-36, 2008), Randall Cobb (2-64, 2011)
13. Houston - Deandre Hopkins (1-27, 2013), Cecil Shorts (4-114, 2011)
14. Indianapolis - T.Y. Hilton (3-92, 2012), Andre Johnson (1-3, 2003)
15. Jacksonville - Marquise Lee (2-39, 2014), Allen Robinson (2-61, 2014)
16. Kansas City - Jeremy Maclin (1-19, 2009), Jason Avant (4-109, 2006)
17. Miami - Greg Jennings (2-52, 2006), Kenny Stills (5-144, 2013)
18. Minnesota - Mike Wallace (3-84, 2009), Charles Johnson (7-216, 2013)
19. New England - Julian Edelman (7-232, 2009), Brandon Lafell (3-78, 2010)
20. New Orleans - Marques Colston (7-252, 2006), Brandin Cooks (1-20, 2014)
21. New York Giants - Odell Beckham (1-12, 2014), Victor Cruz (U-256, 2010)
22. New York Jets - Brandon Marshall (4-119, 2006), Eric Decker (3-87, 2010)
23. Oakland - James Jones (3-78, 2007), Michael Crabtree (1-10, 2009)
24. Philadelphia - Jordan Matthews (2-42, 2014), Riley Cooper (5-159, 2010)
25. Pittsburgh - Antonio Brown (6-195, 2010), Martavis Bryant (4-118, 2014)
26. San Diego - Malcolm Floyd (U-256, 2004), Keenan Allen (3-76, 2013)
27. San Francisco - Torrey Smith (2-58, 2011), Anquan Boldin (2-54, 2003)
28. Seattle - Doug Baldwin (U-255, 2011), Jermaine Kearse (U-254, 2012)
29. St. Louis - Brian Quick (2-33, 2012), Kenny Britt (1-30, 2009)
30. Tampa Bay - Mike Evans (1-7, 2014), Vincent Jackson (2-61, 2005)
31. Tennessee - Kendall Wright (1-20, 2012), Harry Douglas (3-84, 2008)
32. Washington - Desean Jackson (2-49, 2008), Pierre Garcon (6-205, 2008)
 
#1 WRs
Totals - (89, 2422)
Average - (2.8, 75.7)
 
So the average draft position of the #1 WRs in the NFL is the 12th pick of the 3rd round.
 
#2 WRs
Totals - (104, 2992)
Average - (3.25, 93.5)
 
So the average draft position of the #2 WRs in the NFL is the 30th pick of the 4th round.
 
Combined #1 and #2 WRs
Totals - (193, 5414)
Average - (3.0, 84.6)
 
So the average draft position of the top 2 WRs for each team in the NFL is the 21st pick of the 3rd round.

Funny comment on Cam by a Browns fan

24 April 2015 - 08:52 AM

I was posting my full 7-round mock on other forums for comment and criticism. I put the Browns mock on this thread on a Browns message board...

http://mbd.scout.com...4409&t=13816389

Here is the mock I posted...

1.12.12 - Devante Parker, WR, Louisville
1.19.19 - Eddie Goldman, DT, FSU
2.11.43 - Nate Orchard, DE/OLB, Utah
3.13.77 - Ty Sambrailo, OT, Colorado State
4.12.111 - Rory Anderson, TE, South Carolina
4.16.115 - David Cobb, RB, Minnesota
5.11.147 - Jeremiah Poutasi, OG, Utah
6.13.189 - Gavin Lutman, WR, Pittsburgh State (KS)
6.26.202 - Quandre Diggs, CB, Texas
7.12.229 - Clayton Geathers, S, Central Florida


And here is the comment...

OP, I'll trade you all 10 of those picks for Cam Newton.


:lol:

WalterFootball.com updated Carolina 6-round mock

22 April 2015 - 09:40 AM

http://walterfootbal...draft2015_1.php

 

1. Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State

2. Cedric Ogbuehi, OT, Texas A&M

3. Tre Jackson, OG, Florida State

4. Josh Robinson, RB, Mississippi State

5. Corey Robinson, OT, South Carolina

5. Jeff Heuerman, TE, Ohio State

5. Za'Darius Smith, DE, Kentucky

6. Derron Smith, S, Fresno State

 

I like pretty much every pick except for the TE pick in the 5th round.  The only way I'd pick a TE in this draft is if Devin Funchess from Michigan happened to drop all the way to our pick in the 3rd round (or lower).  And I don't mind a RB pick in the 4th round, but not a huge fan of Robinson.  

 

I *DO* like the idea of making multiple picks on the OL in this draft to develop young, quality depth (and, in Ogbuehi's case, a future starter).

 

I give this draft a B+.

 


Daniel Jeremiah's 2-round mock at nfl.com

22 April 2015 - 08:03 AM

I would approve of these first 2 picks:

http://www.nfl.com/n...ogbuehi-to-bucs

25. Carolina: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford

Comment: The Panthers are desperate for O-line help.


57. Carolina: Devin Smith, WR, Ohio State

Comment: Smith can take the top off the defense -- exactly what Cam needs.