Jump to content
  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Draft Round Comparision (Interesting)


MtnProwler

Recommended Posts

I know some of you will kill me on this, others will find this interesting. Note: I use stats to see trends, not for absolutes. For example, we all know the 5th round All-Pro picks and the 1st round duds, but more times than not more 1st rounders outperform 5th rounders, and so on. This took a little more time than I would have hoped but now I'm interested in further comparisons, additional teams (not just Panthers / Saints) and by overall pick instead of round.

As teams are still working on filling their depth charts, this is as of 4/8/20:

Panthers Starting Position (Average Draft Round) / Saints Starting Position (Average Draft Round):

QB: 1 / 2

RB/FB: 3.5 / 4

WR(top 3): 3.66 / 2.66

TE: 4 / 3

OL: 3.6 / 2

Total(12 positions): 3.42 / 2.5

_________________

DL: 4.5 / 1.75

LB(3): 3.33 / 2.66

DBs(4): 3.75 / 1.75

Total(11 positions): 3.9 / 2

 

In Summary:

1) The Saints are pretty much complete with their starters, and this is before the draft. That is, their starters on average are better than 3rd rounders, while on average, the Panthers are mid to late 3rd round. The advantage does go to the Panthers in the draft, in trying to improve these numbers, as they have a 2nd round pick and the Saints do not.

2)Offense: I'm not too entirely concerned with our discrepancy for two reasons: Robby Anderson, went undrafted which brings our average numbers up, but he is obviously valued much higher than that now. Our offense would be in the high 2nd round average if you re-evaluate Anderson to a 3rd or 2nd round. And my second reason, McCaffrey, period. However, we still need help on OL by picking up talent in either: round 1, 2, or FA. Sitting close to the same offensive round average as the Saints, at this point, probably doesn't bode well for those wanting early offensive draft picks, especially at the skilled position where there isn't much room to improve in those areas.

3) Our Defense, good god. Saints will start three 1st rounders on DL and average the same, 1.75, at DB. Obviously, the Panther's numbers are being driven by numerous vacant starting holes. But this proves we still need to utilize FA as much as possible and continue to spend money there, as the draft can only help so much. Even if we go all defense in rounds 1-3, this improves the Panther's average to the lower 3rd round. We need additional FA help if we wish to be in the 2nd round. Likewise, if Saints go DL for their 1st round pick, their entire D will have an average round of 1.7. They literally wouldn't have any starters outside of the 3rd round on their depth chart.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • seems like he wasn't quite himself when he came back from landing on his head. like his confidence wasn't 100%. hoping it is, though.  we've got a lot of potential here. i really like our TE room right now. RB corps is stacked. WR doesn't look too shabby either. and we are going to see some good things from BY too. 
    • It's been mentioned in this thread, yet many are glossing over it... This WR group has a ton of potential. TMAC, XL and Coker, and maybe even Horn as the speed guy will get a ton of snaps in this offense. The reality is that they are all really unproven. Hopefully they're ascending, but we don't know if XL and Coker are maxed out based on last season. TMAC and Horn are ROOKIES. So the only "proven vets" are Thielen, Moore and Renfrow. Not exactly top of the league. Biggest issue being a lack of speed to take the top off of defenses. Say what you want about Tedd Ginn but he was probably the most important receiver on the team in 2015.
    • That would basically make him a top 10 quarterback based on last year's stats if you break down each QB metric, complied and ranked them. I get the premise of the question--why should we get rid of Bryce after the season if the team still sucks, but it's not Bryce's fault?  Fair enough. If Bryce balls out and for whatever reason we still can't get over the hump, he shouldn't catch all the grief for it.  However, I will caveat that while stats can add layers of paint to a canvass, they do not always paint the whole picture.  So while those hypothetical stats are pretty darn good, if we are inept in the red zone settling for FGs or he's coughing up the ball on sacks or completing layup passes that doesn't get us first downs, then statistically he can have a really good season, but it could leave us on the short end of the scoreboard some games.
×
×
  • Create New...