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BusinessInsider claimed Packers, Steelers/Jets were best teams in early december

frash.exe

By frash.exe,
in Carolina Panthers

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frash.exe Apprentice

frash.exe

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Posted

The Pats were incredibly lucky and overrated, not that i tried to tell you tho

http://www.businessinsider.com/why-the-patriots-are-overrated-and-the-packers-are-the-best-team-in-the-nfl-2010-12

There is an old adage in the NFL that says "You are what your record says you are." But let's face it, in a league with such a small sample size (16 games) and unbalanced schedules, some teams are just luckier than others.

Wins are wins. But do they give us an accurate picture of how good a team is and how well that team will play in the remainder of the season? Not always.

A better predictor of future performance is simply looking at how good the offense and defense has been. To do that, all we need to do is apply the Pythagorean Win Percentage formula to get an idea of how many games a team should have won based on their points favoring (PF) and points allowed (PA).

...

We also see that the best team in the NFL so far this season has been the Packers. They are the only team with an expected win total of at least eight. That tells us that the Packers have been unlucky by 1.3 wins. But not as unlucky as the Lions, who have played like a 5-6 team despite a 2-9 record.

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frash.exe Apprentice

frash.exe

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Basing it on 11 games from one year. Doesn't take into account strength of schedule. Good teams make their own luck.

sos is a good point

basing it on 11 games, i mean 11 games is all they had at the time and they basically hit the nail on the head with it.

that hardly makes it a stupid article

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