I commonly use my own statistical formula to predict game scores for sports betting. It has proven to be remarkably accurate and I almost don't want to share it, but here we go.
In order to determine the final score of the game I take each teams points scored against the opponent, and subtract it from the points scored on average for each opponent.
The Panthers currently hold teams on average 7.575 points below their average for the season. The 49ers currently hold teams 2.825 points below their average for the season. If we subtract these scores from each teams average points scored for the season Panthers (25.5) and 49ers (27.3), we should have a relatively accurate prediction of the outcome.
Statistically we win this game 22.675 to 19.725
Sadly, the difference in the scores falls within 1SD (approx 7 points) of each other, so the prediction is pretty useless. But, it does show that we are slightly favored.
Chris Scott has come from nowhere and is IMHO one of the most improved players on our team. So, I wanted to take a little time to show some appreciation for a player that most of us thought was camp fodder!
Scott was played his college ball at Tennessee where he split time at Guard and Tackle. With a 7th round draft grade, it was surprising that the Steelers drafted him in the 5th. After injuring his foot in his rookie campaign, he was placed on the PUP list. Then after seeing game time in two contests the following year, the Steelers released him.
The 6ft 4in, 320 pound Scott would spend the next year traveling from team to team looking for a roster spot. After spending time on Pittsburgh's practice squad, then being resigned by Pittsburgh, he was released and found his way to Green Bay's practice squad. Then, Tampa Bay. Then the Titans.
By the time he was signed by the Bills, Scott had ballooned up to 360 pounds. After failing his conditioning test, he was cut. His coach stated:
"We did wind up releasing a player, Chris Scott. It’s just unfortunate in this profession. We have expectations as coaches coming in and we didn’t feel that Chris fulfilled his expectations to us, his teammates or the coaches so we let him go.”
That led him to us. During his first practice with the Panthers, he was carted off the field for dehydration. It was obvious he was still out of shape. A lot of folks around here didn't have very much hope for him. But, over the last few months, we have seen Scott trim down from 360 to a healthier 319. Forced into the starting role at RG via injury, Scott's improvement over the course of these 7 games is one reason for our success this season.
TLDR: Scott was fat, and unwanted. Turned it around in Carolina.