Tbe

So you’re happy with no chance of a championship?

Is his new name Derek?

NC is currently 9th in population. Right behind Georgia. There is no way the NFL will allow a market like that to go without a team. Really bad for business. Tepper is stuck here whether he likes it or not.

Well, they were building a sweet new draft room in RH, but……

I think they had to change locations this year because of the Chesney concert.

O: QB D : LB

The interchange was already paid for by the state.

Didn’t realize he was close with Trevor. Could be a good thing.

That leaves 4 first rounders and 3 non first rounders. (The guys that lost to Brady)

Situations matter too. High picks typically go to bad teams. Later picks typically go to better teams.

Signs point to this being Carrols last season. They will let the new coach draft his QB.

Given positional value, if you really think the QB of the future is there, you take them in RD 1. You especially don’t pass on trading up to RD 2. Fitt has talked a lot about taking swings at QB. This is just another swing.

I think people also just expect QBs to go high now. The NFL did invite these guys to the draft so someone in the league also expected them to go higher.

What I mean is, us and the other teams know next year is the year to go all in and grab a QB. It wasn’t important to get one now. We still grabbed one when they fell because it was worth the risk.

1. These QBs weren’t that good. Willis especially. 2. Not a ton of teams were going to take one of these guys so once we passed and the Steelers passed in round #1, everyone just decided to wait. 3. Most needy teams are waiting for next year to get serious at drafting a QB. 4. The fairly new situation where good vet QBs become available via trade or FA means some teams can build a good team and attract a vet rather than take chances in the draft. This lowers the overall demand.

We also lost some important defensive pieces.

Interesting how he met with Rhule 1-on-1, and THEN had his key meeting with Fits and Tepper.

Sounds like they just liked Coral as a person a bit better.

Poor Matt

If you think they are good, you take them and let them battle it out with Corral.

If you take out 2012 what is it? Also, those stats are kinda BS since hitting on QB will greatly skew things. From foootballoutsiders: So clearly, the Seahawks are just vastly more skilled than other teams at drafting over the last ten years, right? As much as I would like to believe that, there is a reason the p-value is only a little under 0.05 when you don't attempt to neutralize unusual outliers. The fact that the p-value drops so much when those outliers are neutralized likely means that those outliers have a lot of luck in them. But even then, how could the Seahawks get the top two drafts of the decade, back-to-back, without that being evidence of incredible skill in drafting (rather than just good skill and a heavy dose of luck)? Well, when you have a skewed distribution, there is usually a reason why, and that reason is right in front of us. When we use CarAV as our measurement of value, it inherently means that the best players have more upside than the worst players have downside. If you get a Russell Wilson or a Tom Brady, their value is massive due to positional value, longevity, lower risk of injury (especially in the modern NFL), etc. But if you draft a JaMarcus Russell, there is only so much damage he can do. If the Raiders had been forced to start Russell for every game for a decade, then he might be a Tom Brady-level outlier. Instead, he gets benched and the damage is limited to just wasting a draft pick and having a bad season or two. What this all tells me is that drafting well is a lot of luck, mixed with some skill and an extra layer of a random "jackpot" on top (the one or two later-round picks each draft that become unexpected Hall of Famers). This would explain the data we see (including the outliers) pretty well. The Seahawks are probably pretty good at drafting, but also had some crazy luck in hitting three jackpots in a row (Wilson, Wagner, and Richard Sherman). What this should tell NFL teams is that you need to roll the dice as many times as you can (trading down for additional value whenever possible), get the best GM you can possibly find, and get the top coaches in the league to develop the talent you draft

This is dumb and I hope he doesn’t really believe it. Drafting is a crap shoot. It’s been studied and proven. Developing players sounds great, but the cba reduced practices means that is very very hard unless the player really wants it and works on his own. Players can’t really develop without actual game time, and no one really wants to send raw players out there with the game on the line unless they have to (see Rivera and Bradberry). It’s very hard for a player to get better when they haven’t played a real snap in 2,3, however many years.

It worked once. One magic draft. Their drafting has been mostly terrible since.

Like the Patriots? LA?

I was initially high on corral and then I started learning more about him. The guy is small, his wonderlic score was terrible, and he struggles to make accurate intermediate throws. Not a good combo. He might start this year but he’ll ultimately just contribute to getting us a high pick next year.