mrcompletely11

I was using the 3 more wins then expected in regards to the playoffs or winning the division talk. My bad if I wasnt clear but I think to win the division or make the wild card we more then likely have to win double digit games. Sorry if that wasnt clear. But the overall premise was that more times then not vegas is pretty fuging close about how our season plays out and from the initial scan of other teams in other years its pretty close as well. Like I said once things slow down I will try and import expectations vs wins and see what the averages are and some of the variances to get a better understanding.

They have been pretty damn on the nose with us in recent years. We have exceeded expectations 2x in 6 years by 2 and .5 games. Vegas knows what they are doing. Could we make a crazy jump, sure anything is possible. Once I get to work I might start importing the past vegas win totals vs actual wins and I can run the numbers of how many teams exceeded their win totals and what the avg may look like so we can get a better idea. But thinking this team can win double digits may be a foolish proposition. Eyeballing this from last year going into week 18 I dont see a team that has beat the expectation by 3 https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/nfl/nfl-win-totals-tracking-entering-this-week-sgc/ from the 21-22 season just 2 teams beat expectations by 3. Bengals Cowboys. https://www.wynnbet.com/articles/win-total-results-for-all-32-nfl-teams-in-2021/ It can be done but the odds are long. As I have said many times now the 24 season is when I think we make a move. Bryce gets experience, we load up the defense and make the leap year vegas wins 17 9 11 18 9 7 19 8 5 20 5.5 5 21 5.5. 5 22 6.5 7 23 7.5

my man

again, if you disagree you can put your money down on it either way, Ive said since the draft this is a 7, 8 win team. Vegas agrees, if you are way more optimistic then you can win some money but they have been dead balls accurate in regards to us in the past 3 years or so. Vegas has a method and I wouldnt bet against it

vegas doesnt guess, its based on facts and metrics, they have been pretty spot on in regards to us for the past 3ish years. So I keep telling all the guys that think we are winning the south put your money where your mouth is, its right there, 7 wins

damn

I didnt think he was worth a first, but damn sure worth a 2nd and its fuging criminal we didnt take him in the fourth.

vegas has us at 7.5 wins. Thats facts

Its almost if that the plan is to build the team around bryce.....hmmmmmmm.........so you might just say we are in a rebuild mode. Interesting

The Colin Cowherd? Stop the presses

compare his stats to d brown and get back to me

::sigh:: I really dont give 2 shits about what you need figure it out yourself

dexter lawrence nods approvingly

san fran tampa dallas bills jets steelers

Its the nfl and injuries happen as we are already seeing. And if you are counting on a 34 year old part time pass rusher to be your 2nd best then that kindof proves my point.

I agree we should try and stash him but I honestly believe he would get scooped up rather quickly

Aging mlb, no linebacker depth to speak of, absolutely no corner depth and absolutely no pass rush depth. Couple all that with a thin injury prone wideout room and little to no oline depth and a rookie qb and my bro that is the epitome of a rebuild

Damn where was mr in on every deal? Id roll the dice on him for a 6th or 7th

We only have one unit that is not extremely thin on this team and thats the safeties. look at any other position group on this team and there no depth whatsoever. Any injury is pretty much a death kneel for those groups. Its going to take the 2024 draft and free agency to create quality depth and truth be told we probably need to be looking at replacing Shaq after this season as well

And linebackers and pass rushers and cornerbacks.

Keeping and developing corral sounds good in theory but that means burning a roster spot for someone that probably isn’t going to help for 2 years. Reich hasn’t shown he likes to carry 3 qbs in the past. Most teams don’t. It’s a waste and they use the ps to develop guys. It’s just a matter of if a team claims him if we try to stash corral. I think some team would have a look on general principle

armanti edwards says fug yeah

maybe but how many times in a nfl game do you see a team needing a 3rd qb? For the record I said the second he got drafted he should be qb#2 on this team and go from there, what rhule and co did to him was criminal, now the timing is just not in his favor

yeah so I am thinking luton is the guy they stash

I get the new rule but what you are not getting is that he has to be on the final 53 for it to take effect. Going to to the 3rd qb in a real game is rare as fug and I think Reich is old school enough to know this. In closing I really really doubt this staff wants to burn a roster spot to just try and develop corral and maybe just maybe have to use in him a clusterfug of a game if the 2 qbs ahead of him go down. I could be wrong but we will see once the final cuts are announced. IMO what probably happens is we either trade him for pennies on the dollar or we try to stash him on the PS