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Winning games vs draft position


ctrcat

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To ease some fears, here is a rundown of the teams that could possibly "pass us" if we win out and still don't make the playoffs.  http://www.gbnreport...draftorder.html

 

With 16 our floor, here are the remaining schedules of those that could possibly "jump" us if we win the next two...

 

Teams that would only need to win one of the next two for us to pick over if we win out...

 

SF (SD, ARI)

MIA (MIN, NYJ)

CLE (CAR, @BAL)

HOU (BAL, JAX)

 

Teams that would need to win both of their remaining games for us to pick over if we win out....

 

MIN (@MIA, CHI)

STL (NYG, @SEA)

 

It's extremely unlikely that SF, MIA, and HOU don't win one of their next two.  That puts our realistic floor at 13, because realistically, CLE will lose @BAL and STL will not win @SEA.  The ideal but yet still very possible scenario would be for MIN to win @MIA (mildly unlikely), and then for MIA to win vs. NYJ and MIN to win vs CHI, both very likely.  We would then stay "ahead" of MIN and pick #12. 

 

Conclusion: Winning out would "likely" cost us 2 or 3 spots, moving from 10 to 12 or 13.  Clearly "worth" the price at the chance of playoff football and building a winning culture. 

 

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