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Who to cheer for Sunday (to assure the Panthers get the best draft pick possible)


MHS831

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WHO TO ROOT FOR THIS SUNDAY TO ASSURE THE BEST DRAFT PICK POSSIBLE (PANTHERS HAVE A .484 Strength of Schedule entering week 17):

 

Detroit to beat Green Bay (Detroit goes to 6-10 and has a strength of schedule, SOS, of .509 entering week 17).  Detroit @ Green Bay - 8.

NY Giants to beat Dallas (Giants have a .520 SOS entering week 17).  Dallas @ NY -6. (NY IS FAVORED)

Buffalo to beat Miami (Buffalo has a .529 SOS entering week 17).  Miami +5 @ Buffalo (BUFFALO IS FAVORED)

Tampa Bay to beat Atlanta (Tampa Bay has a .529 SOS; Atlanta has a .500 SOS) Atlanta -2.5 @ Tampa Bay (If the Panthers lose with a .484 SOS, it would create a three-way tie and the Panthers are likely to pick before both TB and ATL.

Jacksonville to beat Houston (Jags have a .536 SOS entering week 17) Jacksonville +7 @ Houston.   

New Orleans to beat Carolina (Panthers have a .484 SOS—one of the lowest in the NFL entering week 17) Carolina +7 @ New Orleans

Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh (Bengals have a .531 SOS entering week 17) Cincinnati +13.5 @ Pittsburgh. If both Cincy and Carolina lose, Carolina picks ahead of Cincy)

       Detroit

5-10

.       NY Giants

5-10

.       Buffalo

5-10

.       Tampa Bay

5-10

.       Jacksonville

5-10

.        Carolina

6-9

.       Atlanta

6-9

       Cincinnati

6-9

       Denver

6-9

.     Green Bay

6-8-1

     Washington

7-8

 .   Miami

7-8

 

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WEEK 17 PROJECTIONS:  If the games go as planned according to the spread:

TEAM

PROJECTED RECORD (vs. the week 17 Point Spread)

Strength of Schedule (thru week 16)

Notes

1.       Arizona

3-11

NA

 

2.       Oakland

4-11

NA

 

3.       NY Jets

4-11

NA

 

4.       San Francisco

4-10

NA

 

5.       Detroit

5-11

(.509)

 

6.       Tampa Bay

5-11

(.529) 

 

7.       Jacksonville

5-11

(.536)

 

8.       Carolina

6-10

(.484)

 

9.       Denver

6-10

(.507)

 

10.   NY Giants

6-10

(.520) 

favored

11.   Buffalo

6-10

(.529) 

favored

12.   Cincinnati

6-10

(.531)

 

13.   Miami

7-9

(.476)

 

14.   Washington

7-9

(.482)

 

15.   Atlanta

7-9

(.500)

favored

16.   Green Bay

7-8-1

NA

favored

 

Best case scenario:  Panthers lose, Detroit, Tampa Bay, Jacksonville win:  Panthers would pick at #5

 

Worst case scenario: Panthers win, Washington, Miami, Cincinnati, Green Bay, Cincinnati, NY Giants, Denver lose.  Panthers would pick at #14.

 

 

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20 minutes ago, Carl Spackler said:

Well god knows we’ll do our part 

If we lose I see us dropping to about 7.   If we win, it could be in the teens.  Think about it--Payton is a cheater--he knows we could lose 6 spots by winning...He has nothing to gain.

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3 minutes ago, MHS831 said:

If we lose I see us dropping to about 7.   If we win, it could be in the teens.  Think about it--Payton is a cheater--he knows we could lose 6 spots by winning...He has nothing to gain.

And, our coach is too elementary to think about the big picture.  I wouldn't be surprised with a win at all.

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22 minutes ago, stbugs said:

Your SOS will be busted from what you have. That’s only through week 16. We play what we hope is a 14-2 Saints which will jump up our SOS. I think real worst case could be pick #16 as the Falcons play 5-11 Tampa if they win. We’d be at the bottom of that list as GB would be 6-9-1.

I also think technically that #7 is our best scenario (if Jax pulls the upset, the other games should go that way). I think after tomorrow we’ll have a better SOS than Detroit and Atlanta (if the lose).

The SOS through week 16 is all we have--which is why I labeled it "Through week 16"/ I can tell you that the biggest change between week 15 and week 16 was about 12-13 poiints, fwiw.

Atlanta's SOS is higher than ours, so I do not see a way we could pick at 16--maybe 15.  Not sure about the SOS if Atlanta and Detroit lose--we shall see. Atlanta would have to gain 16 points.  Since the strength of schedule during week 17 involves more than the Saints, but all teams previously played (adding a win or a loss to the existing w-l record) so I do not think it is as simple as adding Tampa's record to ATL and NO's record to Carolina's SOS.  Never thought about it much, but the overall records of all opponents is factored at the end.

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10 hours ago, Carl Spackler said:

Hilarious

Hope you are right--Payton has vision. He does not want us getting Ferrell or Gary in the draft---if he loses, he is still the #1 seed.  We could see the worst football game in the history of the NFL.

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