Other quarterbacks need not apply

[Woodie]

Right now, Detroit is the only 2 win team with a lower opponent win/loss% than us, but we haven't played Atlanta yet (and we have to play them twice), so it's possible that after next week, we'll be above Cincy and/or Buffalo.

[Mr. Scot]

Right now, Detroit is the only 2 win team with a lower opponent win/loss% than us, but we haven't played Atlanta yet (and we have to play them twice), so it's possible that after next week, we'll be above Cincy and/or Buffalo.

Next week is our first game against the Falcons. I don't see us beating them.

Division and seeding races are likely too close for teams to rest their starters. If so, likely the only reasonable shot at a victory we have is against the Cardinals.

[Woodie]

Next week is our first game against the Falcons. I don't see us beating them.

Division and seeding races are likely too close for teams to rest their starters. If so, likely the only reasonable shot at a victory we have is against the Cardinals.

I was referring to the fact that once we include Atlanta next week our opponents W/L% will drastically increase, which would likely drop us below the two win teams in the race for #1 - in the unlikely event we somehow manage to beat someone (AZ is by far the likeliest chance) and end up with the same record.

And after looking closely at the W/L% of our competition through the end of the season (including their future opponents), it appears that winning one more game will almost certainly knock us out of contention for the #1 pick, unless all of the two win teams win another one. In fact, if we win one more game and all of the other bottom five teams lose out, we'd probably end up with the #4 pick, and if we somehow manage to win two more, we'd end up picking at #5. Ending the season with Atlanta (twice) and Pittsburgh really hurts our opponont W/L%, and Arizona doesn't make enough of a difference to keep us at #1 if we end up pulling a game or two out.