Jump to content

  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

98% Chance we make the Playoffs. Really.

George Shinnsplints

By George Shinnsplints,
in Carolina Panthers

Recommended Posts

George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

Posted
Posted

Call this a jinx, call this whatever you want, but some of y'all who are freaking out over the prospect of missing the playoffs need some Virtual Valium. For the Panthers to miss the Playoffs, ALL of the following things would have to happen (and I'm being slightly on the pessimistic side with my percentages):

Carolina:

LOSE @ NY Giants: 65% Likely.

LOSE @ NO Saints: 45% Likely.

Atlanta:

WIN @ Minnesota: 35%

WIN vs. St. Louis: 85%

Tampa:

WIN vs. San Diego: 65%

WIN vs. Oakland: 85%

Dallas:

WIN vs. Baltimore: 55%

WIN @ Philadelphia: 45%

Combined percentage of ALL of the following things happening is about 2%. In normal day-to-day life, most people don't spend a lot of time worrying about things that are that unlikely. Even if we assume the Panthers will lose both of their games it is about 7.5%.

Dig in, have some :lurk5: , but don't freak out! We're gonna be OK.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
APCegr Newbie

APCegr

Posted
Posted

Ok OK... were these precentages placed after or before the game last night? The way Giants have been playing lately I could be run but i think we are favored by 3.5 points on the spread by a website i was taking a look at this morning. I really dont see us losing in the Meadowlands but i guess thats just me... But we are ok, i rather have homefield advantage then a wildcard and march into Arizona or Minnesota to play.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Ok OK... were these precentages placed after or before the game last night? The way Giants have been playing lately I could be run but i think we are favored by 3.5 points on the spread by a website i was taking a look at this morning. I really dont see us losing in the Meadowlands but i guess thats just me... But we are ok, i rather have homefield advantage then a wildcard and march into Arizona or Minnesota to play.

I just made them up on the spot -- they're subjective but I went on the pessimistic side for each of them. Bottom line -- stop worrying and love the bomb.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

Posted
  • Author
Posted

If I told you that you had a 2% chance of dying in the next 2 hours, you'd probably sweat a little.

Of course, but I don't think the two scenarios are analogous. I'd consider the Panthers missing the playoffs to be about as bad as losing my job -- and there's certainly a 2% chance of that happening in the next 2 months. But I don't worry about it!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Brooklyn Bully Newbie

Brooklyn Bully

Posted
Posted

Carolina:

LOSE @ NY Giants: 75% Likely.

LOSE @ NO Saints: 50% Likely.

Atlanta:

WIN @ Minnesota: 50%

WIN vs. St. Louis: 95%

Tampa:

WIN vs. San Diego: 85%

WIN vs. Oakland: 95%

Dallas:

WIN vs. Baltimore: 65%

WIN @ Philadelphia: 65%

Fixed. Tampa is unbeaten at home, you have to give them better percentages there. The Giants, though clenched, have lost two in a row and want home field and we're on the road. Dallas is "back".

Yeah, we're making the Playoffs, but it's going to be closer than you think.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Wow, would you like to make a bet on some of those numbers? I would be thrilled to bet the odds on every percentage you put out there -- seriously. You don't have many opportunities to make 19:1 by betting on a team in the NFL.

Maybe you were angling for the most pessimistic perspective possible, but I think every one of those percentages is too pessimistic for the Panthers' perspective, and several of them are significantly off. Although I'll grant this is almost an entirely subjective exercise...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • strato
      Rams are willing to deal one of the 1st rounders for all-pro talent in secondary

      By strato · Posted

      Of course, everyone has film. That is probably fresh in their mind though. Our games with them are big examples of why they are in  the CB market so hard.   It is the study they do getting ready for the games.  Preparing to play against is a little different than just analyzing film in scout mode. Deeper dive. Then you are analyzing post game too.  This goes to why players often change teams but stay in the division. The opponents know each other on a higher level.  Plus if you lost to us, you used to get fired. Now you have to trade your first round pick. Moving up on the world. 
    • t96
      2026 Charlotte Hornets

      By t96 · Posted

      I honestly can’t believe this team’s turnaround this season. It’s surreal. Figured healthy we’d be fringe playoffs and with another lottery pick could finally turn the corner, but we don’t even need that. This group is ready. We haven’t played remotely well the last 5 games and yet still blew out 5 bad teams by 16+ each game like it was casual practice. We had a few solid teams with Kemba and Big Al but this is easily our best group since the original Hornets moved to NO. Man, what a shift in culture this new ownership group and front office has brought. So damn happy to see it after years of suffering and consistently meaningless games in this stretch of previous seasons.   Only 2.5 games out of the 6 seed, although Miami, Atlanta and Orlando have been playing well too. Gonna be a fun final stretch, hopefully we can get a top 8 seed at the very least. Celtics tomorrow will be a good test. Would be huge to keep the road winning streak up against a very hot top team on the 2nd half of a back to back. We’ve played Boston pretty well the last few years with much of this same group despite sucking so I do feel pretty good about it. Kon is due for a huge game coming off a few cold shooting games (although despite the poor shooting he’s been contributing well with defense, assists and rebounds).
    • t96
      Rams are willing to deal one of the 1st rounders for all-pro talent in secondary

      By t96 · Posted

      It amazes me how underrated Horn has become after he finally was able to stay on the field. Sure last year wasn’t perfect but he was still a huge reason for our rebound defensively and I’d say he’s easily a top 10 corner. You don’t want to see Mike Jackson as our top corner. Any player is available for the right price but I’d be extremely hesitant to move Horn even for a big haul from LA. 
×
×
  • Create New...