Panthers Week 4 WIN vs. Patriots and 2017 Quarter 1 Stats Review

[KB_fan]

Hey all,

I'm working on gamebook data entry tonight, and playing around with some of the stats from yesterdays Panthers win vs the Patriots, as well as a look at trends for the 1st quarter of the season, including noting some comparisons to how the Quarter 1 stats compare to the 2016 season.

Forgive me, time & energy is short to write a coherent analysis tonight.  I'm just going to paste tweets I've posted here in the comments below for tonight.  I hope to write up something more polished regarding the 1st quarter of the season - the positives & negatives - sometime mid-week.

[KB_fan]

 

[KB_fan]

 

[KB_fan]

 

[KB_fan]

 

[KB_fan]

 

[KB_fan]

ok, I'm pretty sure that's all I've got tonight.  I'm tired (nearing 11 pm here...) and so will come back to this tomorrow.  There's always a slim chance some other FASCINATING stat will catch my eye, wake me up and cause me to send out a flurry of more tweets / post a bunch more here tonight..., but not too likely...

[KB_fan]

Oops, just realized one of my tweets is missing.  A pretty key stat comparison:  Field Goal percentage!  One of the big stories of 2017 vs 2016.  It's pretty interesting.  10 FG attempts in both 2016 and 2017 weeks 1-4.  Opportunity to kick final second game winners in critical games both years.  We all know how the story went. 

Gano was at only 80% this time last year, vs 100% right now.  (2nd best in the league based on attempts & % - only 1 other kicker has double digit attempts and is 100% on FGs.

Big props to Gano for making the clutch kick yesterday!

 

[KB_fan]

YUP!  I found a fascinating stat that's keeping me number crunching close to midnight.  I compared Red Zone efficiency for weeks 1-4 of 2015, 2016, and 2017.

Could you match these figures to their respective years?

9/12 = 75%

7/14 = 50%

5/13 = 38%

I imagine we'd all get the 38% right as we've been bemoaning it here all season.  That's 2017.  But we're 3-1.

But wow, I'd forgotten we were 75% in Red Zone touchdowns in the 1st four games of 2016.  And yet we were 1-3.

And with a mediocre 50% conversion rate in 2015 we were 4-0.

Interesting that in all 3 seasons our number of trips to the Red Zone in weeks 1 - 4 were fairly comparable.  13 in 2017; 14 in 2015; 12 in 2016.

Just goes to show that you can't isolate stats without the bigger picture!

 

 

For the record we ended the 2015 season with a 68% Red Zone rate

For the entire 2016 season the Panthers Red Zone rate was 59%

[KB_fan]

Ok.  I'm really surprised there are no comments....

Let me know what stats you want to see.

Did the Red Zone stats surprise people?  I really didn't remember that we were hot in the red zone early last season... It's very weird to me that one season we were at 75% red zone efficiency and were 1-3 W-L and next season we're at 38% red zone efficiency and 3-1.  I guess you'd have to attribute the W-L difference to our defense, since surely our defense really won us the games in in weeks 1& 2.  

[Steves89]

Great stuff as always KB!! I was wondering about red zone as well. I think special teams a big reason. Mike Lombardi talked about that last week and how many hidden yards are there. Actually I think he was talking about how to beat the Patriots. Starting field position might be an underrated factor. The penalties is a good point too. Can that be attributed to wilks?

[Porn Shop Clerk]

57 minutes ago, KB_fan said:

Ok.  I'm really surprised there are no comments....

 

It's just now 8 am on the east coast...give it time. ;)

[Porn Shop Clerk]

The penalties stat is what's impressive and unexpected to me. At least we're playing disciplined football in one aspect.

[KB_fan]

4 minutes ago, Porn Shop Clerk said:

It's just now 8 am on the east coast...give it time. ;)

LOL, yeah, I know.  I just thought there would be some last night since I posted the thread around 7 or 8 p.m. Eastern...  It had already scrolled down to the middle of page 2 overnight, which is one of the reason for my "surprised there were no comments" comment - it was a way of bumping the thread back up on to page 1