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98% Chance we make the Playoffs. Really.

George Shinnsplints

By George Shinnsplints,
in Carolina Panthers

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George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

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Call this a jinx, call this whatever you want, but some of y'all who are freaking out over the prospect of missing the playoffs need some Virtual Valium. For the Panthers to miss the Playoffs, ALL of the following things would have to happen (and I'm being slightly on the pessimistic side with my percentages):

Carolina:

LOSE @ NY Giants: 65% Likely.

LOSE @ NO Saints: 45% Likely.

Atlanta:

WIN @ Minnesota: 35%

WIN vs. St. Louis: 85%

Tampa:

WIN vs. San Diego: 65%

WIN vs. Oakland: 85%

Dallas:

WIN vs. Baltimore: 55%

WIN @ Philadelphia: 45%

Combined percentage of ALL of the following things happening is about 2%. In normal day-to-day life, most people don't spend a lot of time worrying about things that are that unlikely. Even if we assume the Panthers will lose both of their games it is about 7.5%.

Dig in, have some :lurk5: , but don't freak out! We're gonna be OK.

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APCegr Newbie

APCegr

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Ok OK... were these precentages placed after or before the game last night? The way Giants have been playing lately I could be run but i think we are favored by 3.5 points on the spread by a website i was taking a look at this morning. I really dont see us losing in the Meadowlands but i guess thats just me... But we are ok, i rather have homefield advantage then a wildcard and march into Arizona or Minnesota to play.

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George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

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Ok OK... were these precentages placed after or before the game last night? The way Giants have been playing lately I could be run but i think we are favored by 3.5 points on the spread by a website i was taking a look at this morning. I really dont see us losing in the Meadowlands but i guess thats just me... But we are ok, i rather have homefield advantage then a wildcard and march into Arizona or Minnesota to play.

I just made them up on the spot -- they're subjective but I went on the pessimistic side for each of them. Bottom line -- stop worrying and love the bomb.

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George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

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If I told you that you had a 2% chance of dying in the next 2 hours, you'd probably sweat a little.

Of course, but I don't think the two scenarios are analogous. I'd consider the Panthers missing the playoffs to be about as bad as losing my job -- and there's certainly a 2% chance of that happening in the next 2 months. But I don't worry about it!

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Brooklyn Bully Newbie

Brooklyn Bully

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Carolina:

LOSE @ NY Giants: 75% Likely.

LOSE @ NO Saints: 50% Likely.

Atlanta:

WIN @ Minnesota: 50%

WIN vs. St. Louis: 95%

Tampa:

WIN vs. San Diego: 85%

WIN vs. Oakland: 95%

Dallas:

WIN vs. Baltimore: 65%

WIN @ Philadelphia: 65%

Fixed. Tampa is unbeaten at home, you have to give them better percentages there. The Giants, though clenched, have lost two in a row and want home field and we're on the road. Dallas is "back".

Yeah, we're making the Playoffs, but it's going to be closer than you think.

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George Shinnsplints Newbie

George Shinnsplints

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Wow, would you like to make a bet on some of those numbers? I would be thrilled to bet the odds on every percentage you put out there -- seriously. You don't have many opportunities to make 19:1 by betting on a team in the NFL.

Maybe you were angling for the most pessimistic perspective possible, but I think every one of those percentages is too pessimistic for the Panthers' perspective, and several of them are significantly off. Although I'll grant this is almost an entirely subjective exercise...

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