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Offseason approach for long term success


panther4life

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First of all, we are officially out of cap hell. No more having to waste cap space on dead money from players who were cut for the long term health of the team. 

We currently reside at 8th in overall cap space. In 2018 as it sits we still remain in 8th, even with the cap hits going up for the core. 

Speaking of our core. We are really only committed to roughly about 4 players through 2018 when looking at the contracts. (If you're wondering where Davis is, 2018 is a voidable year in his contract)

Cam- contract runs through 2020

Luke contract runs through 2021

Kalil, contract runs through 2018. Kalil will be 32 this March.

Olsen, contract runs through 2018. Olsen will be 32 this March.

Sure Coleman and Oher have contracts through 2018 but they aren't getting paid top dollar like the 4 above and have less "guaranteed money". Friendly reminder, if you cut a player before their contract expires you still have to charge any "guaranteed" money against the cap within 2 years of releasing such player(with at least half hitting year 1 of the release). The penalty for releasing these 2 by that timeframe is minimal.

So as it sits, 

Cam and Luke are the only players the franchise is married to long term (2019 and beyond). As rookie contracts expire, there will be other players who could enter this mix. The 2 first potential players are Kawann Short and Star Lotulelei. 

So lets highlight our top players on rookie deal's who may need big money/long term extensions down the road.

  1. Kawann Short, free agent now
  2. Star Lotulelei, free agent next year (2018)
  3. Trai Turner, free agent next year(2018)
  4. Kelvin Benjamin, free agent next year(2018)
  5. Kony Ealy, free agent next year(2018)
  6. Shaq Thompson free agent in 2019
  7. Devin Funchess, free agent in 2019

Ok, I'm stopping there. Remember only Luke Cam are signed to big deals past the 2018 season. The other 3 core players with big contracts, will command less money or retire (Davis,Olsen,Kalil)

With that in mind, I feel we should do everything within reason to retain and lock up Short,Star and Turner long term this offseason. With the way new contracts tend to reset the market every year, it would be wise to go ahead and reward those 3 now vs dragging it out and making them more expensive down the road. They have all been good enough to warrant the money now vs testing the water on them any longer and making them more expensive a year later.

If we don't sign any long term and simply franchise Short this year we'd be facing all of these guys hitting free agency next year.

  • Short (top 3 DT's currently average 17.3 Million per year)
  • Star  (top 8 DT's currently average 14.2 Million per year, and dropoff after them is massive. Number 9 drops to 9 million yearly average, 15 drops to 6 million yearly average)
  • Turner(top 3 guards earn yearly average of 10.5 Million)
  • Benjamin
  • Ealy

Thats tough when the top 3 could all easily warrant a franchise tag. Benjamin and Ealy at this point would not, but things can change here. However before you panic, just remember the cap is increasing a ton each year. G-man's first year it was 120 Million. 4 years later its jumped 48 Million.

 Let's now look at our other 2017 free agents of note.

Pending Unrestricted Free Agents, age:

  1. Charles Johnson(30) - He wants to come back and he likely will do so at last years price of 2.5 million or less. Well worth it, excellent value for the money
  2. Tedd Ginn Jr.(31) - I assume he wants to come back and he will likely do so at last years price of 2.75 or less. Decent Value, hopefully he'd take a little less this year
  3. Mario Addison(29) - I have no idea what he wants, but have a feeling he may have earned himself a big payday elsewhere. 
  4. A.J Klein(25) - Again, no idea what he's thinking he's worth, but his value is not that high to us. A similar player could be found in middle to late round of draft.
  5. Colin Jones(29) - Should be very cheap and contributes well on special teams. 

Restricted Free Agents

  1. Norwell - Official numbers aren't out yet, but I say no reason not to use the 2nd round tender on him. Should be just above 2.5 Million for 1 year. This provides us right of first refusal on any other contract he may be offered and if we choose not to match, we get a 2nd round pick as compensation.
  2. Philly Brown- More pressing needs than worrying about him at the moment. If he wants to let the dust settle i'm sure we can work out fair compensation. If he leaves I hope he gets more than he's worth
  3. Horton- Same as above.

 

Other teams unrestricted Free agents. Ok I am not going to provide that whole list. Let's just say its rather bare in positions that would be worth us breaking the bank for. 2 best players out there are Eric Berry and Pierre Paul. I just don't think either will end up with us, due to the money they will command on open market.

Quick recap so far

  • We have enough cap space to resign or franchise Short. I'm okay with either option but we can not let him walk with 0 compensation. Our core is getting to thin as it is.  
  • We can also go ahead and extend Star and Turner this year and would be wise to do,as market value rises yearly.
  • Norwell getting a 2nd round tender is a no brainer, cost us 2.6 million roughly. (We did the same with Remmers last year)
  • Ginn and Johnson can both likely be retained for a combined 5 million or less next year. Probably worth doing, but limit the "guaranteed portions" in case we find better solutions, which would allow us to cut them down the road with minimal effect on cap. 

Now this is where things look tough for us but completely doable, with a lot of skill and a little luck.

So far its quite simple to see we have the means to retain every starter from last year and do so somewhat comfortably. 

Our first round pick if we stay put will/should/better! add a new playmaking starter. According to the experts that could either be a secondary player, DE, or dynamic HB. 

--Problem is this still leaves a gaping hole at LT. Even Gettleman, who was very ambivalent in todays presser, would not commit to Oher for next year. Even if he comes back, he's just suitable and not a long term solution. Thats best case scenario, worst case is he regresses, cant stay healthy, or does a 180 and retires!

Only work around I can find here, is to find a sleeper LT prospect in the 2nd-3rd round or use one of those picks to trade for a proven vet! I prefer the trade route, as its safer. However it would also be more expensive.

Lets say all the top DB'S and DE's are gone, or our front office doesn't believe in those players. They can either A. trade back or B. Select Fournette who would still be on the board in this scenario. I'm okay with a Good immediate impact player at DB,DE OR Fournette (only because he looks that good).

 

W.R.? Okay, we still have question marks here. We need a consistent threat to take it to the house, in the same vein as Ginn, but a player with reliable hands and route running skills. We just cant remain "status quo" as Gman himself said and just hope that its all okay. The good news here is I have seen some badass receivers available in the 2nd round in recent drafts (Allen Robinson comes to mind).

RT? Are we really ready to trust Williams taking over there? Can he stay healthy, even if he's capable talent wise? At minimum we need better depth here. I trust, somewhere in free agency someone should be available for this role at a fair price.

DE? Is Addison ready for the next level? Will he stay without breaking the bank? Can Kony finally be counted on as a full time starter? Johnson have enough left in the tank to stay on as a starter?  Will there be a sure fire, ready to start day 1 DE available at 8? Should we not fug around and trade up to get one, if there is such a player? Does Pierre Paul really represent a good value and can we win the bidding war if interested?

CB's. Okay even if Bradberry and Worley progress nicely next year, we still need some insurance here. If theres an immediate impact player that could start day 1, I don't think we can rule this out. In addition, it would be really nice to find a solid vet to help with their development and at least provide depth. 

S? Somehow some way, we have to move Coleman back to FS. He got a nice extension to play FS and he did not earn the money playing SS. Not his fault, he was just being a team player, adjusting to 100% new faces all around him. Its been mentioned before maybe pick 8 solves this problem.

LT? I covered it up top, but we can not just sit on our hands and expect Oher to return to 2015 health and performance. I can not stomach the thought of Cam getting demolished yet another year because we don't have a good blindside protector for him.

 

Bottom line is there is a path to right the ship and start to replenish our core with more youth. While I don't necessarily trust him, I am definitely rooting for GMAN to fix this and not just for 1 year   with band aids that leave us on this never-ending journey of being unable to reach back to back winning seasons!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Nice write up. 

A lot to think about.  I could see DG spending FA money on a good DE - ala JPP, but agree he may be in high demand, and there's no guarantee, not even a high probability that he'll even make it to the FA market.  Heck, he may feel loyal to the Giants for sticking with him after the fireworks disaster...

 

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Great write up.  I have just a couple of thoughts to keep in mind.  Both Benjamin and Shaq have 5th year options and likely won't hit there free agency until the following year that you have listed.  Also, CJ got a little over to 6.5 mil this season when you add in his dead money so I'd expect a new contract for him much closer to that then 2.5 mil.  As for the salary cap increase it is almost negligible and is in line with about 7% annually, and contracts will inflate to help take that up.  One of the great things about carrying over all that unspent salary cap is that it gives us a better chance to keep members of our aging core while also getting long term deals done with the young players who will take their spot as core players.

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16 hours ago, panther4life said:

First of all, we are officially out of cap hell. No more having to waste cap space on dead money from players who were cut for the long term health of the team. 

We currently reside at 8th in overall cap space. In 2018 as it sits we still remain in 8th, even with the cap hits going up for the core. 

Speaking of our core. We are really only committed to roughly about 4 players through 2018 when looking at the contracts. (If you're wondering where Davis is, 2018 is a voidable year in his contract)

Cam- contract runs through 2020

Luke contract runs through 2021

Kalil, contract runs through 2018. Kalil will be 32 this March.

Olsen, contract runs through 2018. Olsen will be 32 this March.

Sure Coleman and Oher have contracts through 2018 but they aren't getting paid top dollar like the 4 above and have less "guaranteed money". Friendly reminder, if you cut a player before their contract expires you still have to charge any "guaranteed" money against the cap within 2 years of releasing such player(with at least half hitting year 1 of the release). The penalty for releasing these 2 by that timeframe is minimal.

So as it sits, 

Cam and Luke are the only players the franchise is married to long term (2019 and beyond). As rookie contracts expire, there will be other players who could enter this mix. The 2 first potential players are Kawann Short and Star Lotulelei. 

So lets highlight our top players on rookie deal's who may need big money/long term extensions down the road.

  1. Kawann Short, free agent now
  2. Star Lotulelei, free agent next year (2018)
  3. Trai Turner, free agent next year(2018)
  4. Kelvin Benjamin, free agent next year(2018)
  5. Kony Ealy, free agent next year(2018)
  6. Shaq Thompson free agent in 2019
  7. Devin Funchess, free agent in 2019

Ok, I'm stopping there. Remember only Luke Cam are signed to big deals past the 2018 season. The other 3 core players with big contracts, will command less money or retire (Davis,Olsen,Kalil)

With that in mind, I feel we should do everything within reason to retain and lock up Short,Star and Turner long term this offseason. With the way new contracts tend to reset the market every year, it would be wise to go ahead and reward those 3 now vs dragging it out and making them more expensive down the road. They have all been good enough to warrant the money now vs testing the water on them any longer and making them more expensive a year later.

If we don't sign any long term and simply franchise Short this year we'd be facing all of these guys hitting free agency next year.

  • Short (top 3 DT's currently average 17.3 Million per year)
  • Star  (top 8 DT's currently average 14.2 Million per year, and dropoff after them is massive. Number 9 drops to 9 million yearly average, 15 drops to 6 million yearly average)
  • Turner(top 3 guards earn yearly average of 10.5 Million)
  • Benjamin
  • Ealy

Thats tough when the top 3 could all easily warrant a franchise tag. Benjamin and Ealy at this point would not, but things can change here. However before you panic, just remember the cap is increasing a ton each year. G-man's first year it was 120 Million. 4 years later its jumped 48 Million.

 Let's now look at our other 2017 free agents of note.

Pending Unrestricted Free Agents, age:

  1. Charles Johnson(30) - He wants to come back and he likely will do so at last years price of 2.5 million or less. Well worth it, excellent value for the money
  2. Tedd Ginn Jr.(31) - I assume he wants to come back and he will likely do so at last years price of 2.75 or less. Decent Value, hopefully he'd take a little less this year
  3. Mario Addison(29) - I have no idea what he wants, but have a feeling he may have earned himself a big payday elsewhere. 
  4. A.J Klein(25) - Again, no idea what he's thinking he's worth, but his value is not that high to us. A similar player could be found in middle to late round of draft.
  5. Colin Jones(29) - Should be very cheap and contributes well on special teams. 

Restricted Free Agents

  1. Norwell - Official numbers aren't out yet, but I say no reason not to use the 2nd round tender on him. Should be just above 2.5 Million for 1 year. This provides us right of first refusal on any other contract he may be offered and if we choose not to match, we get a 2nd round pick as compensation.
  2. Philly Brown- More pressing needs than worrying about him at the moment. If he wants to let the dust settle i'm sure we can work out fair compensation. If he leaves I hope he gets more than he's worth
  3. Horton- Same as above.

 

Other teams unrestricted Free agents. Ok I am not going to provide that whole list. Let's just say its rather bare in positions that would be worth us breaking the bank for. 2 best players out there are Eric Berry and Pierre Paul. I just don't think either will end up with us, due to the money they will command on open market.

Quick recap so far

  • We have enough cap space to resign or franchise Short. I'm okay with either option but we can not let him walk with 0 compensation. Our core is getting to thin as it is.  
  • We can also go ahead and extend Star and Turner this year and would be wise to do,as market value rises yearly.
  • Norwell getting a 2nd round tender is a no brainer, cost us 2.6 million roughly. (We did the same with Remmers last year)
  • Ginn and Johnson can both likely be retained for a combined 5 million or less next year. Probably worth doing, but limit the "guaranteed portions" in case we find better solutions, which would allow us to cut them down the road with minimal effect on cap. 

Now this is where things look tough for us but completely doable, with a lot of skill and a little luck.

So far its quite simple to see we have the means to retain every starter from last year and do so somewhat comfortably. 

Our first round pick if we stay put will/should/better! add a new playmaking starter. According to the experts that could either be a secondary player, DE, or dynamic HB. 

--Problem is this still leaves a gaping hole at LT. Even Gettleman, who was very ambivalent in todays presser, would not commit to Oher for next year. Even if he comes back, he's just suitable and not a long term solution. Thats best case scenario, worst case is he regresses, cant stay healthy, or does a 180 and retires!

Only work around I can find here, is to find a sleeper LT prospect in the 2nd-3rd round or use one of those picks to trade for a proven vet! I prefer the trade route, as its safer. However it would also be more expensive.

Lets say all the top DB'S and DE's are gone, or our front office doesn't believe in those players. They can either A. trade back or B. Select Fournette who would still be on the board in this scenario. I'm okay with a Good immediate impact player at DB,DE OR Fournette (only because he looks that good).

 

W.R.? Okay, we still have question marks here. We need a consistent threat to take it to the house, in the same vein as Ginn, but a player with reliable hands and route running skills. We just cant remain "status quo" as Gman himself said and just hope that its all okay. The good news here is I have seen some badass receivers available in the 2nd round in recent drafts (Allen Robinson comes to mind).

RT? Are we really ready to trust Williams taking over there? Can he stay healthy, even if he's capable talent wise? At minimum we need better depth here. I trust, somewhere in free agency someone should be available for this role at a fair price.

DE? Is Addison ready for the next level? Will he stay without breaking the bank? Can Kony finally be counted on as a full time starter? Johnson have enough left in the tank to stay on as a starter?  Will there be a sure fire, ready to start day 1 DE available at 8? Should we not fug around and trade up to get one, if there is such a player? Does Pierre Paul really represent a good value and can we win the bidding war if interested?

CB's. Okay even if Bradberry and Worley progress nicely next year, we still need some insurance here. If theres an immediate impact player that could start day 1, I don't think we can rule this out. In addition, it would be really nice to find a solid vet to help with their development and at least provide depth. 

S? Somehow some way, we have to move Coleman back to FS. He got a nice extension to play FS and he did not earn the money playing SS. Not his fault, he was just being a team player, adjusting to 100% new faces all around him. Its been mentioned before maybe pick 8 solves this problem.

LT? I covered it up top, but we can not just sit on our hands and expect Oher to return to 2015 health and performance. I can not stomach the thought of Cam getting demolished yet another year because we don't have a good blindside protector for him.

 

Bottom line is there is a path to right the ship and start to replenish our core with more youth. While I don't necessarily trust him, I am definitely rooting for GMAN to fix this and not just for 1 year   with band aids that leave us on this never-ending journey of being unable to reach back to back winning seasons!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The draft aft is key to keeping your cap hit low, time to invest 

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16 hours ago, panther4life said:

First of all, we are officially out of cap hell. No more having to waste cap space on dead money from players who were cut for the long term health of the team. 

We currently reside at 8th in overall cap space. In 2018 as it sits we still remain in 8th, even with the cap hits going up for the core. 

Speaking of our core. We are really only committed to roughly about 4 players through 2018 when looking at the contracts. (If you're wondering where Davis is, 2018 is a voidable year in his contract)

Cam- contract runs through 2020

Luke contract runs through 2021

Kalil, contract runs through 2018. Kalil will be 32 this March.

Olsen, contract runs through 2018. Olsen will be 32 this March.

Sure Coleman and Oher have contracts through 2018 but they aren't getting paid top dollar like the 4 above and have less "guaranteed money". Friendly reminder, if you cut a player before their contract expires you still have to charge any "guaranteed" money against the cap within 2 years of releasing such player(with at least half hitting year 1 of the release). The penalty for releasing these 2 by that timeframe is minimal.

So as it sits, 

Cam and Luke are the only players the franchise is married to long term (2019 and beyond). As rookie contracts expire, there will be other players who could enter this mix. The 2 first potential players are Kawann Short and Star Lotulelei. 

So lets highlight our top players on rookie deal's who may need big money/long term extensions down the road.

  1. Kawann Short, free agent now
  2. Star Lotulelei, free agent next year (2018)
  3. Trai Turner, free agent next year(2018)
  4. Kelvin Benjamin, free agent next year(2018)
  5. Kony Ealy, free agent next year(2018)
  6. Shaq Thompson free agent in 2019
  7. Devin Funchess, free agent in 2019

Ok, I'm stopping there. Remember only Luke Cam are signed to big deals past the 2018 season. The other 3 core players with big contracts, will command less money or retire (Davis,Olsen,Kalil)

With that in mind, I feel we should do everything within reason to retain and lock up Short,Star and Turner long term this offseason. With the way new contracts tend to reset the market every year, it would be wise to go ahead and reward those 3 now vs dragging it out and making them more expensive down the road. They have all been good enough to warrant the money now vs testing the water on them any longer and making them more expensive a year later.

If we don't sign any long term and simply franchise Short this year we'd be facing all of these guys hitting free agency next year.

  • Short (top 3 DT's currently average 17.3 Million per year)
  • Star  (top 8 DT's currently average 14.2 Million per year, and dropoff after them is massive. Number 9 drops to 9 million yearly average, 15 drops to 6 million yearly average)
  • Turner(top 3 guards earn yearly average of 10.5 Million)
  • Benjamin
  • Ealy

Thats tough when the top 3 could all easily warrant a franchise tag. Benjamin and Ealy at this point would not, but things can change here. However before you panic, just remember the cap is increasing a ton each year. G-man's first year it was 120 Million. 4 years later its jumped 48 Million.

 Let's now look at our other 2017 free agents of note.

Pending Unrestricted Free Agents, age:

  1. Charles Johnson(30) - He wants to come back and he likely will do so at last years price of 2.5 million or less. Well worth it, excellent value for the money
  2. Tedd Ginn Jr.(31) - I assume he wants to come back and he will likely do so at last years price of 2.75 or less. Decent Value, hopefully he'd take a little less this year
  3. Mario Addison(29) - I have no idea what he wants, but have a feeling he may have earned himself a big payday elsewhere. 
  4. A.J Klein(25) - Again, no idea what he's thinking he's worth, but his value is not that high to us. A similar player could be found in middle to late round of draft.
  5. Colin Jones(29) - Should be very cheap and contributes well on special teams. 

Restricted Free Agents

  1. Norwell - Official numbers aren't out yet, but I say no reason not to use the 2nd round tender on him. Should be just above 2.5 Million for 1 year. This provides us right of first refusal on any other contract he may be offered and if we choose not to match, we get a 2nd round pick as compensation.
  2. Philly Brown- More pressing needs than worrying about him at the moment. If he wants to let the dust settle i'm sure we can work out fair compensation. If he leaves I hope he gets more than he's worth
  3. Horton- Same as above.

 

Other teams unrestricted Free agents. Ok I am not going to provide that whole list. Let's just say its rather bare in positions that would be worth us breaking the bank for. 2 best players out there are Eric Berry and Pierre Paul. I just don't think either will end up with us, due to the money they will command on open market.

Quick recap so far

  • We have enough cap space to resign or franchise Short. I'm okay with either option but we can not let him walk with 0 compensation. Our core is getting to thin as it is.  
  • We can also go ahead and extend Star and Turner this year and would be wise to do,as market value rises yearly.
  • Norwell getting a 2nd round tender is a no brainer, cost us 2.6 million roughly. (We did the same with Remmers last year)
  • Ginn and Johnson can both likely be retained for a combined 5 million or less next year. Probably worth doing, but limit the "guaranteed portions" in case we find better solutions, which would allow us to cut them down the road with minimal effect on cap. 

Now this is where things look tough for us but completely doable, with a lot of skill and a little luck.

So far its quite simple to see we have the means to retain every starter from last year and do so somewhat comfortably. 

Our first round pick if we stay put will/should/better! add a new playmaking starter. According to the experts that could either be a secondary player, DE, or dynamic HB. 

--Problem is this still leaves a gaping hole at LT. Even Gettleman, who was very ambivalent in todays presser, would not commit to Oher for next year. Even if he comes back, he's just suitable and not a long term solution. Thats best case scenario, worst case is he regresses, cant stay healthy, or does a 180 and retires!

Only work around I can find here, is to find a sleeper LT prospect in the 2nd-3rd round or use one of those picks to trade for a proven vet! I prefer the trade route, as its safer. However it would also be more expensive.

Lets say all the top DB'S and DE's are gone, or our front office doesn't believe in those players. They can either A. trade back or B. Select Fournette who would still be on the board in this scenario. I'm okay with a Good immediate impact player at DB,DE OR Fournette (only because he looks that good).

 

W.R.? Okay, we still have question marks here. We need a consistent threat to take it to the house, in the same vein as Ginn, but a player with reliable hands and route running skills. We just cant remain "status quo" as Gman himself said and just hope that its all okay. The good news here is I have seen some badass receivers available in the 2nd round in recent drafts (Allen Robinson comes to mind).

RT? Are we really ready to trust Williams taking over there? Can he stay healthy, even if he's capable talent wise? At minimum we need better depth here. I trust, somewhere in free agency someone should be available for this role at a fair price.

DE? Is Addison ready for the next level? Will he stay without breaking the bank? Can Kony finally be counted on as a full time starter? Johnson have enough left in the tank to stay on as a starter?  Will there be a sure fire, ready to start day 1 DE available at 8? Should we not fug around and trade up to get one, if there is such a player? Does Pierre Paul really represent a good value and can we win the bidding war if interested?

CB's. Okay even if Bradberry and Worley progress nicely next year, we still need some insurance here. If theres an immediate impact player that could start day 1, I don't think we can rule this out. In addition, it would be really nice to find a solid vet to help with their development and at least provide depth. 

S? Somehow some way, we have to move Coleman back to FS. He got a nice extension to play FS and he did not earn the money playing SS. Not his fault, he was just being a team player, adjusting to 100% new faces all around him. Its been mentioned before maybe pick 8 solves this problem.

LT? I covered it up top, but we can not just sit on our hands and expect Oher to return to 2015 health and performance. I can not stomach the thought of Cam getting demolished yet another year because we don't have a good blindside protector for him.

 

Bottom line is there is a path to right the ship and start to replenish our core with more youth. While I don't necessarily trust him, I am definitely rooting for GMAN to fix this and not just for 1 year   with band aids that leave us on this never-ending journey of being unable to reach back to back winning seasons!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The draft aft is key to keeping your cap hit low, time to invest 

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29 minutes ago, Untouchable said:

Great write up.  I have just a couple of thoughts to keep in mind.  Both Benjamin and Shaq have 5th year options and likely won't hit there free agency until the following year that you have listed.  Also, CJ got a little over to 6.5 mil this season when you add in his dead money so I'd expect a new contract for him much closer to that then 2.5 mil.  As for the salary cap increase it is almost negligible and is in line with about 7% annually, and contracts will inflate to help take that up.  One of the great things about carrying over all that unspent salary cap is that it gives us a better chance to keep members of our aging core while also getting long term deals done with the young players who will take their spot as core players.

Good points on the 5th year options. CJ only got 2.5 million in new money last year ,his cap hit with the "dead money" was already paid for. So I don't expect him to see much more if any in new money next year than the 2.5 than he got last year.

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20 minutes ago, panther4life said:

Good points on the 5th year options. CJ only got 2.5 million in new money last year ,his cap hit with the "dead money" was already paid for. So I don't expect him to see much more if any in new money next year than the 2.5 than he got last year.

I see your point.  I'm seeing it as more of a rationalization for taking (and offering) less money this season.

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    • Let's say we have a LT for 2026, because we do.  After that, let's say Ickey could be back and we would have the option of extending Walker.  That too is truth.  Don't get me wrong--I LOVE drafting OL, but drafting a first-round OT now is either wasting the money we just paid for a free agent OR it is like paying top dollar for a new car and keeping it in your garage for a season.  A first rounder should give us 4-5 years of cap relief by playing from day 1. I shall elaborate here: Teams obviously get desperate for OTs and if they enter the draft without 2 solid tackles, they are almost obligated to reach for a first round OT.  This year, I see 1 OT who is probably worth first-round consideration, and I am not putting him in the top 10 players in the draft.  Lomu, Freeling, Miller, and Proctor, for example, probably and arguably have second-round value.  So why would you reach for an OT in round 1 when you already have starters at both T positions but you have other needs? We do need depth, however, and I think there is decent OT depth that needs development on day 3. They are no slouches, by the way.   Drew Shelton (could drop to round 4): Surrendered 1 sack as Penn State's LT in 2025. 33 3/8" arms.  Pass pro improved every year (4 years--experienced).  "For a team running a zone-heavy scheme that values lateral movement and reach-blocking ability over phone-booth mauling, Shelton has real appeal. He is not a plug-and-play starter, but the athletic tools and the clear year-over-year improvement suggest a player who can develop into a capable starter if a coaching staff invests in his strength base and cleans up his technique. The ceiling depends entirely on how much stronger he can get and whether his feet can stay alive after initial contact."   Austin Barber  (could drop to round 4): I see him as a RT at best and a probable kick inside to Guard where his strengths would switch from secondary to primary tools.  Considering Lewis and Hunt may be gone in a year or two, this would give the Panthers a chance to work him at RT and then move him inside if he is not effective, and there is confidence that G may be his best position. Jude Bowery (4th round projection) was LT on a Boston College OL that was effective in the run game.  Bowery is one of the most athletic OTs in the draft.  His arms are not ideal but not too short (33.75") to play LT.  He surrendered 2 sacks. He is raw, and needs some technical refinement with his hands.  I think he has the best upside and value for this offense.   Dametrious Crownover  TexAM (5th round projection; 35 3/8" arms) is one of the more fascinating developmental tackles in this class because the physical tools are legitimately rare. A strong run blocker who should be better in pass protection with his tools.  "You do not find many 6-7, 336-pound men with that foot speed and who have the athletic background of a converted tight end. When everything clicks, he looks like a starting right tackle in a gap-heavy run scheme, smothering defenders at the point of attack and using his length to erase speed off the edge. The 2024 tape, when he anchored one of the best rushing attacks in the SEC, is the version of Crownover that gets offensive line coaches excited."  THIS is the kind of player our coaches could develop until Moton is done. What made World intriguing coming out of Eugene was the untapped ceiling, a fifth-year transfer who arrived as the top-ranked offensive tackle in the portal and looked the part for stretches. The improvement he showed against Big Ten competition in his one Oregon season was real, and the physical foundation, length, athleticism, and improving technique in pass protection, is still there. The ACL tear suffered in the College Football Playoff semifinal against Indiana doesn't erase that, but it changes the conversation significantly. The injury clouds the immediate projection. Most ACL recoveries for offensive linemen run nine to twelve months, which means World is likely unavailable for meaningful action well into his rookie season at the earliest. The combine absence removes his chance to reset the narrative physically, and teams will be making decisions almost entirely off pre-injury film and medical evaluations. The contrast between his polished pass sets and his inconsistent run blocking was already a developmental concern, and now those technique issues get deferred further while he rehabs. Isaiah World  (Oregon, injured ACL in playoffs, 5th round projection--could slide to 6th).  World will not play much if at all in 2026, which is why he might fall.  For the Panthers' purposes, however, this would give the OL coaches time to work with him. "What made World intriguing coming out of Eugene was the untapped ceiling, a fifth-year transfer who arrived as the top-ranked offensive tackle in the portal and looked the part for stretches. The improvement he showed against Big Ten competition in his one Oregon season was real, and the physical foundation, length, athleticism, and improving technique in pass protection, is still there. The ACL tear suffered in the College Football Playoff semifinal against Indiana doesn't erase that, but it changes the conversation significantly." "That said, the investment argument isn't crazy for the right organization. This is still a tackle with first-round portal grades and the kind of athletic profile that doesn't just disappear. A team with patience and a strong offensive line room can afford to stash World on the roster, let him develop his lower-body power and pad-level consistency during the recovery process, and potentially unlock a starting-caliber right tackle somewhere in his second or third season. The path is longer now, but the destination hasn't changed for a scout willing to bet on the physical tools." You get the idea. If we do not need the OT immediately, draft one later and develop him as depth and for next season.  Most college players drafted in round 1 were not first rounders if they had entered the draft the year before,  so why not grab a player with upside?      
    • Its never the QBs fault, so if we get a new WR and he looks bad he must be a bust
    • Based on what? Its certainly not his in game coaching prowess. 
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