A Stat I Found Interesting. Games when Panthers score in all 4 quarters

[KB_fan]

So.... looking at the gamebook late last night, I was struck by the fact that Panthers scored points in all 4 quarters of the game.  Hadn't seen that too often in the Panthers last 20 or so games... so I decided to do a little research.  It's not rocket science.  Scoring points consistently leads to wins.  But even so, I was surprised by what I found.

 

*Games below is games in which Panthers scored points in all 4 quarters (includes defensive scores)

Season     Games*    W-L

2017           1               1-0

2016           3               3-0

2015           9               9-0

2014            4              3-0-1

2013            8              8-0

2012            5              3-2

2011            6              5-1

Total           36              32-3-1

 

So since week 7 of 2012, Panthers have not lost a game in which they put points on the board in all 4 quarters.  They did have the 1 tie in 2014.  Thats 26-0-1 in games when they scored in all 4 quarters. 

Note how in 2016 we had the worst frequency of scoring in 4 quarters since Cam became our quarterback....

The drop off in wins when scoring in 4 quarters vs. scoring in only 3 quarters of a game is pretty startling:

 

 So in our last 106 games (including postseason), Panthers have won 90% when scoring in all 4 quarters, but only 54% when scoring in only 3 quarters** of the game.  

We are a rhythm offense.  If Cam can get in a groove in the 1st quarter and keep it going, watch out!!!

 

**[Just for clarification:  When I say the Panthers scored in "only 3 quarters," it could be ANY 3 quarters of the game.  It does NOT mean Panthers failed to score in the 4th quarter.  I had someone misunderstand this on Twitter today.]

[KB_fan]

What I found particularly interesting was to note how often in 2013 and 2015 the games in which Panthers scored in all 4 quarters of the game coincided with major hot streaks, especially in 2013.

Here's what it looks like:

 

Look at 2013.  During our 8 game winning streak, we scored in all 4 quarters in 7 of those 8 games.  Wow.

In 2015, after beating Seattle (game 5 - in which we scored in 3 of 4 quarters), we went on to continue a pretty tough stretch of our schedule (Philly, Indy, Green Bay, Tennessee, Washington, Dallas.  In 5 of those 6 games, Panthers scored in all 4 quarters and got the win, sometimes in close nail-biters (Indy, GB), other times in pretty big blowouts (Washington, Dallas...).

Hoping we'll see the start of a similar streak in 2017 now that the offense has seemed to come alive.

[Hoenheim]

If you score  a TD in each quarter with 28 points, that really should be enough for us to win 9x out of 10 with our front 7 . 

Defense needs to work on getting that opponent score per game down , 30+ in 2 games strait isn't very appealing . 

[Khyber53]

Definitely a rhythm thing.  Great analysis!

 

[KB_fan]

6 minutes ago, Hoenheim said:

If you score  a TD in each quarter with 28 points, that really should be enough for us to win 9x out of 10 with our front 7 . 

Defense needs to work on getting that opponent score per game down , 30+ in 2 games strait isn't very appealing . 

Oh definitely, 28 points per game would win most games, but I was including FGs too, so not all the 4 quarter scoring games are high scoring games.

For instance in 2013, the final 3 games of our 8 game win streak, Panthers scored 24, 20 and 27 points.  Not huge totals...

[Catufb85]

your love of number crunching, find trends, and stats gets me aroused.

not sarcasm.