Jump to content

  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

A Stat I Found Interesting. Games when Panthers score in all 4 quarters

KB_fan

By KB_fan,
in Carolina Panthers

Recommended Posts

KB_fan Proficient

KB_fan

Posted
Posted

So.... looking at the gamebook late last night, I was struck by the fact that Panthers scored points in all 4 quarters of the game.  Hadn't seen that too often in the Panthers last 20 or so games... so I decided to do a little research.  It's not rocket science.  Scoring points consistently leads to wins.  But even so, I was surprised by what I found.

 

*Games below is games in which Panthers scored points in all 4 quarters (includes defensive scores)

Season     Games*    W-L

2017           1               1-0

2016           3               3-0

2015           9               9-0

2014            4              3-0-1

2013            8              8-0

2012            5              3-2

2011            6              5-1

Total           36              32-3-1

 

So since week 7 of 2012, Panthers have not lost a game in which they put points on the board in all 4 quarters.  They did have the 1 tie in 2014.  Thats 26-0-1 in games when they scored in all 4 quarters. 

Note how in 2016 we had the worst frequency of scoring in 4 quarters since Cam became our quarterback....

The drop off in wins when scoring in 4 quarters vs. scoring in only 3 quarters of a game is pretty startling:

59d28c6a6c47c_Scoringin4qtrswinssince2011.png.ddda98c3294356fe2c76da9f71e3606c.png

 

 So in our last 106 games (including postseason), Panthers have won 90% when scoring in all 4 quarters, but only 54% when scoring in only 3 quarters** of the game.  

We are a rhythm offense.  If Cam can get in a groove in the 1st quarter and keep it going, watch out!!!

 

**[Just for clarification:  When I say the Panthers scored in "only 3 quarters," it could be ANY 3 quarters of the game.  It does NOT mean Panthers failed to score in the 4th quarter.  I had someone misunderstand this on Twitter today.]

Link to comment
Share on other sites
KB_fan Proficient

KB_fan

Posted
  • Author
Posted

What I found particularly interesting was to note how often in 2013 and 2015 the games in which Panthers scored in all 4 quarters of the game coincided with major hot streaks, especially in 2013.

Here's what it looks like:

59d28f71b4533_Scoringin4qtrswinssince2011(2).png.2f27be05e2c65aa26cb1813dd85551c9.png

 

Look at 2013.  During our 8 game winning streak, we scored in all 4 quarters in 7 of those 8 games.  Wow.

In 2015, after beating Seattle (game 5 - in which we scored in 3 of 4 quarters), we went on to continue a pretty tough stretch of our schedule (Philly, Indy, Green Bay, Tennessee, Washington, Dallas.  In 5 of those 6 games, Panthers scored in all 4 quarters and got the win, sometimes in close nail-biters (Indy, GB), other times in pretty big blowouts (Washington, Dallas...).

Hoping we'll see the start of a similar streak in 2017 now that the offense has seemed to come alive.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
KB_fan Proficient

KB_fan

Posted
  • Author
Posted
6 minutes ago, Hoenheim said:

If you score  a TD in each quarter with 28 points, that really should be enough for us to win 9x out of 10 with our front 7 . 

Defense needs to work on getting that opponent score per game down , 30+ in 2 games strait isn't very appealing . 

Oh definitely, 28 points per game would win most games, but I was including FGs too, so not all the 4 quarter scoring games are high scoring games.

For instance in 2013, the final 3 games of our 8 game win streak, Panthers scored 24, 20 and 27 points.  Not huge totals...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • MRenshaw
      Bryce's Achilles Heel Is Not What You Think It Is

      By MRenshaw · Posted

      LOL! We have ourselves a funny one over here.  
    • Proudiddy
      Would you trade Derrick Brown to get a top QB prospect?

      By Proudiddy · Posted

      That’s why I love Jake and always will.  He was so fuging gritty and definitely was a gunslinger.  Like a not-quite-poor-man’s Brett Favre.  Like an economy version lol.  He was damn good.  Yeah, he’d throw a pick here or there, but more often than not, I trusted Jake.  He’d make some throws that really made you think, “damn, he’s even better than I thought.”  I loved that he loved to gamble, but more importantly, he gave his guys a fuging chance to make a play.  When people have been criticizing Tet for drops, it pisses me off, because they say it like these are some gimmes that he’s dropping.  but, at about 6’5”, if your whole body is moving one way and you have to stop or slow down to come back to a ball thrown behind you, or low, that poo is not easy.  Bryce isn’t really giving him a chance, and I can see why he’s dropping them.  Versus if you look at this highlight reel of Moose: at about halfway through is when Jake stepped in.  The passes he was throwing are CRAZY.  There’s multiple passes in there where he is throwing across his body while running the opposite way - and he still had the strength to get it on target.  Then there’s the throws where he lasers it in a spot only the receiver could get it - seam routes, out routes, over the top. The longer you watch, the more obvious it is that so many of these (what should be basic) throws are completely absent from our offense with Bryce.  There was a play today where he started to scramble, kept looking, looking, looking, then just threw it into the ground near the receiver.  Let them make a fuging play.  His best pass of the day?  The long one to Tet?  If you re-watch it. About 10-15 yards further downfield, XL smoked his man on a post route.  You get maybe 3 chances at that a game usually, and when you don’t even attempt it when it’s there?  That poo is so demoralizing.  I can’t wait for Bryce’s time here to be fuging over.  If they cut him tomorrow I would feel free.  I would feel like I just won the fuging powerball.  If they signed Heineke, Perkins, White, PJ Walker, or Hooker to start the rest of the year, I would be fuging ecstatic like we just trotted Cam out for the first time.  That how fuging life-sucking Bryce is as the QB.
    • Castavar
      A historical perspective on just how statistically bad Bryce Young as a passer this season.

      By Castavar · Posted

      Aren't they about the same size too? Why TF are teams all of sudden drafting these small ass QBs that have an EXTREMELY low hit rate at an already extremely low hit rate position? 
×
×
  • Create New...